October, 2012

KG Snub, Jar Jar Nightmare

October 31st, 2012 at 11:52 pm by under From the Cheap Seats

We are back in the saddle in the sports department after three days of hurricaneSandycoverage. Major props to my colleagues here at WPRI/WNAC, it was a true pleasure to watch the tremendous work and professionalism of everyone in our building and out in the field.

 The first real sense of normalcy we got this week on the sports scene was when the Celtics tipped off Tuesday night in Miami. I am surprised at how out of sorts the C’s looked but I am not surprised that the Heat is still the team to beat in the East. KG ignoring Ray Allen only added to an entertaining and intense rivalry. For the record I side more with Garnett. I think his me against the world act is a little tired and rubs people the wrong way, but he should be able to show his true emotions about a former teammate that apparently didn’t say as much as “good bye” on his way out the door in Boston.

 Tom Brady tied Peyton Manning for most AFC offensive player of the week honors. Both have earned the award 22 times and you can bet they’ll both add to that total. Those two really will be connected at the right arm all the way to Canton.

 Disney bought Lucas Films and immediately promised more Stars Wars movies. As a big fan of the series I am excited but early rumors have Jar Jar Binks in an expanded role. If this is true George Lucas should use the $4 billion he got in the deal to invent a procedure to erase Jar Jar from the memories of every Disney executive. That or burn down every movie theater in the world to spare us the pain of reliving the biggest mistake of a character in the history of cinema.


New WPRI 12 Poll: Obama 54%, Romney 33% in Rhode Island

October 31st, 2012 at 9:50 pm by under Nesi's Notes, On the Main Site

By Ted Nesi and Tim White

PROVIDENCE, R.I. (WPRI) – President Obama continues to hold a commanding lead over Mitt Romney in Rhode Island with six days to go before voters head to the polls, according to an exclusive WPRI 12 poll released Wednesday night.

Read the rest of this story »

• Interactive: Check out the complete WPRI 12 poll results breakdown


Cicilline calls on RI’s top Dems for a public show of support

October 31st, 2012 at 8:25 pm by under Nesi's Notes, On the Main Site

One of the surprises of the 1st Congressional District race so far has been how rarely local Democrats in better standing than David Cicilline have been asked to testify on his behalf to a skeptical electorate. There’s been no commercial featuring, say, Angel Taveras and Gina Raimondo lauding him.

Cicilline’s campaign will make a move to remedy that on Thursday. One day after the new WPRI 12 poll showed Brendan Doherty nearly closing the gap with Cicilline, the Rhode Island Democratic Party announced the party’s big guns will give Cicilline a major public show of support Thursday.

The media advisory is headlined: “RI Dems, Cicilline to discuss Democratic priorities at 1 p.m. news conference Thursday.” The idea is obvious: by standing next to Cicilline, perhaps some of these better-liked Democrats’ popularity will rub off as the incumbent finishes the political fight of his life.

The lineup of speakers who’ll join Cicilline at the Democratic unity event at Slater Mill in Pawtucket: U.S. Sen. Jack Reed, U.S. Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse, Treasurer Gina Raimondo, Providence Mayor Angel Taveras, Lt. Gov. Elizabeth Roberts, Attorney General Peter Kilmartin and Democratic Party Chairman Ed Pacheco.

(more…)


New WPRI 12 Poll: 18% back Chafee re-election, 42% oppose

October 31st, 2012 at 5:59 pm by under Nesi's Notes, On the Main Site

By Ted Nesi and Tim White

PROVIDENCE, R.I. (WPRI) – Gov. Lincoln Chafee faces a decidedly uphill battle if he opts to run for a second term in two years, according to an exclusive WPRI 12 poll released Wednesday night.

The survey of 601 likely voters also finds nearly two-thirds of Rhode Islanders think the state is unfriendly to business but three in five are satisfied with the quality of their local school district.

Read the rest of this story »

Coming up at 11 p.m.: Obama vs. Romney in Rhode Island


Target 12: RI government’s $100K Club tops 1,500 employees

October 31st, 2012 at 11:01 am by under Nesi's Notes

By Tim White

PROVIDENCE, R.I. (WPRI) – The number of state workers making $100,000 or more has increased over the last four years, a Target 12 review of payroll data reveals.

Read the rest of this story »


Sandy Spawns Severe Weather Tue Evening

October 31st, 2012 at 9:24 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

We got word from the National Weather Service this morning that they’ll be sending a survey team to Wareham, MA today to investigate a possible “microburst” from the severe thunderstorms that rolled through there yesterday evening.  A squall line of intense thunderstorms marched through SE RI and southern Bristol County, bringing flash flooding and damaging winds.  There was a cluster of storm reports that came in from Wareham around 8pm– “Trees and wires down on Swift Ave… High and Sawyer Streets blocked by trees with wires down… tree down with wires down on Pinehurst Drive, 2 Utility Poles down– It’s those reports, combined with analyzing the Doppler radar from that time that will determine what actually caused the damage.  Our weather team yesterday noticed the bow echo on the radar within the squall line, which can sometimes lead to a microburst.

A “microburst” is a very localized column of swiftly sinking air that causes straight-line wind damage.  The damage can be similar to tornadoes–with fully grown trees knocked over. The difference is that the damage usually is going out (divergent) from the path of the thunderstorm, whereas tornadoes  have convergent damage along the path of the twister.

Microburst Illustration

 

I mentioned yesterday morning that we were concerned about the possibility of isolated severe storms bringing pockets of wind damage even a day after Hurricane Sandy made landfall.  In fact, we were even concerned about weak tornadoes forming.  They are usually short-lived and  occur in thunderstorms embedded in rain bands well away from the center of a hurricane.  Luckily, Sandy’s remnants are weakening and severe weather is not a concern today.  We’ll let you know what the NWS determines after their survey in Wareham today.


New WPRI 12 Poll: Whitehouse, Langevin hold double-digit leads

October 30th, 2012 at 9:50 pm by under Nesi's Notes

By Ted Nesi and Tim White

PROVIDENCE, R.I. (WPRI) – Incumbent Democrats U.S. Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse and Congressman Jim Langevin still hold sizable leads over their Republican challengers just a week before Election Day, according to an exclusive WPRI 12 poll released Tuesday night.

Read the rest of this story »

• Interactive: Check out the complete WPRI 12 poll results breakdown

Coming on Tuesday: Obama vs. Romney; Chafee for re-election; schools, business climate


Sandy Aftermath…

October 30th, 2012 at 8:45 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening…

After a very busy 5 Days ( we started to get concerned in the weather center last week), things are calmer now. Wind gusts were impressive with the storm, as high as 86 mph on south shore in gusts. At one point the wind was sustained at 64 mph in Westerly.In the weather center, our meteorologist were looking at wind speed forecast data from various computer models. While the computer wind speed forecasts near the ground were modest for the south shore, what really caught our attention was zone of very strong winds along the coast at 1500 meters above ground….115 mph….wow!  It was our thinking that,while not all of that 115 mph wind magnitude would reach ground level, at least 50-70% of it would. This is why we went with a forecast of hurricane fore winds on the south shore.

What had me most concerned was the storm surge potential….this why we were using the following forecast graphic below very often on our broadcast, (and we don’t use this depiction often unless its absolutely necessary)

Based on an already astronomically high tide (full moon), the wind speeds we were forecasting along and offshore, plus the trajectory of the wind (becoming onshore)…this was all pointing to a serious surge potential. Other factors for determining surge include the duration of the wind, the approach angle of the storm (from southeast to northwest), past surge history, and lastly the geography of our coastline and Narragansett bay. All of this was factored by our weather team to come up with our early warning forecast for the coastal surge. 


The photo below is along the south shore the next day…evidence of the water surge.

Photo from Providence Journal Staffer G. Wayne Miller


New WPRI 12 Poll: Cicilline 43%, Doherty 42%, undecided 8%

October 30th, 2012 at 5:54 pm by under Nesi's Notes

By Ted Nesi and Tim White

PROVIDENCE, R.I. (WPRI) – Democratic Congressman David Cicilline is clinging to a wafer-thin lead over Republican challenger Brendan Doherty with just a week to go before voters head to the polls, according to an exclusive WPRI 12 poll released Tuesday night.

Read the rest of this story »

• Interactive: Check out the complete WPRI 12 poll results breakdown

Coming up at 11 p.m.: Whitehouse vs. Hinckley, Langevin vs. Riley.


Cicilline, Doherty attacked in new party-funded TV commercials

October 30th, 2012 at 1:56 pm by under Nesi's Notes, On the Main Site

Both national parties dropped new TV attack ads Tuesday in a last-minute effort to bolster the campaigns of Democrat David Cicilline and Republican Brendan Doherty in the 1st Congressional District.

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee moved first, releasing a 30-second spot that echoes Cicilline’s efforts to tie Doherty to the national GOP, suggesting he’d support allowing insurers to deny coverage to individuals with preexisting conditions and noting his general praise for Paul Ryan’s budget plan.

The National Republican Congressional Committee followed hours later with a brutal 30-second spot targeting Cicilline’s former career as a lawyer. “What do a child molester, a murderer and a violent attacker all have in common?” the narrator says over photos of mugshots. “Defense attorney David Cicilline.”

With the two candidates locked in a tight race, both party committees said last week they’d jump into the race with independent advertising campaigns of their own. The NRCC is spending $280,000 and the DCCC is spending $315,000. WPRI 12 will release a new poll on the race at 6 p.m.

Update: Doherty’s campaign released its own new TV ad late Tuesday afternoon, a 30-second positive spot called “What is Right” where Doherty and his wife, Michele, makes his closing argument to voters. The ad is a stark contrast to the hit on Cicilline released earlier by Doherty’s national GOP allies.

• Related: Cicilline vs. Doherty: New WPRI 12 poll drops tonight at 6 p.m. (Oct. 30)


Projo’s print circulation down another 7%; e-editions at 4,224

October 30th, 2012 at 12:26 pm by under Nesi's Notes, On the Main Site

The Providence Journal’s print circulation fell 7% during the six months ended Sept. 30 as subscriptions to its new electronic edition rose past 4,000.

The Journal sold an average of 83,733 traditional print copies on weekdays between April 1 and Sept. 30, a decrease of 6,352 from the same period a year earlier, the Audit Bureau of Circulations reported Tuesday.

The Journal said its total average weekly circulation was 114,303 when “branded editions” are included, which would include its free ProjoExpress publication. The Audit Bureau changed its rules in 2011 to count those.

The Projo’s print circulation on Sundays – the most lucrative edition of the week for most papers – totaled 117,784 copies, a drop of 11,240 since the September 2011 report. Saturday circulation fell by 9,117 copies, from 115,892 to 106,775.

ProvidenceJournal.com had 1.2 million unique visitors as of March 31, up from 868,693 in the six months ended March 31 and matching the audience for the old Projo.com a year ago, the Audit Bureau said.

The Journal reported 4,224 subscriptions to its e-edition, broken out as 1,398 on weekdays, 1,411 on Saturdays and 1,415 on Sundays.

(more…)


Read a roundtable on the future of journalism in Rhode Island

October 30th, 2012 at 12:01 pm by under Nesi's Notes, On the Main Site

Providence Monthly had a fun idea for its November edition – get a bunch of Rhode Island journalists together to talk shop and discuss where we think the battered media industry is going next.

The roundtable was earlier this month, and it was interesting to hear where all of us agree, disagree and aren’t sure. The group Providence Monthly brought together was Tim White and me (WPRI), Ian Donnis (RIPR), Erika Niedowski (AP), Dan McGowan (GoLocal), Tim Murphy (Projo) and Dave Scharfenberg (Phoenix).

Part 1 is here and Part 2 is here. A sample:

John T: We have seven reporters seated at the table and only one representing a print daily, which is quite a change from if we had had this conversation ten, fifteen, twenty years ago. What is the changing nature of this profession as the era of the traditional beat reporter gives way to this new media landscape? What does the beat reporter of the future look like? Who does the next generation’s Bob Woodward or Carl Bernstein work for?

Ted N: I think it’s interesting, because we’re at a time where you can jump in in different ways. My job was just an experiment by Channel 12. They never would have had a writer when it was just a TV station; there was nowhere to put the writing. Now everyone has a website. Erika’s stuff used to be primarily available inside a newsroom until it got into a paper. Now the AP has a mobile site. I don’t like to make predictions anymore – not that I ever did and I haven’t been in it that long – but I never predict where it’s all going. I think a lot of it is just trying to keep an eye on where things are moving and sort of get there along with the readers – not wait until you realize that people have migrated, and then you’re left behind. You’re not in the place where people want to be. But hopefully the standards can remain the same.


Coastal Flood Warning Cancelled

October 30th, 2012 at 11:27 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

All flood warnings have now been cancelled for our viewing area.  The official cleanup from Sandy can now begin.  There is still a chance of some showers with gusty winds, but the winds will not be to the magnitude that we saw yesterday. 

I have heard a lot of people comparing this storm to Irene.  The people along the coast and bay that are dealing with flood damage probably would give the nod to Sandy as the more devastating storm.  In terms of tree damage and power outages, Irene had more total power outages for Rhode Island.   Using very rough estimates, Irene caused about 300 thousand outages in Rhode Island.  As of this morning, Sandy’s number was 115 thousand outages.   So overall, Irene caused more outages than Sandy.  Of course, this is of little comfort if you are one of those without power right now.  Here’s to hoping the lights come back on for you soon. -Pete Mangione


Cicilline vs. Doherty: New WPRI 12 poll drops tonight at 6 p.m.

October 30th, 2012 at 5:00 am by under Nesi's Notes, On the Main Site

Sandy distracted Rhode Island for a bit, but as of this morning the election is just one week away.

What better time for a new WPRI 12 poll? Our new survey of 600 likely voters in Rhode Island will be released starting at 6 p.m. tonight with brand-new findings on who’s ahead in the hotly contested 1st Congressional District race between Congressman David Cicilline and challenger Brendan Doherty.

We’ll also have new poll results for president (Obama vs. Romney), U.S. Senate (Whitehouse vs. Hinckley) and the 2nd Congressional District (Langevin vs. Riley vs. Collins). And we’ll share the results of three other questions testing Rhode Islanders’ opinions on the state’s business climate, its K-12 education system and whether Lincoln Chafee deserves a second term as governor.

Check back at 6 p.m. for the first round of results here on WPRI.com and live on WPRI 12.


The Worst is Over

October 30th, 2012 at 4:00 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The worst of what was Hurricane Sandy is now over.  However, some minor flooding is possible at high tide this morning. 

There were numerous reports of downed trees and coastal flooding…too many to list here.  I will go over a few:

Coastal communities like Westerly, Newport, and Narragansett were impacted by moderate to major flooding.  But the impacts were not limited to just the south coast.  The water pushed up Narragansett Bay and the Barrington River.  This caused problems up and down the East and West Bay; East Providence and Barrington were especially hard hit.

Fox Point Hurricane Barrier

Flooding was officially listed as MAJOR last night, although the barrier worked as planned, protecting downtown Providence from being inundated with water. 

For last night’s high tide, the tidal gauge recorded waters of about 10 feet.  The water piled up against the barrier and went over the banks of the river.  The picture below is from Susan Campbell, who was covering the story last night.  You could normally stand against that railing and look out onto the river.  Notice the water rushing right over the railing! -Pete Mangione

 

 

 


Sandy Getting Closer, Stronger

October 29th, 2012 at 2:16 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Here is the latest on Sandy as of 2PM:

*Gusts along the south shore of Rhode Island and southeastern Mass are now ranging between 50-60 mph.

*Scattered reports of trees down and wind damage. We expect these reports to increase.

*Sandy now has winds of 90 mph and continues her path towards the Jersey shore.

*After the first round of coastal flooding this morning, we expect a more serious round this afternoon and this evening.  High tide is at around 8:30PM; this is when the flooding will be at its worst.  However, we will probably see flooding well in advance of this high tide.

*The worst of Sandy should pass by 10PM, but gusty winds and some rain will remain overnight.  Tomorrow morning’s high tide will also have to be watched as more flooding is possible then.


Major Coastal Flooding Still Expected this Evening

October 29th, 2012 at 9:59 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

We’ve made it through this morning’s high tide (around 8am) with only minor flooding reported in both Narragansett Bay and along the coastline.  The storm surge was around 2-2.5ft at high tide, which lead to minor splashover at some coastal locations and forced some roadways to shut down.  Tidal gauges in Narragansett Bay reported water levels near flood stage, but no significant flooding was reported.  Here’s a pic from some flooding in Fairhaven, MA

The high tide cycle that we are most concerned about this evening’s 8:23pm high tide.  We are still expecting a coastal flood event that could match or be slightly worse in spots that what was experienced in Hurricane Bob in 1991.  The storm surge will grow in FEET by this evening–up to 4-7ft and with 10-15ft breakers and an astronomical high tide on top of that, the flood could become major.  Here’s the wording from the National Weather Service this morning:

THE COASTAL FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE RHODE ISLAND COAST AND WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS MAY BE COMPARABLE OR EVEN A LITTLE WORSE THAN HURRICANE BOB IN 1991.  A DURING THE HIGH TIDES THERE IS ALSO THE RISK OF STORM SURGE FLOODNIG UP THE LOWER ENDS OF UNPROTECTED RIVERS THAT FEED INTO BAYS…SOUNDS AND THE OCEAN. …

The impacts this evening will be widespread flooding of vulnerable shore roads and basements.  Numerous road closures are likely and we may even see damage to homes and businesses along shorelines.  Inundation of 3-5ft about ground level is expected at some locations.


Sandy Starts Her Turn

October 29th, 2012 at 7:57 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Michelle and I have notice that Sandy is now making that expected turn towards the northwest.  In other words, she is now starting her run at the northeast.  Based on this turn and other data coming in, the track has been adjusted slightly to the south.  This would put Sandy somewhere around southern New Jersey.  This may spare us from the worst of the storm, but we will still see a storm surge this morning and a more significant storm surge tonight. (As of 7:30AM, one of our reporters already saw waves crashing over the seawall in Narragansett) 

Damaging winds and and power outages also remain in the forecast.  The strongest gusts will be along the south shore.  Sandy is a HUGE storm, I will try to post an image in a few minutes. -Pete Mangione


Sandy now 85 mph

October 29th, 2012 at 5:17 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

This will be a short but important blog post.  Sandy now has winds of 85 mph; making her a strong category 1 hurricane.  Narragansett Bay has already seen a storm surge of about 2 feet.  We could see some minor flooding near high tide at around 8AM; a much bigger surge with with more significant flooding this evening around 8PM high tide. -Pete Mangione


Watch Executive Suite with Gorbea, Marcantonio on RI housing

October 29th, 2012 at 5:00 am by under Nesi's Notes, On the Main Site


Sandy Comparison to Past Storms

October 29th, 2012 at 4:16 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good morning.  Michelle will be handling most of the on-air coverage today, I will be doing a lot of the online updates.  We just went on the air (4am), so here is a quick update:

Sandy is still a very dangerous hurricane with winds of 75 mph.  As we go through out the day, sustained winds are expected to be between 35 to 50 mph with gusts around 60 mph.  The south shore and Block Island could get gusts around 75 mph.  Overall, this would put us in the general ballpark of what we went through with Irene.  However, I wouldn’t be suprised if the south shore gets hit with stronger wind than Irene.  Bottom line? Downed trees and power outages are likely.

As for storm surge, coastal flooding has the potential to produce what we went through with Hurricane Bob. That means flooded roads, beaches, and even some homes.  Please do not ignore the advice of local officials; many mandatory evecuations are alread in place.  More updates soon…..

-Pete Mangione


2pm NHC Update

October 29th, 2012 at 1:59 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

 Sandy remains a hurricane, making a slight turn to the north with winds of 75mph with higher gusts.  Sandy now approximately 445miles to the SSE of Providence at 35.2N 70.5W.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Over the next 6hours or so, we expect Sandy to continue moving northward, followed by a turn to the northwest.

Indications are that Sandy will make a landfall over NJ.  We encourage you to stay tuned to further forecasts as Sandy is still expected to have a major impact on S’rn New England with damagaing wind gusts and possibly major coastal flooding.

-tj


Late Night Sandy Update…

October 29th, 2012 at 12:29 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Morning…Click below to view updated video forecast on Sandy

http://www.wpri.com/dpp/weather/detailed_7_day/Todays_Weather_Discussion

Tony Petrarca


11pm NHC Update

October 28th, 2012 at 11:07 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

According the the National Hurricane Center, “Sandy about to start its northward turn…expected to bring life-threatening storm surge…coastal hurricane winds…

Latest info:

34.5N 70.5W
Max winds:  75mph with higher gusts
Moving northeast 14mph
Minimum Central Pressure:  950mb 28.05inches.

Landfall still anticipated over NJ.

Major impacts to Southern New England still include damaging winds, significant to major coastal flooding from waves and storm surge and beach erosion.

-tj


Ken McKay’s super PAC slams Whitehouse in Pats game TV ad

October 28th, 2012 at 10:23 pm by under Nesi's Notes, On the Main Site

He’s back. Sort of.

Ken McKay, the former Republican National Committee official who briefly chaired the state GOP last year, is also the creator of People’s Majority, a super PAC created after the Citizens United decision that re-emerged this month – apparently to go after U.S. Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse.

People’s Majority attacked Whitehouse on Sunday with a new 30-second attack ad that aired on WPRI 12 during halftime of the Patriots-Rams game, one of the highest-rated broadcasts of the week. The commercial repeated disputed allegations of insider trading against Whitehouse, who had a big lead over Republican challenger Barry Hinckley as of last month.

Cabell Hobbs replaced McKay as the treasurer of People’s Majority at some point last year, Federal Election Commission filings show.

(more…)


What Is A Storm Surge…

October 28th, 2012 at 8:56 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening From Meteorologist Tony Petrarca

Storm surge deals with a “surge ” of  abnormally high water from the open ocean, which moves onshore…its the amount of water rise above what the daily normal high tide is … The height of the storm surge can vary from a few feet, to a staggering 15-18 ft. That kind of a surge is usually reserved for a major hurricane. The forecast storm surge for Sandy is 4-7 ft…however that does not include waves…large breaking waves on top of the 4-7 foot surge will create what we consider moderate to major coastal flooding along the coast on Monday


Storm surge height is determined by a number of things, including the strength of the storm, the tide cycle, wind direction and speed, the forward movement of the storm as well as the geography of the coastline. Stay tuned for updates.


Will the Bridges Close?

October 28th, 2012 at 8:31 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

I’ve had a couple of questions regarding whether the bridges will be closed tomorrow.  This is from the RI Turnpike and Bridge Authority:

Will the bridge be closed in really bad weather?
Only on rare occcasions is the bridge temporarily closed to traffic due to weather conditions. Although particular circumstances that necessitate a closure may differ, in general, sustained wind speeds of 60 knots in directions north, northeast, south, or southwest will require traffic restrictions. See the Weather Restrictions page for more details.

Our winds in the morning will tend northeast to east, becoming southeast late in the day.  Wind speeds will be 30-50mph with hurricane force wind possible on the bridges.  So…my guess is that they will close the bridges.  The State Police make the ultimate decision on this.  We, of course, will pass the info along to you.

-tj

 


High Winds from Sandy

October 28th, 2012 at 6:45 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

We are anticipating winds of 30-50mph from Sandy with some wind gusts greater than 70mph….the worst PM Monday.

The National Weather Service in Taunton has issued a High Wind Warning for the winds expected on Monday.  Here’s an excerpt from their High Wind Warning Message…

THE STRONGEST AND MOST DAMAGING WINDS WILL OCCUR DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING…ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST INCLUDING CAPE
COD AND THE ISLANDS. HIGH RISE BUILDINGS ALONG THE COAST INCLUDING
THE CITIES OF BOSTON AND PROVIDENCE WILL BE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO
WIND DAMAGE.

You get the picture…this is a serious situation for low-lying areas and those on higher ground.  Please use caution the next several days.

-tj


A Few Developing Tidbits Regarding Sandy

October 28th, 2012 at 4:40 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Here’s the latest update from Tony: 

http://www.wpri.com/dpp/weather/detailed_7_day/Todays_Weather_Discussion

Amtrak will cancel all service north of NYC tonight, after 7pm.  Most services up and down the Eastern Seaboard will be cancelled on Monday.

The latest information from the National Hurricane Center is in.  Sandy is still a Hurricane with sustained winds of 75mph with higher gusts, moving northeast at 15mph.  Position: 33.4N 71.3W or about 560 miles to the south of Providence, RI.

-tj


Increasing Evidence of a Very Dangerous Storm

October 28th, 2012 at 2:14 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Everything now appears to be coming together for a very dangerous storm in southern New England.  When Sandy makes her closest pass on Monday night, we will have a full moon and high tide.  The full moon on its own makes the tide especially high; and now we add Sandy.  Regardless of whether Sandy makes landfall in New York City or southern New Jersey, storm surge may approach historic levels for Rhode Island and southeastern Massachusetts.  The forecasted surge is 3 to 6 feet. With the addition of 10 to 15 foot breakers on top of that, beaches, roads, and even some homes could end up flooded. 

Mandatory evacuations have already been issued in parts of Westerly, RI, and there may be more to follow.  The path of the storm makes things worse; as Sandy makes that expected hook left, she will drive water towards to shore for a long period of time.  The National Weather Service is usually very careful with their language, so the following excerpt got my attention.  This is from a statement issued at 12:27pm on Sunday:

THIS IS MOST SERIOUS COASTAL FLOOD THREAT IN YEARS FOR PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTH COAST OF RHODE ISLAND AND MASSACHUSETTS. PEOPLE NEED
TO COMPLETE PREPARATIONS BY LATE TODAY. MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IS
CONSIDERED SEVERE ENOUGH TO CAUSE AT LEAST SCATTERED STRUCTURAL
DAMAGE ALONG WITH WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS
AND/OR BASEMENTS. SOME VULNERABLE HOMES MAY BE SEVERELY DAMAGED
OR DESTROYED. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE…SOME WITH
WASHOUTS SEVERE ENOUGH TO BE LIFE- THREATENING IF ONE ATTEMPTED
TO CROSS ON FOOT OR BY VEHICLE. SOME NEIGHBORHOODS WILL LIKELY BE
ISOLATED. EVACUATION OF SOME NEIGHBORHOODS WILL LIKELY BE
NECESSARY. PLEASE HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS.

I especially agree with that last line.  -Pete Mangione