Some Light Snow This Weekend

December 20th, 2014 at 8:32 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The chance of a White Christmas here in southern New England is very low this year because of a mild wind and rain event that arrives Christmas Eve.  However, some light snow and chilly temperatures may put you in the holiday mood as you are getting that last minute shopping done.  Here is a breakdown:

Saturday through 5PM: Mostly cloudy and dry with temperatures in the 30s.  Some light rain/snow may start to move in from eastern Massachusetts but most of us should be snow-free during this time.

Saturday 5PM through midnight: Light snow will start to overspread our area.  While the accumulation will be light, there is a chance of some slick roads…especially to the north and west of 295.  Southwestern Rhode Island may not see much of the snow until very early Sunday morning.

Saturday Midnight into Sunday noon: Off/on light snow continues…it will be the steadiest in northern Bristol County Mass and perhaps extreme northern RI.  It will be spottier and lighter for the rest of Rhode Island.

Sunday afternoon: Some lingering scattered snow showers…a little steadier in Plymouth County Mass.

An accumulation map is below…most of us will pick up a coating.  Have a good day! -Pete Mangione



It’s Been Amost 2 Years Since Providence Had a 1 Foot Snow Storm

December 18th, 2014 at 5:34 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

It’s been almost 2 years (about 22 months) since the February Blizzard of 2013.  That blizzard marks the last time that Providence (officially measured at TF Green) received at least one foot of snow from a storm.  Here are some totals from that blizzard courtesy of the National Weather Service:

WARWICK    20.0


Big southern New England storms after Blizzard of 2013 Have Missed Providence

Southern New England HAS seen some impressive snowstorms over the past 2 years, they just haven’t delivered for Providence.  (While Providence official totals are recorded at TF Green Airport, I also checked actual Providence reports in the the city…these also fell well short of a 1 foot snowstorm).  Here are a few of the notable storms:

March 6-8, 2013

About a month after the blizzard of 2013, a storm pounded parts of eastern Massachusetts with well over a foot of snow.   Fall River was hit with over 17 inches, but TF Green ended up with a wimpy 2.3 inches! Parts of northern Rhode Island did get hit with heavy snow; the northern part of Cumberland got over a foot.  I mapped out a few of the totals…the difference between Fall River and TF Green is impressive given the relatively short distance.




January 2-3, 2014

Some remember this as the “right after New Years” storm.  I will have to double check this, but I believe this storm was the closest Providence came to picking up a foot.  Here are a few of the totals courtesy of the National Weather Service:

TF GREEN   7.2


January 21-22, 2014

This storm was a pain because most of it fell from the Tuesday evening commute into early Wednesday morning.  However, Providence once again escaped a major snow storm.  I mapped out a few of the snow totals from this storm; notice how there are larger totals surrounding the Providence metro area.  It’s almost like some kind of snow force field!




 Despite the lack of the “Big One” in Providence, the winter of 2013-2014 was very active

Last winter brought many small to medium snow storms to the Capital City.  If you remember, we had so many storms that salt shortages became an issue.  TF Green officially recorded 43.6 inches of snow last winter; that is about 10 inches above the normal of 33.9 inches.


So WHY did Providence miss out on the big storms

The short answer is, I’m still trying to figure that out.

Part of the answer lies in the geography.  Providence and the coast, on average, get less snow than their neighbors to the north.  Areas along and to the north and west of 295 (Foster, Smithfield…etc) tend to be colder during snow storms; even a few degrees can make the difference between wet snow and accumulating snow.

But this doesn’t explain some of those storms which dumped snow in Fall River and left just a few inches in Providence.  It also doesn’t explain the storm that gave Westerly and Fall River around 10 inches, Glocester a foot, and TF Green only 5.7 inches.  Those high eastern Massachusetts totals are likely the result of the storm proximity…the offshore position of the storm sent the most moisture into Massachusetts, and not as much into Providence.  Some of the higher totals in western and northern Rhode Island may have been the result of upslope (air rising as it moves into higher elevations) or there could have been a smaller separate atmospheric disturbance in western Rhode Island area.

Narragansett Bay could also play a role, as warmer waters just off the bay could limit the TF Green and Providence area totals.

Anyway, these are all just theories, but it certainly shows how forecasting snow is southern New England is no picnic! -Pete Mangione


Wednesday Night Rain/Snow Outlook

December 10th, 2014 at 4:25 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Off/on rain showers will continue late this afternoon through this evening.  Some snow will also try to mix in.  I think we will be able to get through most of the evening commute with just plain old rain showers.  However, after 6 or 7PM, some snow may fall in the western part of the state.  Areas to the west of 295 (such as Foster, West Greenwich, and Burrillville) have the best chance to see this light snow, but some mixing to cold rain and sleet is also possible.


After 9 or 10PM, this snow/sleet/rain mix COULD make it into Providence.  As we go past midnight, all of our viewing area has a chance of getting a little wintry mix.

Any Accumulation?For the most part, no.  There could be a coating to half an inch at some of the higher elevations in northern and western Rhode Island, but most of us won’t see any.

What about the  roads? The main area of concern would be along and to the north and west of I-95.  This is where temperatures are likely to get near or below freezing.  While icy spots from light snow are a possibility, of more concern will be any rainwater that freezes on untreated surfaces (sidewalks and side roads).

When will this all come to an end? We don’t completely get rid of the rain/snow showers until late Thursday or Friday, but the threat of snow and slick roads should be over by late Thursday morning.  



Mild End To November, Start to December

November 30th, 2014 at 9:11 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The last day of November and first day of December will be mild with temperatures in the 50s.  This milder weather will stick around ahead of a cold front that will knock us back to reality by late Monday night into Tuesday.  In the meantime, here is what this pattern will do to our Sunday afternoon weather planner….


This warm pattern will not only make for mild afternoons, but also mild overnights and mornings.  Check out the forecast for the Monday morning drive to work…not a bad way to start the week!




Tuesday high temperatures will be back to the 30s despite the sun, then we will have to keep our eye on late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.  A brief wintry mix may create a few slick spots during this time.  The mix should change over to plain rain for the rest of the day…but stay tuned for updates.  Have a great weekend! -Pete Mangione

Some Light Snow for Overnight Shoppers

November 27th, 2014 at 11:21 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

New data coming in the evening favors light snow overnight and very little in the way of accumulation.  So far this evening, we have been getting reports of about a coating to 1 inch of snow (primarily on car tops and the grass).

Periods of light snow will continue overnight….they will be more frequent in Bristol County Mass and less frequent in western Rhode Island.   By Friday morning, most locations will be at a  coating to 1 inch of snow (that takes into account what was already on the ground Thursday night).  For areas east of Fall River and Taunton Mass, a coasting to 2 inches is possible.  Up near Boston, 1 to 3 inches of snow is possible.  The bottom line? You will want to use caution on slick spots early tomorrow morning for shopping, but the snow will have little impact on most of our viewing area.   Here is an updated map, hope you find some good deals Friday! -Pete Mangione


Light Snow Expected: Forecast Update

November 27th, 2014 at 6:32 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Light snow (which will start as a little rain) at the coast will move through off/on through the overnight hours.  Most of us will get about a coating…but a few spots could get around an inch.  East of Fall River, 2 inch (or slightly higher) amounts are possible by early Friday morning. Some isolated 1 or 2 inch amounts are also possible north and west of 295 in Rhode Island and Bristol County Mass.

As most of our temperatures get below freezing tonight, use caution on the roads.   Even areas that only get a coating could have some icy spots.  Here is an updated accumulation map that is valid by Friday morning.  For that circled area in northern RI, the 2 inch amounts would be isolated….most of us would be closer to a coating or an inch.  Happy Thanksgiving! – Pete Mangione


A Little Snow Tonight into Friday AM

November 27th, 2014 at 4:36 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

This will be very brief as I am getting ready for the 5PM newscast.  Some light snow will move in this evening through early Friday AM.  Most of us will end up with nothing to a dusting of snow.  Areas east of Fall River could end up with 1-2″.  Even in areas that only get a coating, please use caution on the roads.  It will be cold enough where some snow/ice could stick on untreated surfaces and roads.  Here is an early look at the accumulation forecast…I will have more information on the air at 5PM on WPRI 12.


Not a lot of snow, but plenty of travel headaches

November 26th, 2014 at 5:20 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Most snowfall totals have been confined north and west of I-95.  The amounts have been limited…between about a coating and an inch.  However, freezing rain, sleet, and plain old rain have been creating a mess out on the roads.  Numerous accidents have been reported in northwestern RI.  Here is what you can expect for the rest of the evening:

Through 10PM: Mostly rain, although north and west of I-95 may mix to sleet at times.  It will be windy with gusts of 35 mph possible….gusts closer to 50 mph are possible from the south coast to Cape Cod.

10PM to 4Am Thursday: Rain and sleet will change back to a final burst of snow.  Accumulations will be limited with the final burst….you might be able to pick up 1 or 2 inches north and west of 295.  Winds will also stay strong gusting between 30-35 mph.

By early Thursday morning, most of us will have a coating to no snow accumulation at all.  North and west of 295: 1″-3″ are possible…but most of you will be on the lower end of that range.


 Thursday (Thanksgiving Day): Most of the day will be fine, but watch for some icy spots on the roads early in the morning.  Moisture from the rain/snow overnight may freeze.
Happy Thanksgiving! – Pete Mangione

A Messy Mixed Bag

November 26th, 2014 at 2:48 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

While the south coast has stayed all rain, the rest of us have seen a mix of rain, sleet, snow, and even freezing rain.  Many people have reported pellets coming down at times.  Even though snow can make roads slick, its the freezing rain that could be the biggest threat on the roads this afternoon.  Please use caution….freezing rain is much harder to spot on the roads than snow!

Now to 5PM: The messy wintry mix will continue along and north and west of I-95.  Providence will favor more rain….while areas north and west of 295 will favor a wintry mix.

5 to 10PM: Rain will continue, heavy at times.  Even areas which have received a wintry mix, you will likely go back over to plain old rain.  North and west of 295, you may hang onto a sleet/rain mix.



10PM Tonight to 5AM Friday: Rain/sleet will go back to one final burst of snow…an inch or 2 additional accumulation is possible.  Travel carefully and Happy Thanksgiving! – Pete Mangione




Watching Wednesday/Thursday Carefully

November 23rd, 2014 at 9:25 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

As TJ mentioned in his previous blog post, there is a potential rain/snow maker on the way Wednesday night into Thursday morning.  4 main scenarios are possible, so here is what I’m thinking based on the new data coming in the morning:

Scenario 1: COMPLETE MISS – This is becoming less likely as the computer models are starting trend on at least some kind of precipitation making it through.

Scenario 2: SNOWY TRACK – If the low pressure center tracks in just the right spot off to our south, this would put us on the colder, snowy side.   Accumulating snow and major travel impacts could occur with this scenario.  The chance of this happening is still low, but it’s something we need to watch.

Scenario 3: RAINY TRACK - If the low pressure center takes more of a western track, that would put us on the milder, rainy side.  While this could slow down driving, at least it would not have MAJOR travel impacts. This means we could likely avoid things like flight cancellations and road closures.  At this point, I would give us a 50/50 shot at seeing this scenario.

Scenario 4: RAIN/SNOW/WINTRY MIX COMBO – I think this is the mostly likely scenario to occur. Similar to scenario 3, it might slow things down on the roads and create some flight delays, but we would be able to avoid any major impacts.  As for the rest of the country on Wednesday, some of our airports in New York City, Washington DC, and Florida could see a few issues because of rain.  The Wednesday before Thanksgiving  is usually one of the busiest (if not THE busiest) days for air travel.  Stay tuned and we will keep you updated! -Pete Mangione





Wind/Rain Maker on the Way; Then VERY Cold

November 16th, 2014 at 8:56 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

If you don’t like cold temperatures here is the good news: Temperatures go back into the 50s for Monday! Here is the bad news: The 50s will come with rain and a lot of wind by Monday overnight.

Tonight (Sunday night) some rain showers will start to move through after 10 or 11PM.  Initially, I was a little concerned about a wintry mix, but it looks like that will stay well off to our north.

MONDAY MORNING COMMUTE: Some fog and rain showers may slow things down a little, but we are not looking at widespread downpours.  Allow an extra few minutes and you should be OK.  The winds will be fairly light at this point.

MONDAY EVENING COMMUTE: Off and on showers will continue as temperatures rise into the 50s.  Some upper 50s are possible near the south coast! Breezes will start to pick up, but the strong gusts should hold off until after the commute.

 MONDAY NIGHT: Some heavy pockets of rain will move through; an isolated thunderstorm cannot be ruled out.  Winds will potentially gust between 35 to 50 mph; some isolated power outages are possible. Here is a look at a computer model forecast for 9PM (these strong winds may actually hold off until after midnight):


TUESDAY: Winds will continue to be busy gusting between 30-40 mph.  As the next arctic air mass slides on through, temperatures will actually be colder by the evening commute than for the morning commute.

TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING: Very cold with actual temperatures in the 20s but wind chills in the teens and even a few single digits.


Have a good Sunday and enjoy the roller coaster temperature ride! -Pete Mangione


Friday AM Commute: rain and a little snow

November 13th, 2014 at 4:46 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

New data has come in this afternoon and it continues to support the idea of snowflakes in the air, but very little in the way of accumulation.

Here is an updated accumulation map that Tony and I have been working on as he gets ready for the evening newscasts.  Most of what you see below will be on the grass and car tops; but an inch or two of snow is possible on the pavement to the north and west of 295.



Here is timeline of what to expect:

Now until 11PM: Cloudy and cool but dry.  So if you need to drive the kids around to practices and other activities this evening, that will be no problem!

11PM until 3AM: Light to moderate rain will overspread the area. 

3AM to 8AM: Rain will start to change to snow.  This will happen first in northwest Rhode Island.  For Providence and points south and east, the change to snow may not happen until 5AM – 7AM.  The coast may stay rain for the entire time…and if it does change to snow here the snow will be very brief.

8AM to 10AM: Snow will start to move out from west to east.  Western RI, you will be pretty much done with the the snow by this point.  Bristol County Mass will hang onto the snow/rain a little longer.

Morning Commute Impacts:

-It will be messy for everyone, so you may want to allow an extra 10 to 20 minutes to get to work.

-Along and north and west of 295, there may be some slick and snow covered roads.  Please drive with caution!


Have a good night and stay with WPRI both online and on the air for updates. -Pete Mangione


The weather has been crazy lately…but not really

November 6th, 2014 at 5:33 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

There have been some impressive temperature swings over the past couple of weeks.  During the middle of last week (October 27 and October 28), we had temperatures in the 70s.  A few days later on Sunday, we had a rain/snow mix in Providence and they were clearing snow off of the field at Gillette! Here is a picture from Freetown, Mass on Sunday morning courtesy of Derek Adesso.


Based on the up and down temperatures, I have been hearing this comment frequently, “Wow, the weather has been really crazy lately!” Part of me agrees; I took the AC units out of my windows a few weeks ago and I was kind of wishing I had them back in during the warm weather last week.  However, it seems that every year around this time, I get the “this weather is crazy” comment.  This led me to the following question:  If these wild temperature swings are something that happen at this time every year, is the weather this year really THAT crazy?

To determine if this year was especially crazy, I decided to look at temperatures over the past 5 years from October 27 (when our warm spell started this year) into the first week of November (around the present).  Basically, I am looking at temperatures over the past 2 weeks to look for differences between this year and past years. 



This year (2014): As I mentioned above, we had all kinds of weather the past couple of weeks.  After highs in the mid 70s last week, we had some snow with temperatures in the mid 30s this past Sunday morning.  But then it was back to the upper 60s yesterday (Wednesday), and now I am sitting with a cold rain coming down outside the window with temperatures in the 40s.

2013: During  the end of October, high temperatures generally ranged from the mid 50s to mid 60s.  But on November 1st, we hit a high of 70.  Four days later, overnight lows dipped to the mid 20s and and highs only made it to 50.

2012: The last 5 days of October were balmy with 3 days in the upper 60s, but by November 5th, highs were only in the mid 40s and overnight lows were below freezing. 

2011: This was the year of SNOW-TOBER with several inches of snow falling on the night of October 29th into the morning of October 30th. But that snow didn’t stick around very l0ng: by November 3rd we were back into the 60s.  On November 8, we reached 70!

2010: October went out like a blowtorch with a high of 71 on October 27th and a high of 77 on October 28th.  But November put an end to all of that with highs in the low 50s and lows in the 20s by November 3. 


While the temperature roller coaster might be a little more extreme this year, it’s a ride that we have been on many times before.  From a meteorological perspective, this makes sense because during this time of year, we are susceptible to arctic blasts from the north, but also milder (and sometimes tropical) air masses from the south.  So while the fluctuating weather often feels kind of crazy, it’s a craziness that is as almost as regular as the changing of the seasons.


Historically for the past two weeks, NORMAL high temperatures are in the upper 50s.  But the word NORMAL is kind of deceiving, because it makes it seem like high temperatures are USUALLY in the upper 50s.  You can think of the normal temperatures more like an average (technically, it’s not an exact average but it’s close enough for the purpose of this blog).   To get the average, you have some numbers that are above the average, some that are below the average, and some that fall right at average.

Thanks for reading and hopefully the rest of the week isn’t too crazy for you! -Pete Mangione


Storm Not Quite Done: Sunday Update

November 2nd, 2014 at 9:55 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

It’s been a windy and wild past 24 hours and we still have to get through more wind and rain before we are completely done with this storm.  In fact, some snow flakes have been mixing with the rain this morning…we have received reports in Warren, Coventry,  and Greenville.  I also noticed some very light flakes mixing with the rain from our City Cam in Providence when we were on the air this morning.

Here is a look at some of the strongest wind gusts which occurred overnight:


As for what to expect for the rest of the day, here is a timeline:

Morning Until 1pM:

Showers (heavy at times will continue through about noon).  The showers will tend to be a bit heavier south and east of I-95.  Some snow will mix with the rain at times, although little to no accumulation is expected.  We will have to keep an eye on eastern Bristol County Mass and Plymouth County Mass into the early afternoon (Fall River, New Bedford, and points east)….these locations have a chance of getting a coating to an inch or 2 of snow.


Winds will continue to be strong, gusting between 30 and 45 mph.  Some additional isolated wind damage and power outages are possible.


1PM Until 7PM:

The showers (and snow mix) will start to move out from west to east.  Providence and points west should be done with the precipitation by early afternoon, areas east of Providence could hang onto it until 2 or 3 PM.


The gusts will continue to be busy with 30-40 mph gusts, although we will start to get on the low end of this range by 7PM.

It should be a dry kickoff for the Pats/Broncos, but dress in layers because the wind will make it FEEL like it’s in the 30s even though actual temperatures will be in the 40s around kickoff.  Winds will likely be gusting 30-40 mph at kickoff, and then 20-30 mph by the then of the game.  Therefore, the 2nd half may not be QUITE as affected (passing and kicking game) by the wind as the first half.

 After 7PM:

Although it will still be breezy, the rain/snow will be over and the wind will drop below advisory levels.  Into Monday morning, temperatures will drop to around freezing….bundle up Monday morning! -Pete Mangione



Weekend Wind/Rain Machine, Saturday Update

November 1st, 2014 at 8:52 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Data coming in this morning continues to show wind will be the biggest impact from this coastal storm.  However, rain will play a role as well.  Here is a timeline of what to expect:

Morning Through Noon:

Some showers will be moving through, but there will be plenty of time when it’s not coming down heavy (or not at all).  Bring the jacket if you are out doing errands: Temperatures will be in the 40s, but stiff breezes will make it FEEL like it’s in the upper 30s to around 40.  Here is a look at the wind gusts by noon.  They will be strong enough to blow your car door around a little bit in the parking lot, but not strong enough for any wind damage.



Noon Through 8PM: 

Showers will become more frequent and heavier at times.  Some localized street flooding is possible (especially in eastern Massachusetts), but we are not expecting a widespread flooding event.  The wind also increase from during this time.  Here is a look at winds gusts by 8PM.



Notice the wind gust range is now between 30-40 mph…with the strongest gusts from Newport to points east.  You will want 2 hands on the steering wheel if you are driving around tonight.  In addition, a few small tree limbs and loose Halloween decorations may be out there on the roads with you.


8PM Tonight to 8AM Sunday:

Showers will continue, heavy at times. By early Sunday morning, rainfall totals should range from 05. to 2.0 inches.

The strongest of the wind will also arrive.  Note gusts of over 50 mph are possible form the southeastern RI coast out towards Cape Cod.  If you are sleeping, don’t be surprised is some rattling windows wake you up!



Plymouth County and Cape Cod may see widespread power outages; our viewing are is more likely to get isolated pockets of wind damage and power outages.

Early Sunday morning, some snow flakes may mix with lingering rain showers, but at this point, we are not expecting accumulations.


Rest of Sunday:

Winds will continue to be gusty (3o to 40 mph).  Dress warmly if you are headed to the Pats game.  Temperatures will be in the low 40s at kickoff…but the wind will make it FEEL like it’s in the upper 20s to 30s!

Not as wild as Wednesday Night, but more wind/rain

October 23rd, 2014 at 6:37 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Last night was a wild night for weather! Strong wind gusts and thunderstorms brought down many branches; power was knocked out in several areas across RI and southeast Massachusetts.  There were also numerous reports of street flooding in Providence and across the rest of the state.  I have posted storm reports at the bottom of this blog.

For the rest of the day, expect strong winds to continue (gusts 30-40 mph).  For the most part, this won’t be strong  enough to create additional damage.  However, occasional downpours or thunderstorms are possible; and stronger wind gusts are possible underneath any of these storms.  Other then the occasional downpour, most of the rain will be light to moderate so I am not expecting widespread street flooding. -Pete Mangione

Courtesy of the SKYWARN network, here are some storm reports from last night:

Measured Wind Gust Reports:

Hull, MA: 60 MPH wind gust at 917 PM

Scituate, MA (Humarock Beach): 59 MPH wind gust at 924 PM/51 MPH gust at 724 PM/50 MPH Gust at 644 PM Winthrop, MA: 56 MPH Gust at 954 PM/52 MPH Gust at 939 PM/51 MPH gust at 737 PM Rockport, MA: 53 MPH Gust at 710 PM/51 MPH Gust at 625 PM Beverly, MA: 52 MPH Gust at 942 PM Bristol, RI: 51 MPH Gust at 820 PM Fall River, MA: 50 MPH Gust at 806 PM Marblehead, MA: 48 MPH gust at 809 PM/47 MPH Gust at 714 PM Charlestown, RI: 47 MPH Gust at 600 PM Fairhaven, MA (West Island South Point): 52 MPH Gust at 758 PM/50 MPH Gust at 743 PM/44 MPH gust at 713 PM Cohasset, MA: 46 MPH gust at 1055 PM Cambridge, MA: 46 MPH Gust at 602 PM Providence, RI: 46 MPH Gust at 848 PM Medford, MA: 42 MPH gust at 356 PM Sharon, MA: 42 MPH Gust at 830 PM North Grosvenor Dale, CT: 42 MPH Gust at 911 PM Barnstable (Marstons Mills), MA: 41 MPH Gust at 635 PM Newburyport, MA: 41 MPH Gust at 636 PM Wrentham, MA: 41 MPH Gust at 753 PM Middletown, RI: 40 MPH gust at 634 PM Hanover, MA: 40 MPH Gust at 810 PM


Wind Damage/Flood/Hail Reports:

555 PM: Beverly, MA: Large Tree down on Wires on Hale Street at Endicott College

600 PM: East Greenwich, RI: Tree down blocking road – Division Road

604 PM: Taunton, MA: Tree and Wires down on house on Danforth Street

612 PM: Salem, MA: medium sized Tree limb down on English Street

627 PM: Williamsburg, MA: Tree and Wires Down on Nash Hill Road

631 PM: West Peabody, MA: Large Branches down on Lake Street at Puritan Lawn Cemetary

633 PM: Brockton, MA: Tree down on North Quincy Street

644 PM: Lynnfield, MA: Large limb down blocking one road. Tree down on Brook and Salem Streets and Tree down on Chestnut Street

650 PM: Peabody, MA: Large limb down on car Route 114 west at Gardner Street

656 PM: 2 miles off Point Judith, RI: 53 foot tug Karen Jean had a distress call with 4 people rescued, barge sunk with undisclosed contents

658 PM: Haverhill, MA: Tree down on West Road

658 PM: Haverhill, MA: Tree and wires down on East Broadway

700 PM: Gloucester, MA: Tree and Power Pole down on Mount Pleasant Street

701 PM: Quincy, MA: Trees and Wires Down

709 PM: Ipswich, MA: Tree down on High Street and Tree down on Wires on Agrilla Road

715 PM: Boston, MA: Large Tree down on Washington Street

716 PM: Cambridge, MA: Large tree down blocking Memorial Drive. Tree down on Alewife Brook Parkway at Mass Avenue

718 PM: Marblehead, MA: Large Tree down on Auburndale at Humphrey street

720 PM: Lynn, MA: Large Limb Down on Ocean Street

725 PM: Beverly, MA: Large Limb down on wires on Madison Avenue

731 PM: Beverly, MA: Wires Down on Overland Road

732 PM: Lynnfield, MA: Large Limb down on Hutchins Circle

733 PM: Brookline, MA: Lancaster Terrace – Tree and Power lines down

736 PM: Fall River, MA: Several trees and limbs down

737 PM: Billerica, MA: Tree down on Treble Cove Road and Tree down on Middlesex Turnpike

737 PM: Peabody, MA: Tree down in the Bartholomew Street area

746 PM: Wenham, MA: Numerous trees and wires down

750 PM: Holbrook, MA: Tree limbs and power lines down on Juniper Road

757 PM: Wakefield, MA: Tree down on Aborn Avenue

757 PM: Roxbury, MA: Shirley Street – Tree down

757 PM: Lowell, MA: Tree down on Railroad tracks

804 PM: Beverly, MA: Wires down causing a tree fire on Nelson Avenue

805 PM: Belmont, MA: Tree and wires down on School Street at Bow Road

808 PM: Weymouth, MA: Whitman Pond area of Middle Street – Tree and Wires down

810 PM: Waltham, MA: 2 large trees down on waverly oaks road at shirley road

812 PM: Beverly, MA: Trees down on Cabot street, Columbus and Elliot Street, power outages on ellsworth avenue

814 PM: Dorchester, MA: Power lines down on Allston Street at Moultrie Street

814 PM: Ashland, MA: Tree down on 4 cars (all unoccupied) on Butterfield Drive

820 PM: Bristol, RI: Tree limbs down on Hope Street (Rte 114)

826 PM: Lynn, MA: Tree down on Maple Street into house and blocking road

829 PM: Fall River, MA: Wires sparking causing pole fire near Jerry Remy’s on Davol Street

830 PM: Natick, MA: Tree down blocking woodland road, Limb down on Boden and Oxbow

835 PM: Sharon, MA: Tree down blocking Aspen Road and tree down on Billings Street

836 PM: Norwood, MA: Tree down on Winter Street

836 PM: Westwood, MA: Trees and wires down scattered across town

836 PM: Sharon, MA: Tree down on Glendale Road

839 PM: West Peabody, MA: Telephone Pole down on Birch Street

843 PM: Manchester, MA: Multiple trees down scattered in town

844 PM: Foxboro, MA: Tree down on house puncturing the roof on Central Street

847 PM: Danvers, MA: Tree down blocking the road

850 PM: Carver, MA: Silva Street – Tree and wires down blocking road

854 PM: Natick, MA: Large Tree Limb down off West Central Street

854 PM: Peabody, MA: Large tree down against a house on Ruth Avenue

855 PM: Acushnet, MA: Limb down on wires on Peckham Road, large tree down on main street (rte 105) at the acushnet/rochester line blocking north bound side of road

857 PM: Dorchester, MA: 30 foot sailboat washed up on Morrisey Boulevard boat ramp with many small and large limbs down

903 PM: Ipswich, MA: power outages reported across a portion of town

906 PM: Warwick, RI: Multiple reports of pea sized hail including on Bald Hill Road by the Home Depot

907 PM: East Boston, MA: Wires down on Moore Street

909 PM: Chelsea, MA: Tree down on house Summit Avenue

915 PM: West Warwick, RI: Tree down on Natick Avenue

920 PM: New Bedford, MA: Tree down on a car on Acushnet Avenue

920 PM: Blackstone, MA: Tree down on house – no injuries

921 PM: Plymouth, MA: Tree down on Route 3a in Manomet Section, other reports of trees and wires down in town

921 PM: Plainville, MA: I-495 Northbound – Large tree down blocking breakdown lane and covering part of the right lane milemarker 35.2

921 PM: Westerly, RI: Tree down and power outage – Boombridge Road at Harwood

925 PM: Attleboro, MA: tree down on steer street blocking road, tree removed, Tree and wires on Car on Park Street at Wilmarth Street

925 PM: Duxbury, MA: Tree, pole and power lines down south street

929 PM: Foxboro, MA: Power lines down causing a transfromer fire on Spring Street

931 PM: Mansfield, MA: Tree down in backyard off Elm Street

938 PM: Coventry, RI: Perry Hill Road – Tree down blocking Road, Yale Drive – Power lines down

940 PM: Beverly, MA: Tree and wires into a house on lake shore drive

941 PM: Peabody, MA: Tree down blocking Surry Lane

941 PM: West Newbury, MA: Tree down on Wires on Moulton Street

942 PM: Boston, MA: Tree down on VFW Parkway and Centre Street

943 PM: Beverly, MA: Tree down on eliot at Cabot Street

944 PM: Brookline, MA: Tree down on wires on Simon Street

948 PM: Marshfield, MA: Tree down on School Street and power outage on Plain Street

950 PM: North Brookline, MA: Tree down with wires on stedman and beals street

951 PM: Medway, MA: Tree down on power lines

951 PM: Boston, MA: Tree down on fence on Paris Street. Wires down on parker hill by parker street

952 PM: Foxboro, MA: Large tree down on County Street

956 PM: Needham, MA: Tree down on High Gate Street and Hill crest

957 PM: Sherborn, MA; Tree down across road in the golding street area

959 PM: Providence, RI: Charles and Orms street by the Mariott Hotel, car stuck in flood waters

1000 PM: Quincy, MA: Hancock Terrace – Tree on house. Billings Street – Tree on car

1003 PM: Foxboro, MA: Tree down on house on Prospect Street

1004 PM: Stoneham, MA: Wires down on Pleasant and Gould Streets

1005 PM: Malden, MA: Tree and power lines down samett Street, malden mill road, tree down, mountain ave tree and power lines down, canopy blown over on Gilbert Street

1009 PM: West Greenwich, RI: Frye Pond road – Large tree and wires down

1012 PM: Coventry, RI: Laurel Avenue and Washington Street closed due to flooding

1012 PM: Jamaica Plain, MA: Tree down on Forest Hills Street

1014 PM: Charlestown, MA: Large branch down in Main Street

1016 PM: Hanson, MA: Tree down across East Washington Street

1023 PM: Billerica, MA: Tree down on Duncan Drive

1024 PM: Duxbury, MA: Trees and Wires down on Bow Street

1024 PM: Beverly, MA; Rantoul and Federal Streets – Tree down blocking street

1026 PM: Salem, MA: Large (12-18″) diameter limb down on Harmony Street

1027 PM: Wellesley, MA: Tree into a house possibly due to a lightning strike

1028 PM: Beverly, MA: Medium to large size tree down on Eliot Street

1027 PM: Brockton, MA: Tree down on 11 Irvington Street

1028 PM: Seekonk, MA: Tree down on Wires

1028 PM: Boston, MA: Tree down on multiple cars on Navoss Street, alocott street – tree down, willis street, tree down

1028 PM: Cambridge, MA: Tree down on Cambridge Street and Cardinal Medeiros avenue

1035 PM: Roslindale, MA: Tree down on multiple cars on Navarre Street off Canterbury

1035 PM: Braintree, MA: Tree into a house on the extended porche and broke the sky light – Oak Hill Road

1035 PM: Wellesley, MA: Tree blocking Route 16 near wellesley College

1041 PM: Westwood, MA: Tree into wires andhouse on Benvenu Street

1043 PM: Charlestown, MA: Tree fell on 2 cars – henley and main street

1043 PM: Bridgewater, MA; Windmere Way – Tree limbs down on power lines

1045 PM: Malden, MA: Preston Street – tree down, power outage in the area

1046 PM: Weymouth, MA: Harding Avenue – tree and wires down – road closed

1050 PM: South Boston, MA: Tree down on L Street

1051 PM: Providence, RI: Whipple Street – car stuck flood waters. Charles at Admiral Street flooded knee deep water

1053 PM: Cambridge, MA: Tree down on Irving Street

1059 PM: Milton, MA: Large tree down blocking blue hill avenue inbound at the mattapan line

1106 PM: Natick, MA: car stuck in flood waters on route 9 westbound

1106 PM: Natick, MA: Tree down on Grove Street

1110 PM: Scituate, MA: Haverly and Grove Street – trees and wires down

1110 PM: Canton, MA: Tree down across train tracks between canton junction and route 128.

1110 PM: Holbrook, MA: South Franklin Street (Route 37) – flooded out

1110 PM: Plymouth, MA: Warren Avenue at Plymouth Beach closed due to coastal flooding

1112 PM: Pembroke, MA: Trees down on Old washington Street and Elmer Street at Route 27

1114 PM: Hanover, MA: Winter Street – power outage in the area

1114 PM: Hull, MA: Standish Avenue between beacon hill and bluff road – tree down

1114 PM: Hull, MA: Atlantic Avenue – coastal flooding closing road

1114 PM: Marshfield, MA: Tree down on Ocean Street by the Duxbury line

1117 PM: Natick, MA: Car stuck in flood waters on north main street

1121 PM: Hingham, MA: Cushing Street just before Ward Street – Tree down

1128 PM: Hanover, MA: Large branch down on Pleasant Street

1129 PM: Dorchester, MA: Mellen Street/Ashmont Hill – One tree down damaging a car

1134 PM: Rockport, MA: Large tree down on house

1143 PM: Brookline, MA: Tree down by the Pierce School

1146 PM: Georgetown, MA: Tree down on Baldpate Road in area of the hospital

1147 PM: Scituate, MA; Small Tree Branch down on Indian Trail

1151 PM: Scituate, MA: Oceanside drive – water from the ocean into the house into the back door

1151 PM: Wellesley, MA: River Street – tree down

1159 PM: Plympton, MA: Primary Wires down with a pole fire on Main Street

1212 AM: Waltham, MA: Tree down on roof of a house – Colonial Avenue, Large Tree and Wires down on Beal and Main Street

1212 AM: Brockton, MA: Tree and Wires down on Cross Street

1213 AM: Plymouth, MA: Large tree down across River Street at Bramhalls Corner

1219 AM: Scituate, MA: Irving at Norwell – Tree down

1220 AM: Dorchester, MA: Mallet Street – blocked with a tree down

1220 AM: Natick, MA: Route 9 at Route 27 closed due to flooding, route 27 at washington street, car stranded by flood waters with water halfway up the hub caps

1229 AM: Raynham, MA: Route 138 near Carver Street – flooded slowing traffic. Center street to stoneybrook road flooded and slowing traffic

1232 AM: Marblehead, MA: Tree down on house on Dodge Road – boat has broken loose off its mooring in the water near the crestwood Road area

1239 AM: Marshfield, MA: 2 Trees and wires down blocking one lane of a road way on Union Street

1239 AM: Boston, MA: Tree down on John Alden Road

1240 AM: Hingham, MA: Tree down

1243 AM: Hanover, MA: Trees and Wires down

1247 AM: Middleboro, MA: Wareham Street at the Herring Run closed due to flooding – reopened at 200 AM

1250 AM: Raynham, MA: Darrington Road flooded over the sidewalk near Campbell Court

1256 AM: Peabody, MA: Roland Road impassable due to a tree down

105 AM: Marblehead, MA: intersection of Harbor and Nanepashemet streets has tree down blocking the road

135 AM: Brockton, MA: North Montello Street at Howard Street – car stuck in flood waters

137 AM: Winchester, MA: Large Branches down on Wildwood Street



Wednesday Afternoon Rainy Update

October 22nd, 2014 at 1:19 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

A Flash Flood Watch has been issued for Bristol County Massachusetts only.  This starts at 5PM and goes into Thursday morning.  This means that there is a potential for some street flooding, but there is no immediate threat.  Because of the position of the offshore storm, it looks like eastern areas will get the most rainfall.  That’s why at this point, Rhode Island is NOT included in this watch.


Even though Rhode Island is not included in this watch, ALL areas may get periods of moderate to heavy rain tonight into tomorrow morning.  When we have a lot of leaves on the ground, they can clog the drains and exacerbate any kind of flooding situation.  Therefore, please take it slow if you are on the road, especially later on tonight into the Thursday morning commute.  -Pete Mangione

Frost Advisory and Freeze Warning Tonight

October 19th, 2014 at 9:03 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

As TJ mentioned in his previous blog post, some spots may see a hard freeze tonight.  The watches he mentioned have now turned into advisories and warnings; this means that we are becoming confident in these cold conditions actually occurring.

This will likely be the coolest night of the season with temperatures near or below freezing in some areas.  Here are the low temperatures expected overnight:


Notice the upper 20s in eastern Connecticut; I would not be surprised if some spots in Rhode Island and Bristol County Massachusetts also sneak into the upper 20s.

A FROST ADVISORY is in effect for Providence, the East Bay, the West Bay, and Newport County RI.  For all inland areas away from Narragansett Bay, a FREEZE WARNING is in effect.   Basically, if you are still trying to grow something, you are going to want to bring it inside or protect it.

Have a great Sunday and bring the jacket; this afternoon it will be windy with temperatures only in the mid 50s! -Pete Mangione


Three Questions about the Thursday Forecast

October 16th, 2014 at 3:05 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Rain has moved through with varying intensities this morning and early this afternoon.  As of mid-afternoon, TF Green has picked up about 0.50″ of rain and Smithfield is at 0.77″.   Eastern Connecticut was hit with a lot of rain this morning with total of around 2.30″ (Willimantic, CT).  Although we are under a Flash Flood Watch through this evening, it appears we have been able to avoid major flooding so far.

Here are three questions that you may have about the rest of the day and night:

How Much Total Rain?

Taking into account what has already hit the ground, I would expect most of us to end up close to the 1 inch mark.   Some areas may not quite make it to 1″, and other areas could get a little more.  In western RI, it’s possible there are some isolated areas that get closer to 2″.

What is the Evening Commute going to be like?

A lot of the rain may be pulling out around this time, but I would still expect a slow commute as the rain may not be completely turned off yet.  Areas west of I-95 may be left with just light off/on rain so the commute may not be as slow.  However, areas east of I-95 may still be dealing with showers and downpours which could slow things down. I think our Futurecast map showing the 5PM forecast does a pretty good job.



What about the Pats/Jets game?

Bring the raincoat or poncho if you are going to the game.  There will likely be rain (some of it heavy) for tailgating, but most of the rain should be over by kickoff.  That being said, some occasional showers are possible through out the game.  At least it won’t be that cold as temperatures should stay in the low to mid 60s for most of the game.


I would say the main hazard for the rest of the day will be hydroplaning….so drive with caution.  Have a great day and enjoy the game! -Pete Mangione





Damp start to weekend, but it gets better

October 11th, 2014 at 8:41 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Take the umbrella if you have plans to be out this morning or early afternoon.  Here is a timeline of what to expect:

9AM to 1PM: This is when the steadiest of the rain should be moving through.  The rain will fall at light to moderate rates which should make driving slow but passable.  A few heavy batches of rain are possible.  Although some puddles will be out there on the roads, we are not anticipating widespread street flooding.


1PM to 5PM: For areas north and west of I-95, the rain will be wrapping up.  For areas south and east of I-95, the rain may linger until the later part of this time period.  For Providence, you should be somewhere in the middle with the steadiest of the rain wrapping up by 2PM or 3PM.

5PM to 8PM:  Some lingering light rain or drizzle is still possible, but plenty of rain free time too.  Bring your jacket if you are heading to the Flames of Hope WaterFire; temperatures will be around 50° at 6PM (around the time of the lighting), but then drop into the mid 40s by 11PM.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny and breezy with highs in the 60s.  If you are heading to the Columbus Day Parade on Federal Hill or the Scituate Arts Festival, bring the jacket or sweatshirt.  You will want this for times when you are hanging out in the shade or during the times where a cloud happens to be blocking out the sun.

Enjoy the weekend! -Pete Mangione


Flood Watch For Massachusetts Through Thursday AM

October 1st, 2014 at 2:24 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

A Flood Watch starts at 5PM this evening and goes through tomorrow (Thursday) morning.  This watch is for Bristol County Massachusetts only.  Remember, a watch means there is a POTENTIAL of flooding.  If flooding is imminent, then a warning will be issues.

HEADLINES FOR Bristol County Mass (as well as Plymouth County, Cape Cod, and the islands):

- Periods of heavy rainfall which could lead to the flooding of streets or small streams.  The more likely areas to get flooding would be in far eastern areas such as the outer Cape.  Areas from New Bedford and points west are less likely to get flooding.

- 1 to 2 inches of rain are likely; but isolated higher amounts are possible.

- Periods of heavy rain will be moving through this afternoon, but the most likely time to see the heaviest of the rain is 5PM this evening into early Thursday morning.

As of this afternoon, Live Pinpoint Doppler 12 RADAR was already showing heavy amounts of moisture moving in from the Atlantic.




0.5 to 1.5 inches of rain is likely; but some higher isolated amounts are possible. If the rain axis starts moving further west, it’s possible that parts of Rhode Island may have to be added to Flood Watch area. -Pete Mangione

NOAA Says This Winter Could go Either Way

September 25th, 2014 at 5:09 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The Climate Prediction Center (the branch of NOAA that handles long term forecasts) recently issued their forecast for this upcoming winter.  Whether you are a “snow lover”, or a “snow hater”, there is not much to get excited about.  That’s because the forecast calls for equal chances of below or above normal precipitation.  The NOAA forecast map for this December, January, and February is below:


The “EC” stands for equal chances, and one of those EC’s is sitting right over the northeast.  The green shaded areas with the A represent locations which have slightly better odds to receive above normal precipitation, and the orange shaded areas with the B represent locations which have slightly better odds to receive below normal precipitation. Precipitation includes rain as well as snow, but it still can be used as guide for making long term snow forecasts.

There is a lot of analysis that goes into making a long term forecast, and there are many different methods that can be used.   Several private forecasting firms have also come out with winter forecasts and the outlooks vary.  While I don’t know everything that went into the forecast from the Climate Prediction Center, it’s likely that they based some of it on El Nino, which has a better than 50% chance of developing by this winter.

El Nino is characterized by the warm waters in the equatorial Pacific; this can affect the position of the jet stream and long term weather patterns.  During El Nino periods,  the Pacific jet stream tends to cut across the southern part of the United States.


This brings a lot of moisture and lift to this region, which is why El Nino often brings soaking rain from central/southern California to the southeastern United States.  But history has shown there is NO strong signal for the northeast; that is likely one of the reasons for the “equal chances” forecast by NOAA for our area.


For the sake of curiosity, I decided to look at a few of the past El Nino winters and a possible snowfall trend.  Here is a breakdown; the snowfall data comes from TF Green Airport (source: Northeastern Regional Climate Center)


El Nino Winter                                  Snowfall

2009-2010:                                             31.5

2006-2007:                                             15.1

2004-2005:                                             72.2

2002-2003:                                             56.3


With the normal TF Green snowfall being 33.8 inches, you can see that 2 El Nino winters had above normal snowfall, and 2 El Nino winters had below normal snowfall.  This includes a very snowy winter in 2004-2005 with 72 inches, and a very wimpy winter in 2006-2007 with just 15.1 inches.   Because there are only four years listed above, we can’t draw any scientific conclusions from this data.  However, it is interesting that the these four years support the idea that El Nino doesn’t really tell us anything about the upcoming winter in the northeast.  It can snow a lot, it can snow about average, and it might not snow that much at all!

Of course, we should be able to give a few more specifics as we get closer to winter. Enjoy  the beginning of autumn! -Pete Mangione

Sunday Morning Update: CVS 5K and Pats

September 21st, 2014 at 8:38 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

So far, the showers have been primarily staying to our north and west this morning.  Here is a breakdown for what to expect for  the rest of the day:

CVS Health 5K: It will be warm and muggy at the start of the race with temperatures in the mid 70s.  There will be a threat of a shower or downpour, but most of the time it is rain free.  I would say shorts and t-shirts if you are a runner; if you are a spectator a rain jacket or poncho might not be a bad idea in case you get hit by a brief downpour.


Pats Game: Similar to the 5K, most of the time will be rain free, warm and muggy.  There could be a brief shower or downpour for tailgating or during the game.  Temperatures will be in the upper 70s from start to finish (exception would be if a shower comes through), so you don’t have to worry about a cool down for the end of the game.



Enjoy your Sunday! -Pete Mangione




CVS Health 5K: Mild Temperatures, but Showers Possible

September 20th, 2014 at 8:33 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The CVS 5K starts at 11:15AM tomorrow (Sunday), and we are tracking the CHANCE for a few showers.  I have done this race a few times over the past few years and the weather has been fantastic, so hopefully we can keep it that way!

A tricky forecast is developing for Sunday because a chunk of tropical moisture will make a close pass to southern New England.

What we know about Sunday: A mild air mass will be in place, so even if we end up with morning showers and a lot of clouds, temperatures should be in the 70s for most of the day.  Temperatures should be in the low 70s around 11:15AM for the start of the race.  That is almost ideal for running in terms of temperature, but it will be muggy.

What we still need to fine tune: There is still a lot of uncertainty in the threat of Sunday showers.  If this “chunk” of tropical moisture stays well offshore, then we end up with just a brief sprinkle or no showers at all.  If this chunk of tropical moisture moves further inland, then some downpours and even a thunderstorm is possible Sunday morning.   My forecast for now leans towards the drier scenario, with a few brief sprinkles possible Sunday morning and then a dry afternoon.



If you are running in or watching the 5K, I would at plan on a few showers for Sunday morning.  Tune in to TJ tonight, and then catch me at 6AM tomorrow morning on WPRI 12.  We will be going live in Providence for the race preparations, and I will be tracking potential showers with Live Pinpoint Doppler 12 RADAR.  -Pete Mangione




Storms Arrive Late Today, Some Could be Strong

September 6th, 2014 at 8:23 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Although most of today (Saturday) will be free of rain and storms, some potentially severe weather arrives by late afternoon and evening.  Here is a timeline of what to expect:

Saturday Morning: Some thick fog will give way to partly sunny skies, the fog may take a little while longer to clear from the coast.  Humidity will be VERY high…so if you go out for your morning run or walk, don’t be surprised if you sweat immediately!

Saturday Noon to 4PM: Heat and humidity will continue to build with periods of hazy sun.  A few showers or thunderstorms are possible north and west of I-95, but most areas will stay dry. 

Saturday 4PM to 10PM: This is the most likely period for strong to severe thunderstorms.  While it won’t be raining this entire time, you will want to be in a place where you can get inside quickly.  Keep in mind, there is no guarantee that will get severe weather, but the risk is high enough where we need to point out some POTENTIAL threats.  The threats include hail, flash flooding, and even a slight chance of a tornado.   Here is a break down from the high resolution RPM model.



Note that northwest RI (especially north and west of 295) has the best chance of severe weather during the late afternoon, while the severe threat shifts to Little Compton and points east by late tonight.  Stay with us both on air and online, we will keep you updated throughout the day. -Pete Mangione

Still A Rip Current Threat Today, but Waters Gradually Calm

August 29th, 2014 at 6:06 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog



Good morning.  The latest observations show swells on the south coast are have now gone down to about 3-5 feet.  That is lower than yesterday, but it is still high enough to pose a danger.  The high surf advisory has expired; the surf should continue to decrease into the afternoon.


Even when the surf is no longer a threat, dangerous rip currents will be a risk.  These can sometimes be more dangerous than the high surf because it is often hard to see the rip currents.


By Saturday and Sunday, the surf should no longer be an issue but we will still have to monitor the rip current risk.  The risk will likely be lower as waters continue to calm, but make sure to check back with us through out the weekend.  It often takes a while for the rip current risk to completely go away. -Pete Mangione

Cristobal Will Bring Rip Currents, Possibly Late Wednesday

August 26th, 2014 at 7:12 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

As of Tuesday evening, Cristobal is a Category One hurricane with winds of 75 mph.  Here is the latest track:


This storm will stay far away, so we don’t have to worry about it bringing bad weather.  However, it will bring rip currents Thursday into the weekend.  Some of these rips may arrive as early as Wednesday afternoon.  Please listen to lifeguards at the beach for instructions about where it is safe to swim. -Pete Mangione




Cristobal Could Affect Waters, but not Land

August 24th, 2014 at 7:35 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

As of Sunday evening Tropical Storm Cristobal had winds of 46 mph and was moving to the north at 7 mph.  There is a “dip” in the jet stream that seems to be interacting with the storm.   That is likely the reason it does not have that classic circular shape yet.  However, as the dip in the jet stream moves away, it’s likely that Cristobal will become better organized and turn into a hurricane.  However, this may not happen for several days.

Here is the Sunday evening track from the National Hurricane Center:



There are 2 important things to note.  First, notice how the red, hollow tropical storm graphic becomes a “filled in” hurricane graphic from Tuesday into Wednesday.  This makes sense given that the above mentioned “dip” in the jet stream should be gone that point.  Tropical systems don’t like dips in the jet stream, so once this moves away Cristobal will have a change to organize.

The second thing to note the sharp bend to the right on Thursday.  There is actually a second “dip” in the jet stream that will bring in a cold front around this time.  This should help push Cristobal out to sea and keep it well offshore from southern New England.  However, rip currents are possible around the end of the week into Labor Day weekend.  Even if the storm is several hundred miles away, it can still affect our waters if it is strong enough.  The front itself may give us some isolated showers or thunderstorms, but we will take that over a hit from Cristobal!


The weather for the Friday and Saturday actually looks nice and comfortable with highs in the upper 70s and low humidity.  Some showers are possible Sunday from a another wave of low pressure that may ride in from the west.

Obviously, interactions in the atmosphere between fronts and tropical systems are complex so we need to continue to watch this for any changes in the path.  Have a good night and enjoy the warmer temperatures this week! -Pete Mangione

Tropical Storm Cristobal: What does it mean for us?

August 24th, 2014 at 9:15 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

As of Sunday morning Tropical Storm Cristobal had winds of 45 mph and was approaching parts of the Bahamas.  Conditions will be favorable for the storm to strengthen over the next few days, this could make it either a stronger tropical storm or a hurricane.

There is still a lot of uncertainty in the track of the storm.  There is a chance it could drift into the Florida or the North/South Carolina coast.  The most likely scenario keeps it near the Florida and Carolina coast but never brings it onto land.  A bend back to the northeast is then expected mid-week.  Here is the updated track from the National Hurricane Center:


Notice that in the above track, the storm does not make it that close to southern New England.  However, we can’t rely on just one solution.  We need to account for some variation from this track; either closer or further away from southern New England.  IF the storm tries to get near us towards the end of the week, a cold front may help push it away. This front will bring the chance of showers.


Based on all of the above, it is likely that Cristobal stays well offshore from southern New England.  That being said, some dangerous rip currents are possible as we head into the start of the Labor Day Weekend.  However, the weather itself looks OK.  We will continue to bring you more updates, enjoy the nice Sunday! -Pete Mangione




Tropical Storm Cristobal Forms

August 23rd, 2014 at 6:56 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Updated at 7AM On Sunday

Tropical Storm Cristobal is now here.  Winds are sustained at 45 mph.  IF the storm makes it offshore from New England, we are NOT expecting a landfall.  The storm may give us some rip currents, more information is below….

There are several different scenarios involving this tropical storm.  One scenario brings the storms into the Gulf of Mexico, another scenario brings it into Florida or North/ South Carolina.    The most likely scenario (and most agreed upon by the computer models) brings it into the northwest initially, but then bends it back out to sea as shown below.



IF the above scenario were to occur, it would likely be during the end of next week as a tropical storm or hurricane.  A front will likely be moving in from the northwest at the same time; this would help push the storm out to sea (sometimes fronts can be good!). The front could bring a few showers, but mostly dry weather is expected during this time.

That being said, we would still likely get some rip currents right before or during Labor Day Weekend.  Stay tuned as we need to see what happens with this storm over the next 48 hours to get a better idea of the path.  -Pete Mangione