Caprio down 8 points in new Rasmussen poll

September 20th, 2010 at 5:29 pm by under General Talk

Rasmussen’s latest automated poll, conducted last Thursday following the primary, shows Lincoln Chafee and Frank Caprio in a statistical dead heat for governor when you account for the margin of error. But Caprio is down eight points from Rasmussen’s August poll, when he led Chafee 38% to 32%:

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Chafee picking up 33% of the vote, while Caprio is right behind with 30% support. Republican John Robitaille comes in third with 23%, and Moderate Party candidate Ken Block runs last with five percent (5%) of the vote. Nine percent (9%) remain undecided.

The latest numbers shift this race from Leans Democratic to Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Gubernatorial Scorecard.

Last month, Caprio posted a 38% to 32% lead over Chafee.  Robitaille picked up 20% support at that time. Block was not included in the survey.

Since February, support for Chafee has ranged from 32% to 39%. Caprio, who ran uncontested in Tuesday’s Democratic primary after Attorney General Patrick Lynch dropped out of the race, has earned between 27% and 38% of the vote during the same period. Robitaille, who defeated Victor Moffitt with 70% support in the GOP primary, has polled between 19% and 25% since February.

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4 Responses to “Caprio down 8 points in new Rasmussen poll”

  1. [...] poll released Monday afternoon: Lincoln Chafee and Frank Caprio [are] in a statistical dead heat for governor when you account for [...]

  2. [...] Caprio is a more moderate Democrat than many voters are used to while Chafee has embraced his political independence. Chafee wants to impose a 1% tax on items currently exempt from the state’s sales tax. Caprio has focused on pension reform. Local labor unions, which almost always support Democratic candidates, are split. The AFL-CIO is neutral, while Caprio has endorsements from “old line” unions like the Laborers, the Teamsters and the IBEW. Chafee has the backing of service-oriented groups like SEIU, the Rhode Island Federation of Teachers, and the United Nurses and Allied Professions union. This split accurately reflects where voters are since polling indicates a statistically tied race. [...]

  3. [...] was favored by 23% of likely voters in a Rasmussen poll earlier this month, seven points behind second-place Frank Caprio and 10 behind independent Lincoln Chafee. (Our own [...]

  4. [...] on Monday. Margin of error is plus or minus 4 points. The results look a lot like those in Rasmussen’s last poll a little less than a month [...]