Good Morning..

Still a lot of factors have to come together for strong to severe thunderstorms…so still some uncertainty, but here is what I think… The risk is low Thursday morning..increasing however by late Thursday afternoon and evening and lasting into Thursday Night.  Storms will approach from western Massachusetts and Connecticut very late in the day…it would not surprise me to see a tornado watch issued for western Connecticut and back thru New York City later in the day.  Storms need very warm to hot air to become severe…however clouds Thursday morning thru noon will initially keep the temperatures down, however by late afternoon and early evening, a strong influx of very warm humid air will move in.  Other factors will come into play by early Thursday evening which will promote stronger storms.  The map below shows where the highest tornado risk will be…west of Hartford.   That risk is only 75 miles from the Rhode Island border, so we will keep a close eye on these storms as they move eastward towards our area Thursday evening.   Tony Petrarca