The Saturday Morning Post: Quick hits on politics & more in RI
Welcome to another edition of my weekend column. Keep sending your takes, tips and trial balloons to tnesi (at) wpri (dot) com.
1. With growing speculation that Gina Raimondo and Angel Taveras could face off in the 2014 Democratic primary for governor, it’s notable that two major events a week ago Friday set the stage for a contrast between them on the pension issue that could benefit the Providence mayor. That morning, Rhode Island’s public sector unions filed a sweeping legal challenge to the landmark state pension law Raimondo championed last year, arguing it violates the state constitution. Hours later, Providence’s retired police officers and firefighters overwhelmingly approved a deal negotiated with Taveras to voluntarily scale back their retirement benefits. While Raimondo spent much of her time last year reaching out directly to pensioners and workers, they never got a vote on the final deal as their brethren in Providence did. Taveras can tell voters (and union leaders): “I fixed a pension problem, too, and I did it by dealmaking, not by dictat – all while running a city.” Raimondo allies, though, can counter that the climate for Taveras to get a deal approved might not have existed without her year of barnstorming.
2. A programming note – I’ll be off most of next week and part of the following week, but Nesi’s Notes will not go dark. Once again a number of terrific writers have kindly agreed to contribute guest posts – op-eds, really – that will run while I’m away, so you’ll have something new to read each day. And there’ll still be a Saturday Morning Post next weekend. Happy Fourth of July!
3. Don’t miss this 1,800-word article Tim White and I dropped last night featuring House Speaker Gordon Fox‘s first extended explanation of what he knew when on 38 Studios. Some of the new revelations include Fox’s contention the EDC didn’t tell him the whole $75 million would go to Schilling, his description of a crucial April meeting he attended with Governor Chafee and Curt Schilling, and his surprising comments about whether state might consider defaulting on the 38 Studios bonds. And wait till you see how fired up he was when you watch the full TV interview.
4. Raimondo appeared on CNBC’s “Squawk on the Street” earlier this week to defend the new pension law and discuss the lawsuit against it that the unions have filed. Watch the treasurer’s appearance here.
5. The Times’ David Leonhardt had a fascinating article last weekend about the growing divide between young and old Americans, both economically and politically: “This year, polls suggest that Mitt Romney will win a landslide among the over-65 crowd and that President Obama will do likewise among those under 40.” I’ve noticed the same thing in polling in Rhode Island’s 1st Congressional District. Our February WPRI 12 poll showed Democrat David Cicilline winning 55% of the under-40 vote but just 27% among those 60 and older. Put another way, Cicilline’s support among young voters is double his support among seniors, a 28-point spread. The Pew Center has more.
6. Johnson & Wales University’s Culinary Arts Museum is one of the great hidden gems in Providence, as I was reminded once again while attending Jim Langevin‘s forum for tech companies this week. “Culinary Arts” makes the museum sound a bit high-falutin’, but the real appeal is all the kitschy Americana on display. Check the place out any day but Mondays on JWU’s Harborside campus.
7. “A lack of discipline is apparent these days in just about every aspect of American society.” That’s Elizabeth Kolbert of The New Yorker, in an interesting article about why American kids are so spoiled.
8. And speaking of great writing in national magazines, everyone should read the new Atlantic article “Why Women Still Can’t Have It All” by Anne-Marie Slaughter, the Princeton University professor and former top aide to Hillary Clinton. And there’s always a Rhode Island connection – when Slaughter went to work for Clinton, she was succeeded as dean of Princeton’s Woodrow Wilson School by Christina Paxson, who’s taking over this summer as the new president of Brown University.
9. A fond farewell to Westerly native Graham Vyse, who left Governor Chafee’s communications team this week to return to his alma mater American University and study for a master’s degree in journalism and public affairs. Graham, who volunteered on the governor’s campaign, impressed me as soon as I found out he’d already interned for Slate. His most inspired work for Chafee has to be his summer-blockbuster-esque YouTube videos about the municipal pension crisis. Best of luck, Graham.
10. The Supreme Court’s decision upholding the health care law could have far-reaching impacts on Rhode Island – see this overview of the outlook, Lt. Gov. Roberts on what comes next and Christine Ferguson’s Chafeecare-to-Obamacare trajectory. I also suggest you read Sarah Kliff on the risk the Medicaid expansion poses for states (including Rhode Island) and Ezra Klein on how a President Romney and a GOP Senate could still scrap the law, which would throw a monkey-wrench into Rhode Island’s plans.
11. This week on Newsmakers – House Speaker Gordon Fox. Watch Sunday at 10 a.m. on Fox Providence. This week on Executive Suite – NuLabel Technologies’ Max Winograd and The Corporate Marketplace’s Chris Crawford discuss the Job Creation Guaranty Program (which funded 38 Studios, too). Watch Sunday at 6 p.m. on myRITV. See you back here next Saturday morning.
Ted Nesi ( tnesi@wpri.com ) covers politics and the economy for WPRI.com and writes the Nesi’s Notes blog. Follow him on Twitter: @tednesi
Tags: saturday quick hits
Regarding item #1, it does seem that it is the existence, and the eventual outcome, of the pension lawsuit that sets the final stage for a Taveras-Raimondo battle. If the unions prevail in the lawsuit, the Mayor will be credited with great political and legal foresight while the Treasurer will be starting over again and find her political allies feeling burned by her advice. If the State prevails, the Treasurer gets another flurry of good local and national press attention and her allies will be empowered. In that case, the Mayor does remain better positioned with the labor segment of the Democratic Party for his approach.
All that said, both these individuals are smart enough to analyze their own electibilty in a potential matchup at the appropriate time, so the race may not occur. It is also an interesting footnote that the current Governor rarely factors into discussions about the next election, except as a footnote.
How will Angel get votes ? If any of his opponents just show pictures of the burnouts he let ruin the Capitial City ( Burnside Park) this past fall/ winter, and let the voters be aware this could be your City or Town next under the Angel plan.
The Dems will have Raimondo, Almonte, Neronha in the primary , the winner will square off against Chafee and Fung for the trophy.
It is inaccurate to say Raimondo reached out to pensioners. That never happened. Not one communication and not one attempt to meet with current State employee retirees.
#1 That’s right, Raimnondo never reached out to anyone. Ted, you were at those pension group meetings held last summer, and no one there had any input, the whole thing was a sham. Raimondo and the actuary went behind closed doors and hammered the whole thing out.
#5 That’s always the story. The elders get conservative in their old age, trying to keep what’s theirs, and feeling as though the country’s going to hell. It was that way when I was a kid too, and before my generation as well. Yest, who would have ever thought that ex-hippies would vote for Romney, but many will–it’s such an extreme care, it proves the point.
#7 All I can say is, I have taught high school for 28 years…
Even if the electorate hasn’t yet discovered that all of the pension deals are far from adequate, I’m not so sure that pensions are as critical as Ted implies, much less the method of their adjustment. Will the state that elected Don Carcieri twice really be that impressed with Tavares’s negotiation method (which occurred, as already suggested, after Raimondo had set the context of the issue)?
Moreover, at the level of governor, more issues become relevant… Tavares’s refusal to marry his child’s mother; the enthusiasm of the pro-abortion crowd for Raimondo.
Overall, though, prognosticating on the campaign of 2014 is only a little less improbable than prognosticating on the weather that autumn.
#8: Perhaps a better article is the response from Lori Gottlieb (also in the Atlantic) explaining that NO ON CAN HAVE IT ALL
(1) Nobody, male or female, married or single, young or old, tall or short, educated or not, pretty or plain, wealthy or poor, with kids or without, can have it all — neither in the very narrow way Slaughter defines “it,” nor in the broader context of life.
(2) Recognizing this makes people happier! In fact, the people who accept this don’t lie awake at night wondering why they’ve been handed the keys to the palace but the gilded moldings just aren’t sparkly enough.
http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2012/06/why-theres-no-such-thing-as-having-it-all-and-there-never-will-be/258928/
#1. Tavares has grown as a political leader while in office. In comparison to Raimondo, he seems more self-assured, more polished as a politician. I think this is partly due to his personality but also to the continual demands that a mayor of a capital city faces. He has made mistakes but he has become more seasoned as he tackled and will tackle the many problems that arise during his administration. Just think back to the way the Mayor and the Treasurer handled questions about their support/endorsement of David Cicilline.
They still support him.
I LIVE IN WARWICK RI AND ALL I CAN SAY IS I HOPE TAVERAS BECOMES THE NOMINEE FOR RI GOVERNOR BUT IF ALL FAILS ANYONE BUT CHAFFEE