Our computer models are continuing this morning to show a major winter storm—a pretty classic nor’easter–impacting New England on Friday into early Saturday.  It’s a storm that has the potential to be the most significant storm of the season, so far, for our area.  While we’re feeling more confident that the storm will impact our area… there are still disagreements among our computer models about the track and intensity of the storm–and how much/how long/ how far north the mix with or changeover to rain/sleet will be.  That is one of the trickier forecast details that has yet to be worked out, and it will affect our snowfall accumulations with this storm.  The two main camps are the European/RPM models vs the GFS Model.  The Euro/RPM is the colder/snowier scenario for southern New England:

06z RPM Accum Snow Through Friday Night

Yes–that’s 1.5ft to 2ft+ of snow for most of our area!

On the flip side, the GFS is continuing to show a warmer scenario, with snow changing to rain for much of southern New England for a time late day Friday into Friday evening.  That means much less snow locally—heaviest snow would be farther north in MA/NH/ME.

00z GFS Snow Accums through Saturday AM

This model still shows 6-10″ for inland areas of RI… but only 3-6″ along the coast.  Huge difference between the models, right?  That’s why we’re going to continue pouring over the weather data over the next few days and keep you updated on the latest information.  Here’s what we are thinking for timing/impacts:

Storm Futurecast