Periods of Heavy Rain, Strong T-Storms Monday into Wednesday

July 13th, 2014 at 8:13 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

New data coming in continues to support the threat of showers and strong thunderstorms Monday into Wednesday.  One change I am noticing is the tendency for the front to slow down; this translates to the showers lasting longer into Wednesday afternoon, rather than wrapping up in the morning.

MONDAY: Periods of showers and strong thunderstorms will move through.  This still does NOT look like a washout, but Tony will look at more data Sunday night to see if this changes.


*RISK OF DAMAGING WIND: LOW TO MODERATE (Highest for northern and western Rhode Island)


TUESDAY: Another humid day with the chance of showers and strong thunderstorms.  The showers and thunderstorms look like they will be more frequent than on Monday, especially by the afternoon.  The heaviest of the rain may fall Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning.




WEDNESDAY: This axis of heaviest rainfall looks like it pulls through on Wednesday morning; therefore the Wednesday morning commute could be a rough one.  As mentioned above, the front responsible for the showers and T-storms looks like it will take its time moving through southern New England.  Therefore, some showers and thunderstorms are still possible through out the afternoon.





The timing on all of this could change, so stay tuned for adjustments.  Tony will have another look at the data soon. Have a good Sunday! -Pete Mangione





Could be Wet and Wild for First Part of Work Week

July 12th, 2014 at 6:35 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

New information continues to come in regarding the showers and thunderstorms for the first part of the work week; this new information is very consistent with previou0s data… it keeps the timing from Monday until about Wednesday morning.

Monday: There will be periods of showers and thunderstorms; some of which could be quite strong bringing heavy downpours and damaging winds.  The difficult part of this forecast is determining whether Monday will be a washout or not.  For now, I will say no washout with a decent amount of dry time mixed in with the rain.  However, one of our computer models is more aggressive and stalls a boundary right over southern New England.  I would like to look at more data before making a final call about whether Monday is a “watch a movie” type of day.

TUESDAY: This looks like the best chance for a washout with periods of showers, thunderstorms, and heavy rain.  Just like Monday, a few of these storms will have the potential of damaging winds and flash flooding.

WEDNESDAY: Showers and thunderstorms are likely at least through the early morning, and then things should gradually improve during the afternoon.  It is THIS part of the forecast that is subject to the most change; if the front speeds up by a few hours, Wednesday afternoon could be a nice day.  If the front slows down by a few hours, Wednesday could end up a washout.

We will keep fine tuning the timing and details over the next few days. -Pete Mangione



Friday rain caused a lot of problems, but it wasn’t all bad

July 5th, 2014 at 8:24 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

We never want to see a situation like we did in New Bedford with almost 8 inches of rain.  That is WAY too much rain at one time.   A lot of our viewing area was a little more fortunate, with rainfall generally between 2 and 4.5 inches.  (That’s still a lot in one day!)

So what is the silver lining in the Friday rain? It did bring some much needed rainfall to a lot of lawns and gardens, which really needed it.  The graphic below uses rainfall since June 1 at TF Green Airport.  Notice how we turned a deficit into a surplus! -Pete Mangione


Flash Floods, Arthur, and the rest of the 4th

July 4th, 2014 at 1:29 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The impacts of Arthur really started to get going this afternoon….a Flash Flood Warning is in effect for Providence, Warwick, Cranston, and for portions of Kent, Washington, and Providence County.  Here was the scene on RADAR earlier.


Arthur is still a category 1 storm with winds of 90 mph.  You can see it has started to merge with the front moving over our area.


Arthur will remain offshore and make his closest pass late tonight….he will give us some heavy rain before that happens.  Look for showers and downpours to continue until 9 or 10PM.   If he speeds up, we may be able to get them out of here a little sooner.  It may get windy tonight with gusts around 3o mph, so some isolated wind damage is possible.  But our main threat will be street flooding, please don’t drive through flooded roads.  More updates soon. -Pete Mangione



Arthur Weakens a Little, Flash Flood Watch Remains

July 4th, 2014 at 9:20 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Arthur has weakened a little (to a Category 1), his winds are down to 90 mph and he is moving northeast at 21 mph.  The storm is still expected to stay offshore during its closest pass tonight.



While we will get high surf and rip currents here in Rhode Island and Bristol County Mass, the biggest impacts will come in the form of rain.  In fact, we have already seen some downpours and thunderstorms this morning.  Here is a snapshot from 9AM.


A Flash Flood Watch starts at noon and goes through tonight.  1-3 inches possible with higher isolated amounts. Some localized street flooding is possible.  Please turn around if you see any flooded roads…..most people are in their cars when they get in trouble during flash floods. More updates later this morning. -Pete Mangione



Primary Arthur Impacts on Land will be Rain

July 4th, 2014 at 7:34 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

New update from National Hurricane Center. Arthur still a Cat 2 hurricane with winds 100 mph.  It has picked up speed as expected and is now moving to the northeast at 23 mph.  While it will get gusty tonight, Arthur’s impacts will be primarily rain.  1 to 3 inches of rain is possible with some higher isolated amounts.  That is why a Flash Flood Watch goes into effect at noon and goes through tonight. More updates soon.  -Pete Mangione


Morning Update: Arthur Still Cat 2

July 4th, 2014 at 4:29 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

As of early this morning, Arthur is a Category 2 Hurricane with winds of 100 mph.   It is moving to the northeast at 22 mph.  After sweeping over the outer banks of North Carolina, Arthur will move back into the ocean.  As this happens, Arthur may increase in strength a little, but the overall trend will be to weaken by the time he makes his closest pass to southern New England.  That being said, he likely still be a Category 1 hurricane as he makes his closest pass tonight.


-Rain with some heavy downpours, especially from the afternoon into the evening.  The morning may end up with a decent amount of rain-free time.  Localized street flooding is possible in isolated areas by afternoon and evening.

-High surf and dangerous rip currents, especially out into Cape Cod.  The rip currents may last into Saturday and Sunday as well.

-Gusty winds tonight (25-35 mph).  Some isolated wind damage is possible, but keep in mind that these wind speeds are not that uncommon here in southern New England.


Tropical Storm Warning for Cape, Rain on way for 4th

July 3rd, 2014 at 7:13 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The evening update from the National Hurricane Center still shows Hurricane Arthur with winds of 90 mph, movement to the northeast at 13 mph.  The center is still expected to miss us offshore, but the forecast now has the path close enough for a Tropical Storm Warning to be issued for Cape Cod and the surrounding waters.


This means that it will be especially dangerous for boaters out toward the Cape and Islands.  It won’t be quite as bad across the Rhode Island shore, but some high surf and dangerous rip currents are likely late Friday into Saturday (possibly in Sunday as well).

As Arthur makes his closest pass late Friday night, winds will pick up.  Damaging winds should be confined to the outer Cape, with Rhode Island and most of Bristol County Mass getting winds that are not quite as strong.



Thunderstorms and showers are possible through Friday morning, but the heaviest of the rain looks to be Friday afternoon into early Friday evening.  This might leave a little hope for the 4th of July Parade in Bristol (at least the first part of it).  There will likely be some showers and downpours, but we will may get some breaks as well.

We will continue to update you through out the weekend. -Pete Mangione


Arthur, 4th of July, and the Weekend

July 3rd, 2014 at 2:49 pm by under General Talk

This will be a very brief update.  The first afternoon data just came in from the National Hurricane Center.  Here are the stats:

2PM: Winds 90 mph (Category 1 Hurricane)
NNE 12 mph

The storm is just offshore from South Carolina.  The new path still takes it offshore of southern New England, but close enough to create dangerous rip currents and high surf into the weekend.  As for tropical storm force winds, that should stay well east of Rhode Island, but could happen on Nantucket and on portions of the out Cape.

A front that sweeps just ahead of Arthur (and grabs some of its moisture) will bring some heavy rain for the 4th of July, especially for the afternoon.  Localized street flooding will be the primary concern.

In the meantime, some occasional strong T-storms are possible this afternoon and evening.  However, much of the time will be rain-free.  More updates coming this evening. -Pete Mangione


Arthur still looks like a miss, but he will affect our weather

July 1st, 2014 at 7:38 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

As of Tuesday evening, Tropical Storm Arthur had winds of 52 mph and was moving slowly to the northwest.  Over the next couple of days, Arthur should continue to get stronger and pick up some speed making a potential landfall on the North Carolina coast by Friday morning. At this point, Arthur will likely be a Category 1 hurricane.  The next stop would be offshore from southern New England; its closest pass would likely be Friday night or early Saturday morning.  At this point, it would likely be just barely a Category 1 hurricane or a strong tropical storm. Here is the Tuesday evening updated track:


The center line is the forecast track of the storm, the yellow represents the “cone of uncertainty”.  That means that the storm has a chance of making landfall anywhere in the yellow, but the chance for southern New England is still quite low. While we are not forecasting Arthur to hit us directly, the track could bend a little more to the west which would translate to a more serious situation for us.  That is why it’s important to stay tuned to future forecasts for changes.

If our current forecast holds, land impacts would be minimal.  However, high surf and dangerous rip currents will likely affect mariners and beach goers.

There is a front just ahead of Arthur that WILL likely impact things on land.  As the front approaches, it will pull in some “Arthur influenced” tropical moisture.  This will move through Thursday and Friday.  Dangerous lightning and damaging winds are possible, but I am most concerned about the heavy downpours.  Some localized flooding is possible for both days.  The best chance for getting the heavy downpours would be Thursday afternoon into Friday morning.



That leaves some hope for fireworks on the night of the 4th of July! The timing on all of this could change so please keep checking back for updates. -Pete Mangione






Holiday Forecast And Tropical Update

June 30th, 2014 at 7:41 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Michelle and TJ have written great blogs so far about 4th of July thunderstorms and the potential of a tropical storm.  I will make this brief and give you some updated information:

Watching “Tropical Depression #1″

As of late Monday night, Tropical Depression #1 was spinning just offshore from Florida .  If this end up turning into a tropical storm, it would be Tropical Storm Arthur.

The computer models generally agree that it will meander near the Florida coast for the next couple of days, and then start to turn to the north.  The general track has it making landfill on the North Carolina coast, moving back over the water, and then making a close pass to southern New England Friday night into Saturday morning.



If this forecast hold up, impacts on land would be minimal.  In fact, Friday night into Saturday would end up being nice with comfortable temperatures.  There would likely be some big waves and rough surf so boaters would have to use caution.  If it tracks more to the left, then impacts would be much greater here in southern New England.  Therefore, we still need to watch this carefully.



As Michelle mentioned, a front will combine with lots of moisture to bring the threat of showers and thunderstorms Thursday and Friday.  Heavy downpours and localized street flooding are possible, but it won’t be raining the entire time.  As of late Monday afternoon, the new European Model (a computer model that tends to do pretty well) run has the threat of showers moving out just before fireworks time on Friday night.


We don’t want to take each computer run too literally, but it’s a sign that at least the 4th of July is not a complete washout.  The timing of the shower/T-storm threat will likely shift a little bit in the coming days, so we need to look at more data before anything gets cancelled on the holiday. Stay tuned! -Pete Mangione


Top 5 reasons May seemed cool (Even though it wasn’t)

June 5th, 2014 at 3:17 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

When we look at March, April, and May at TF Green airport, the meteorological spring of 2014 was 1.6° below normal.  This probably comes as no surprise.  However, it is a little surprising (at least to me) that the month of May was slightly warmer (0.6°) than normal.  While I did not conduct a scientific pole, anecdotal evidence tells me that many of you would also be surprised by this.  My anecdotal evidence is based on emails, social media, and personal interactions with viewers.  These interactions have a common theme…..”When is the warm weather going to get here?!!!”

So why did May seem to be a cool month when, in reality, it was actually warmer than normal? There is no right or wrong answer to this, but I decided to offer up a few theories for this difference between perception and reality.


1) The Memorial Day Bust

I was the on-air meteorologist on Memorial Day for the morning and noon show. During the morning show, my forecast was “morning showers clearing to afternoon sunshine with highs in the 80s”.  I will be the first to admit that this forecast did not work out. The high temperature did hit 78°; so in terms of temperature it was actually an above normal day.  However, because rain and clouds lingered for much of the afternoon, the day ended up a being a disappointment and “cooler” than expected.

2) Cloudy, Foggy Mornings

Most of my weather shifts are on weekend mornings.  During this past May, it seemed that almost every Saturday and Sunday morning had thick fog in place!  It is quite common to get fog here in southern New England, but my memory of May 2014 is that it was especially foggy.  When a morning is gloomy and foggy, it can sometimes set a “cool” tone for the entire day, even if brighter skies move in during the afternoon.

 3) No Sizzling Beach Days

Usually in May, we get a decent stretch of days in the 80s and sometimes even a few 90s.  For 2014, we had zero days in the 90s and only 3 days in the 80s….not exactly hot beach weather.  Compare this to 2013 when May had 3 days in the 80s and 2 days in the 90s.  In 2012, May had zero days in the 90s but 6 days in the 80s.  Overall, despite being a little warmer than average, May of 2014 did not have many “hot” days….I think this helped lead to the perception that May was a cool month.

 4) Wednesday, May 28th Was a Ridiculously Chilly Day

The month of May was a mix of good and bad weather days, but the worst day came on Wednesday May 28th.  Do you remember that? In addition to the periods of rain, the high temperature only made it to 53° and gusty winds kept wind chills in the 40s for much of the day.  Not fun! Because that day came so late in the month, I think it is still stuck in our memories when we think back on May.

5) Chilly Ocean = Chilly Sea Breeze

I did a story during the middle of May about the first group of beaches opening for the season. At the time, Newport Harbor water temperatures were in the upper 40s.  By the end of the month, they made it into the 50s.   When winds come in off of the water (as they often do in the spring), it can have a dramatic cooling effect on the immediate coast.  Because official temperatures are kept at TF Green airport, they don’t always reflect the cooler temperature at our local beaches.


The list above contains my theories, so there is plenty of room for disagreement on this topic.  Here’s to some warmer beach days this summer! -Pete Mangione




Afternoon Better Than Morning

May 26th, 2014 at 11:35 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The showers have been hanging around longer than anticipated this morning, but the afternoon will be milder.  I trimmed back my high temperatures a little bit.  Partly sunny skies will move in during the afternoon, there is a chance of a brief shower or 2 in the early afternoon but overall still a mild day.  Here is an updated planner below…it’s still possible that areas north and west of Providence still get close to 80. -Pete Mangione



Hurriance Forecast 2014: The Feds Weigh In

May 22nd, 2014 at 5:27 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

NOAA released its 2014 Atlantic hurricane forecast on Thursday.  Overall, they are forecasting a below to near normal upcoming hurricane season.  Because long term forecasting is not an exact science, NOAA wisely uses ranges and probabilities; it is impossible to nail down an exact number.

According to the NOAA, the following has a 70% chance of occurring:


The above ranges are on the lower end of the season averages (listed below):


Average Hurricane Season (Courtesy NOAA based on data from 1981 to 2010)

Named Storms: 12

Hurricanes: 6

Major Hurricanes: 3


There are several factors leading to the slightly below normal forecast.  One is the cooler ocean temperatures in the Atlantic.  Remember, hurricanes and tropical storms like to feed off of warm water, so cooler ocean waters may act to squash out some of the storms.

A second factor is the expected development of El Nino by this summer or fall.  El Nino is characterized by warmer than normal waters in the equatorial Pacific which in turn can shift the jet stream to a more southerly track across the United States.



This pattern can increase wind shear in the Atlantic.  Wind shear is the change of wind speed with height; this is not a good environment for hurricanes.  El Nino can also cause an increase in trade winds (a wind pattern that occurs near the equator).  Stronger trade winds can also put a cap on hurricanes or potential tropical storms that are trying to form.

All this being said, it only takes one big hurricane or tropical storm to make it seem like an active season.  Category 5 Hurricane Andrew slammed Florida in 1992; this also happened to be an El Nino year. -Pete Mangione


Uplifting Air Show Forecast

May 16th, 2014 at 12:47 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The Rhode Island Air Show will take place this weekend at Quonset State Airport in North Kingstown.  When I was looking at the forecast a few days ago, I was not optimistic.  But the rainmaker for tonight into tomorrow will move through more quickly than originally anticipated….that is great news if you plan on heading to the show!  Let’s break it down by time:


9AM – 10AM (Gates Open):  Partly cloudy with temperatures in the upper 60s to around 70.

10AM – 4:30PM (Show is On!): Some low clouds are possible for the first hour or two, but most of the day will feature more sun than clouds which should make for great viewing! Temperatures will be comfortable; upper 60s during the late morning and mid 70s by the afternoon.  Humidity will also be falling through out the day so the “muggy” feeling from the past couple of days won’t be a problem.  It will be breezy with winds 10-15 mph with some gusts around 20 mph…nothing the planes can’t handle!

What to wear?: The light jacket, fleece, or sweatshirt might not be a bad idea in the morning, but I’m thinking short sleeves and pants (or shorts) is the rule for most of the day.



9AM – 10AM (Gates Open): It will be a mostly sunny start but also a little cooler than Saturday morning.  Temperatures will be in the upper 50s to low 60s at this point so still not too bad!

10AM – 4:30PM (Show is On!): Visibility should make for great viewing through out the day. Humidity will be quite low so low clouds and fog will not be an issue.  Skies will be mostly sunny in the morning, but there may be some scattered clouds popping up during the afternoon.  After 1 or 2PM , there is about a 30% chance that some showers could be falling from some of these clouds.  Any shower that forms should be brief.  Breezes will be from the north at around 5-15 mph; so not quite as breezy as Saturday.  Temperatures will be a little cooler then Saturday with highs in the upper 60s to around 70.

What to wear? During the periods when it clouds over a bit, a long sleeve shirt might be a good thing to have with you.  A rain jacket will be good thing to have with you as well in case one of those showers does materialize.  But for much of the day, I think short sleeves are the way to go.

A recap of the forecast is below….enjoy the air show! -Pete Mangione






Icy Great Lakes could signal a cooler summer

May 8th, 2014 at 6:06 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The Capital Weather Gang, a group of Washington Post seasoned meteorologists, recently posted a great article about a possible link between winter ice coverage on the Great Lakes and cooler summer temperatures in the eastern United States.

Click here to see the original article

During this past winter, ice coverage on the Great Lakes was at an all time high (for records dating back to the 1970s).  You can see in the graphic below, maximum ice coverage was at 91.2%.


Image Courtesy Capital Weather Gang


The top 5 iciest years on the Great Lakes are:



Looking at the 5 years listed above, the Capital Weather Gang found that for much of the eastern US, the following summer was cooler than normal.  (Most areas, including Rhode Island, fell in a range of 0.5 to 2 degrees below normal).

I decided to look at Providence records during these 5 years for June, July, and August.  Here are the normal temperatures for those months:

Normal  Providence Temperatures
June: 68.0
July: 73.5
August: 72.3

For the 15 summer months in that 5 year period, 8 months were below normal, 4 months were above normal, and 3 months were around normal.  The breakdown is below:

Actual Providence Average Temperatures

June 68.1 – Even
July 71.1 – Below Normal
August 71.1 -Below Normal

June 69.4 – Above Normal
July 76.1 – Above Normal
August 69.9 – Below Normal

June 65.0 – Below Normal
July 73.4 – Even
August 70.1 – Below Normal

June 68.0 – Even
July 71.7 – Below Normal
August 71.3 – Below Normal

June 66.7 – Below Normal
July 74.3 – Above Normal
August 73.0 – Above Normal


So why is there a possible link?

It is unlikely that the ice on the Great Lakes cools enough of the atmosphere to affect our weather here in southern New England.  The Capital Weather Gang points out that during these icy years, high pressure was often locked near Alaska and low pressure was often locked near the Hudson Bay.  This pattern tends to bring cold air down from the arctic into the eastern United States.  During these years, this weather pattern occurred during much of the winter, but lasted into some of the summer as well.  Therefore, it’s not that the lake ice causes the cold, but rather, the ice is often in place during weather patterns which favor cold winters and cool summers.  -Pete Mangione




40s in late April? It’s been a while

April 30th, 2014 at 4:45 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Several times this week people have said to me, “C’mon, this is the end of April!  This cold weather is ridiculous!”  I would have to agree.

As of the writing of this blog, it’s late afternoon (on a Wednesday) and temperatures are in the upper 40s.  It’s possible that before midnight, temperatures will rise into the low 50s.  If that happens, the official high temperature for the day will be in the 50s and not the 40s.    It is also possible that temperatures stay in the 40s all night, which would put our official high temperatures in the 40s.

Whether we “officially” stay in the 40s or not, I decided to look up the last time we had high temperatures in the 40s this late in April.  Since yesterday (April 29th) was also a cold day with highs in the 40s, I looked up April 29th in addition to looking up April 30th.  Here is what I found for the Providence area according to the Notheastern Regional Climate Center:

Last Time Highs in the 40s on April 29th: 2002

Last Time Highs in the 40s on April 30th: 1962

So it’s been 12 years since we have had highs in the 40s on April 29, and 52 years since we have had highs in the 40s on April 30th!

Of course going into why this happening goes beyond the scope of this blog.  There are likely many factors involved in the current cold snap.  For the short term, one factor that is certainly contributing is called “blocking”.  Blocking occurs when parts of the jet stream become cutoff from the rest of the flow.  When this happens, weather disturbances can sit repeatedly over a location instead of moving in and out like they normally do.  For much of this week, a big “dip” in the jet stream has been sitting just to our west, but close enough to keep the weather unsettled and cool.

Here is the good news: it does look like the cold weather finally breaks by the end of the week.  In fact, it’s possible that a few 60s might be out there as early as Thursday afternoon.  – Pete Mangione







A Few Rounds of Saturday Showers

April 26th, 2014 at 8:32 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

After a wet start to Saturday morning, things will improve a bit into the afternoon.  We will see light to moderate rain until about noon, then some lulls in the rain for the afternoon.  However, we won’t completely get rid of the risk of showers in the afternoon. Here is what the it looks like around noon: note the scattered nature of the showers with some areas covered in green but other areas are not.



It looks rain-free from about 4PM to 8PM, but then a second round of showers could return tonight.  A thunderstorm can’t be ruled out either.  The good news? There will be a chance of a few showers on Sunday morning, but most of Sunday will be rain-free.

Overall, it’s an unsettled weekend but NOT a washout.  Have a good weekend. -Pete Mangione

Marathon Monday: Runner’s Delight

April 20th, 2014 at 9:39 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Happy Easter! TJ has a great description of what to expect for Easter Sunday, so please see the previous blog post (just scroll down) for more details on Easter.  For details on the Boston Marathon weather, please keep on reading this post!


The weather looks great as we head into Marathon Monday! Early morning runners will start with temperatures in the upper 30s to low 40s.  Runners starting in the late morning may already get temperatures in the upper 40s or low 50s.  Not too cool, not too warm….almost perfect racing conditions!

By the afternoon, I expect highs in Boston to hit the low 60s.  This is because winds will NOT be coming out of the east like they are for Sunday.  Instead, they will be coming out of the south.  In Boston, a south wind is usually warmer (this time of year) than a wind from the east.  That’s because the east wind comes directly off the water,  while the south wind can have either land or sea influence.

If you are watching the race or headed to the Red Sox game, take the jacket with you for the morning hours.  You may be able to shed that by the afternoon, although if you are in a shaded area it will be a good thing to have with you for the entire day.  Have a great rest of the weekend and a great Monday! -Pete Mangione





Cold Front Makes it Mild Today

April 19th, 2014 at 8:23 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

A cold front will move through today, but it will actually be milder by the afternoon.  So how does that make any sense?

This air behind the cold front is not actually that cold…instead it should be called a cool front.  In addition, after the front moves through, it will force winds to be form the west-northwest.  That is a “land” direction for us, meaning that we will get dry and mild breezes instead of the cooler sea-breezes that often affect us this time of year.

The front will bring in some clouds, but overall we are looking at more sun than clouds.  Winds will also be busy during the afternoon; some gusts of 25 to 3o mph are possible.  Other than that, a nice Saturday!

-Pete Mangione


Monday Winds of Change

April 14th, 2014 at 12:03 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Temperatures will be a little warmer on Monday, but it will also be windier.  For much of Sunday, winds were from the south.  With a chilly ocean, this had a major cooling effect at the coast keeping temperatures in the mid 50s.  But the southerly winds also had a cooling effect in Providence as the cooler air came right up the bay.

On Monday, winds will be from the southwest instead of the south.  This wind direction has a little more of a “land” influence to it; that’s why Providence should be a few degrees warmer.  Here is a snapshot at 2PM on Monday.



Enjoy these temperatures while we have them, because big changes are on the way.  Some spots could be below freezing by Thursday morning! -Pete Mangione


Sea Breeze Effect is On This Weekend

April 12th, 2014 at 8:47 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Air temperatures will try to warm into the 60s and 70s this weekend, but ocean temperatures are still in the 40s.  What does that mean? A sea breeze of course!  While this will affect our weather on both Saturday and Sunday, there will be a few key differences in the way each day develops.


Winds will start from a “land” direction (west-northwest) during the morning.  They will then start to bend from the south-southwest through out the day.  But because the process will take a while to happen,  I would not be surprised if the coast hits the low 60s during the late morning and early afternoon.  From the mid to the late afternoon, the sea breeze effect will start to take over and pull temperatures back down into the low 50s.


Wind will be stronger and more consistent through out the day from the south.  Because of this, the coast may never make it out of the mid 50s; inland areas should make it into the mid 60s.  Basically, look for a BIG difference between coastal and inland areas.  Here is a snapshot of Sunday early afternoon temperatures.



Note the Providence temperature in the low 60s.  Providence and other areas adjacent to Narragansett Bay can be tricky because winds from the south can create a cooling affect from “bay breezes”.  That’s why on Sunday, places away from the bay (like Smithfield) should end up warmer then Providence.

Have a good weekend! -Pete Mangione



7 Day Futurecast: History Making?

April 6th, 2014 at 9:12 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Today should be the 6th consecutive day of high temperatures of at least 50 degrees.  As I was putting together the 7 Day Futurecast this weekend, I noticed that every day had a high temperature of at least 50 degrees.  Check it out…doesn’t it look nice?



This made me think…when was the last time we had 7 days in a row with a high of at least 50?  I should caution, I quickly did some research on this earlier this morning…so this is not OFFICIAL.  But based on what I could find, the last time this occurred was October and November of last year.  Here are those high temperatures:

October 28: 61
October 29: 53
October 30: 58 
October 31: 65  
November 1: 70
Novemer 2: 66  
November 3: 54 

It’s been quite a while! So enjoy the next few days. -Pete Mangione


Mild Afternoons, Cool Nights

April 5th, 2014 at 7:54 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

April is that time of year when we often get nice afternoons but chilly nights.  This weekend is a great example of that.  Check out the forecast for this afternoon….



Now compare that to tonight, when temperatures will tumble into the 40s, and eventually the low 30s by early Sunday morning!





Despite the chilly start Sunday morning, temperatures will recover into the upper 50s by Sunday afternoon.

There is some potential rain on the way Monday night into Tuesday morning.  Some of the rain could be heavy, so this is something we will keep an eye on for the next several days.  Have a great weekend!

-Pete Mangione




Some More Showers to Get Through; River Warnings In Place

March 30th, 2014 at 7:46 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

While we are not going to see anything like we saw this morning, we will have a few more rounds of showers moving through.   First, here is an updated list of afternoon rain totals.  These are very impressive considering most of this came down in less than 24 hours! Obviously, it caused a lot of flooding this morning.



Now through Midnight: More showers will be moving through, and a few could be heavy.  However, there will also be some rain-free time.  Areas that had flooding earlier today will be at a slight risk of flooding again.  It won’t take that much rain to create problems in areas with standing water or in spots near swollen rivers and streams.

Midnight into Monday Morning: Rain showers could briefly mix with snow or sleet, but no accumulation is expected.  A few slick spots are possible, especially north and west of 295.  Winds will be gusting from the north at 30 mph and temperatures will be dropping into the 30s.

Monday Afternoon: A raw day with highs only in the 40s, and wind chills in the upper 20s to low 30s.  A few more showers will move through, but the primary flood threat should be over at this point.

 River Warnings

The Pawtuxet River in Cranston is currently in minor flood stage and should be cresting this evening.

The Pawcatuck River in Westerly and Wood River Junction is currently in MODERATE flood stage.  If asked to evacuate, please do!

Click here for more information on current river levels.

We will be back with more updates through out the evening. -Pete Mangione


Worst is Over, but Flood Threat Not Quite Done

March 30th, 2014 at 8:08 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog


What a crazy morning! Here is a list of rain reports as of this morning.  We have included a list of flooding reports at the bottom of this blog.  There are many streets closed or blocked off, please use caution!




An Urban and Small Stream flood warning is in effect until 5:45PM .  Please do not drive through flooded roads or intersections!

A Flood Warning has been issued for the Pawtuxet River in Cranston; flooding is possible this afternoon.  Click here for more details on this warning.

A Flood Warning has been issued for the Pawcatuck River in Westerly; flooding is possible this afternoon and evening.  Click here for more details on the warning.

So the morning has been bad, any improvements this afternoon?

The threat of showers and downpours will be with us the entire day and night.  However, it looks like we will get some breaks in the rain at times during the afternoon.  Therefore, the worst of the rain is over, but we will have to monitor the threat of additional flooding in case any additional downpours fire up again. -Pete Mangione


..Flash Flooding Across Southern Rhode Island and South Coastal Massachusetts. New Bedford, MA area hit hard in past hour. Some locations like Dean, Sawyer and Weld Streets starting to recede but Rte 18 is still flooded significantly. Rte 6 by Lockheed Martin in Marion MA flooded and now receded..

714 AM: Westport, MA: Tree Down blocking Wires on Tickle Road
721 AM: Westport, MA: Portion of Bridge Street flooded by coastal flooding
723 AM: Dartmouth, MA: Smith Neck Road – significant flooding and impassable
729 AM: Westport, MA: portion of Old County Road flooded out
730 AM: Fall River, MA: 24 southbound ramp to I-195 west flooded out
740 AM: Westerly, RI: Canal Street – 2 feet of street flooding and impassable
745 AM: Bristol, RI: Franklin and James Streets flooded out
745 AM: Warren, RI: Main Street – 4″ of street flooding
745 AM: Warren, RI: Market Street by Samsonite Building – 6-8″ of street flooding and rising
745 AM: Fall River, MA: Plymouth Avenue Northbound (Globe and Swayne Street) 4 cars stuck in flood waters, devell and central street by carousel flooded out and closed
750 AM: Fall River, MA: 195 Eastbound at the base of Braga Bridge flooded out. Mass DOT notified
756 AM: South Kingstown, RI: Indian Run Brook out of its banks flooding part of his back yard. This brook runs from the Indian Run Reservoir to Saugatucket River
757 AM: Bristol, RI: Several Streets flooded out and several flooded basements
759 AM: Somerset, MA: Route 103 – one lane flooded and gras in the area is flooded with water running like a stream
810 AM: Warren, RI: 3 feet of street flooding on homestead avenue at 3rd street
813 AM: Westwood, MA: 2 left lanes of Rte 128 Northbound between exits 13 and 14 were closed due to flooding, that is now reopened at 843 AM.
820 AM: Westport, MA: Several flooded basements
825 AM: Dighton, MA: Lincoln Avenue – flooded basement
837 AM: New Bedford, MA: Philips Road by 7-11 flooded – clogged storm drain
839 AM: New Bedford, MA: River Road flooded out from Howard Avenue to Sylvia Street
900 AM: Bristol, RI: Redman Street – water flowing – 10″ deep in the area of Ward Street
902 AM: Richmond, RI: Flooded basement – 6″ of water, Kingstown Road
904 AM: Taunton, MA: County St. Rte. 140 by Pete’s Market is closed due to flooding
904 AM: Warren, RI: Long Wharf Drive and Columbus Street – one foot of street flooding
905 AM: Marion, MA: Rte 6 in the area of Creek Street 2 lanes flooded out, same condition on Rte 6 at lockheed martin. Point road – flooded basement
910 AM: Warren, RI:  Route 114 from Dyer Street to Bridge Street – flooded
915 AM: New Bedford, MA: Route 18 closed due to flooding, 4 cars stuck in flood waters on Acushnet Avenue, manhole covers popped out of road
920 AM: Bristol, RI: Chestnut Street closed due to flooding.
922 AM: Bristol, RI: Downtown area – Agave restaurant, Cataras School flooded up over the road and Thames Street, minimimum of 1 foot of water
926 AM: New Bedford, MA: Belleville Ave and Sawyer Street – 1.5-2 feet of flooding
927 AM: New Bedford, MA: Dean and Purchase Street – 3 feet of street flooding
928 AM: New Bedford, MA: Sawyer and Purchase Street – 3 feet of street flooding – cars stuck in flood waters
930 AM: New Bedford, MA: Rte 18 Ramp to Weld Street closed due to flooding – car stuck in flood waters
936 AM: Acushnet, MA: House being flooded on Gammon Road, Hamlin Street by the bridge flooded and impasable
943 AM: Bristol, RI: Rte 114 toward Mount Hope Bridge by Lobster Pot closed due to flooding
945 AM: Westerly, RI: Spring Brook in White Rock section of town is out of its banks, water approaching homes.
949 AM: New Bedford, MA: Liberty and Hunter Street – 2.5 feet of street flooding, cars trying to get through it regardless.
953 AM: New Bedford, MA: new bedford, ma: west rodney french boulevard is flooded and impassable.
958 AM: Chelmsford, MA: Boston Road near Brian Road is closed due to flooding and will remain closed until mid-week due to culvert washout
1020 AM: Marion, MA: Spring Street by Tabor Academy closed due to flooding.


Rob Macedo (KD1CY)




Rain is here, and will stick around for a while

March 29th, 2014 at 7:29 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The rain started falling earlier today and it will keep up for a good part of the weekend.  Here is a timeline:

8PM to 12AM: Rain continues with some heavy periods of rain possible.  If you have Saturday night plans, you don’t have to cancel them but use caution; puddles on the roads and highways will create a risk of hyrdoplaning.





Sun. 12AM to 8AM: This is when I expect the heaviest of the rain to be falling.  A soaking, steady rain will have a few downpours mixing in as well.  Small streams and poor drainage areas on the roads have the potential of  minor flooding.




Sun. 8AM to Monday AM: While there will be some lulls in the heavy rain, it never completely turns off. Expect drizzle and showers to be off and on into the afternoon, night, and Monday morning.  Small streams, rivers, and poor drainage areas will still have to be monitored.




Grand totals by Monday Morning: 1.5 to 3 inches.

We will be on the air and online with more updates through out the weekend! -Pete Mangione






Saturday Afternoon Into Sunday Soaker

March 29th, 2014 at 7:39 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

After a mostly rain-free Saturday morning, things will start to change this afternoon into Monday.

Some initial showers are possible from 11AM to 2PM.  These will start in southwestern areas first (around Westerly) and spread to the northeast.  Most of these showers should be light, and not everyone will get them during this time frame.

From 2PM to 8PM, the showers will come down at light to moderate levels.  Bring the umbrella or rain jacket with you if you are headed outdoors.

From 8PM into Sunday, some pockets of heavy rain will be moving through.  1 to 3 inches of rain is possible; this will lead to the possibility of some minor street flooding.  While it won’t be great on the roads for most of this weekend, an especially bad time could be Sunday morning.  Sunday morning is when the rain will be coming down the hardest with potential ponding on the roads.

From Sunday night into Monday, some additional rain is likely.  Grand totals for rain by Monday morning could range from 2 to 4 inches.

I will be posting more updates through out the weekend! -Pete Mangione






Weekend Headlines

March 28th, 2014 at 12:42 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

With rain on the way, it’s not going to be a great weekend.  However, at least it’s not going to be brutally cold!  Here is a breakdown of the “good” and the “bad”:



1) 1 to 2 inches of rain is possible this weekend.   A few isolated areas of 3 inches are possible.

2) Sunday does not look like a good outdoor day with morning heavy rain, followed by a damp and cooler afternoon.

3) The Friday evening commute will have some off/on showers.



1) Saturday morning looks dry with a mix of sun and clouds and temperatures in the mid 40s to around 50.

2) The Friday evening showers look mostly light, so I am not expecting major impacts to the ride home from work.

3) It looks warm enough to keep the precipitation rain (not snow).


I will be on the air this weekend with more updates.  Have a great day! -Pete Mangione







Green Jackets Needed Next 2 Days

March 16th, 2014 at 8:39 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

There is still a chance we could see a flurry or two on the coast on St. Patrick’s Day, but the theme of the next couple of days will be more about cold than snow.

This current cold blast of air fits in well with the weather pattern for the first half of March: every time we get a nice, mild day it’s always followed by a big drop in temperatures.  Big temperatures swings are actually common for the month of March; but this month seems especially extreme.

Below is a high temperature breakdown for the first half of this month; note that 8 out of 15 days never made it into the 40s! Also notice the forecast for today and tomorrow; 2 more chilly days on the way.




Today: Highs will be in the 30s, but a busy breeze from the northwest will keep wind chills in the 20s.




While there could be a few flurries at the coast for St. Patrick’s Day, most of us will not get snow. It will be cold with highs in the upper 20s.  Stay warm! -Pete Mangione