The Saturday Morning Post: Quick hits on politics & more in RI

September 1st, 2012 at 5:00 am by under Nesi's Notes, On the Main Site, The Saturday Morning Post

Welcome to another edition of my weekend column – as always, send your takes, tips and trial balloons to tnesi@wpri.com.

1. If you did a poll of Rhode Island Democratic Party insiders, support for David Cicilline in the upcoming primary would likely top 90%. Just about everybody you can think of is with him – Reed, Whitehouse, Langevin, Raimondo, Roberts, Taveras, Fox, Paiva Weed and on and on. By contrast, our new WPRI 12 poll shows less than 50% of Democratic primary voters are planning to vote for Cicilline right now. Our hypothetical poll of party insiders also would probably find near-unanimous agreement that Anthony Gemma is a strange, outside-the-mainstream candidate – yet our actual poll shows him with the support of nearly one-third of primary voters. If nothing else, that’s a reminder of the frequent divides between party elites and the actual electorate that votes for them.

2. I already mentioned this in March, but the generation gap in the Cicilline race continues to intrigue me. Among voters under 40, Cicilline’s approval rating is up to 47% – and while their support for him in the primary has slipped from 56% to 49%, that’s still six points higher than the 42% he’s receiving from both middle-aged voters and those 60 and older. (The gap was double-digits in May.) I think it has to do with the damage the Bush years did to the Republican brand among younger Americans and their generally lower awareness of current events, but I’m open to other suggestions.

3. Tuesday night’s Cicilline-Gemma throwdown was my first experience in one of our big prime-time debates, which had me nervous enough – but what really rattled me was the crowd. And while it wasn’t Tim White’s first time moderating, it was his first time anchoring – and he says the auditorium’s insanity made his job more complicated: “After the closing statements, the volume of the crowd was so loud that it was impossible to hear the producer in my ear giving me the countdown to the end of the show. (Keep in mind, we have to nail the end of the debate to the second, so there’s someone in the control room – which in this case is a truck sitting outside the theater – timing the show and letting me know how much time we have left.) The last time-cue I heard was ‘one minute left in show,’ and that was it. I knew viewers watching at home could hear what I was saying, but the crowd was full volume and drowning out the sound coming through the tiny earpiece – my lifeline to my producer. So I guessed. But it worked out, proving luck is better than smarts any day.” (I checked – he nailed it.)

4. This is my second campaign season since I started covering politics for WPRI, and I’ve been heartened to see how much interest there is in the races from regular voters as well as political junkies. We’ve gotten great feedback about our Newsmakers General Assembly debates and the ratings for Tuesday’s debate were stellar, with more than 60,000 TV households watching. On a more local level, I’m moderating a legislative candidates forum Wednesday at 6 p.m. at Central Falls High School – come by and hear them out.

5. The Democratic primary in Senate District 3 on Providence’s East Side is an interesting race. Gayle Goldin is more than just the endorsed Democrat – she was covertly handpicked by retiring state Sen. Rhoda Perry in classic Rhode Island fashion, which Barry Fain reports has “cast a shadow” over Goldin’s candidacy. Her opponent is Maryellen Butke, a liberal on most issues who’s angered teachers unions by advocating K-12 policies along Gates Foundation lines. Both women have plenty of cash, and Goldin has the full support of the East Side political machine – as well as a crucial endorsement from Mayor Angel Taveras, who remains appreciative of her early support for his 2010 campaign. Butke got the better of Goldin at a well-attended Books on the Square forum last month, but Goldin remains the favorite – though Butke can’t be counted out in light of lingering resentment about Perry’s ham-handed handoff and her own energetic campaigning.

6. Speaking of the General Assembly, I’m surprised how many vulnerable incumbents don’t have campaign websites in an age when a Google search could be the average voter’s first stop to research a candidate. Exhibit A: Michael McCaffrey. Exhibit B: Peter Petrarca. Exhibit C: Paul Jabour. Their main opponents all have sites, and so do other endangered incumbents like Dan DaPonte. Another example of the Assembly’s aversion to technology? Or just a continued bet on old-school campaigning?

7. Why transit is so expensive in the U.S.: read part one and part two.

8. Mark Zaccaria and Allan Fung weren’t the only Rhode Islanders who stood out at the Republican National Convention. State delegate Barbara Ann Fenton of Newport made a “shocking suggestion” that the platform should be changed to eliminate civil marriage for straight Americans as well as gay ones. (Another Republican, North Kingstown Sen. Dawson Hodgson, has suggested that at the state level.) And that wasn’t all: Fenton, 31, also voted against the abortion plank of the GOP platform.

9. Congratulations to East Providence’s own Danny Chapman, RI.gov’s talented Web designer, who’s been selected by the White House for its first class of Presidential Innovation Fellows. Dan – one of just 18 fellows chosen from a pool of more than 800 – will be working on an initiative called MyGov that will look for digital ways of connecting citizens with the federal government. Chapman says the experience has been “amazing” so far, and suggests people follow the project’s blog and Twitter feed.

10. A group of graduate students from Virginia traveled to Rhode Island earlier this year to learn, well, how to avoid becoming like Rhode Island – or at least its struggling cities. Bond Buyer reports the crew from George Mason U. met in Central Falls with Robert Flanders, and asked him what an essential service is for a municipality in Rhode Island. “Pensions are not,” he replied. “If someone dials 911, a pension doesn’t respond.” The result of their project is a 22-page document called the “Financial Crisis Toolkit for Municipalities: Distress without Default” – here’s the PDF.

11. This week on Newsmakers – a political roundtable on the 1st Congressional District campaign with Joe Fleming and Scott MacKay joining Arlene Violet, Tim and me. Watch Sunday at 10 a.m. on Fox Providence. This week on Executive Suite – a Labor Day roundtable on the future of organized labor in Rhode Island with Scott Duhamel, Patrick Quinn, Jenna Karlin and Josie Shagwert. Watch Sunday at 6 p.m. on myRITV (or 6 a.m. on Fox).

12. See you back here next Saturday morning. Have a safe and happy Labor Day weekend!

Ted Nesi ( tnesi@wpri.com ) covers politics and the economy for WPRI.com and writes the Nesi’s Notes blog. Follow him on Twitter: @tednesi

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15 Responses to “The Saturday Morning Post: Quick hits on politics & more in RI”

  1. Jake says:

    Re: #2 – younger voters don’t read the Providence Journal, the main source of the anti-Cicilline crusade.

    #5 – Goldin over Butke by 10 points at least (recall, and disclose, that Barry Fain may still be bitter that Perry beat him handily when he challenged her several years ago.)

    #6 – good point, especially if the lack of a website implies not using other more modern campaign technologies.

  2. Justin Katz says:

    Can’t help but wonder whether #1 and #6 are related, perhaps in part by way of Gemma’s voter fraud allegations.

  3. RInative says:

    I think younger voters are more likely to relate to David – and he’s a likable guy. He’s also completely untrustworthy and perhaps younger voters are quick to forgive and forget. I suspect older voters place a higher value on integrity – if this is the case they’ll head to Doherty in droves.

    Goldin is a weak candidate and the failed hand off is a real issue. Does Senator Perry think she is the only one qualified to choose her successor? The NEA has endorsed Goldin and their support will hurt her with the very pro-pension reform East Side.

  4. Cosmo says:

    #10 is great. There are only a couple of states who couldn’t benefit by learning how not to be Rhode Island. At least y’all know a sewer when you see one LOL :)

    1. Ed says:

      Cosmo, I agree another thing with a sewer you don’t have to see, you can smell it. The politics of Rhode Island smell to high heaven.

  5. Joey Boots says:

    The younger set doesn’t quite care as much about dishonesty as the older generation. Plus, they’re not as affected. They don’t own homes yet, so the skyrocketing property taxes has no affected them. The seniors on the fixed income and seeing their property taxes go through the roof, completely understand what the failed Cicilline policies have meant to them.

    I think many legislators don’t have a web site because you have to do it right and to do it right, it’s pricey. You can easily spend more than $1,000 on a good web site. They’re prioritizing their funds elsewhere. Maybe it’s a mistake or maybe it’s money well not spent.

    1. Ed says:

      Too many of the seniors who still reside in Rhode Island are in the high rises. This is a problem because we are paying for their useless lives.

  6. PalmTree says:

    #10 – Virginia students might want to study their own state. How could voters there vote in office Governor Ultra-sound.

    1. Ed says:

      Virginia is not the third world of the United States like Rhode Island.

      1. Ryan says:

        Uh, RI certainly has it’s share of problems but the overall standard of living here is above average for the U.S.

      2. Cosmo says:

        Oh yeah I’m sure the 11% unemployed will be happy to hear how RI has such a great standard of living. Still the armpit of New England.

    2. Ed says:

      Ryan, it is obvious you have never lived anywhere else. If you have ever lived anywhere you would know the standard of living is lower in Rhode Island than the rest of the US. Cosmo, states the offical unemployment rate of 11%. I would bet it is double what the offical numbers are, go on a road trip to other parts of the country especially southern cities.

  7. Future Former Rhode Islander says:

    Isn’t # 8 re: Fenton & Hodgson on civil unions exactly backwards? Don’t you mean “substitute” or “promote,” not “eliminate”? I thought they both wanted the government to license “civil unions” for all couples, instead of “marriages” because “marriage” has strong religious connotations?

    1. Hoyt Jackson says:

      I saw Miss Fenton on CSPAN and was shocked at how poised and eloquent she was for such a little lady! She looks to be about 20, not sure that 31 is her right age. Not sure about Hodgson, but Fenton stated that the government should recognize civil unions, with equal rights, for all couples, and let the religions, however they want to define their religious sacraments, recognize the sacrament of marriage.

      I’m Catholic and I can live with it! I think the younger kids want to make sure their homosexual friends have the same rights, with the protection of our religious traditions as well. I agree with Miss Fenton… find the middle ground and work from there!

      1. Future Former Rhode Islander says:

        Yup – I think civil unions for all is the way to go. Everyone equal before the law and no church in the state, no state in the church. So, I wonder if Ted wants to re-word what he said about Fenton?