We’ve been watching this week’s storm for a week or so now. As is usual with these storms, they are very track dependent. This one is no exception.
There are a number of scenarios that could play out as you can see by the graphic above. We feel pretty confident that a low center will move over the Pennsylvania/Maryland border and head eastward. Track #1 is consistently becoming the track of choice for most computer models — that’s a track north of New York City and across S’rn New England. This would bring more rain to our area but some snow at the end of the storm. The heaviest of the snow will likely be in Northern New England. Tracks #2 and #3 are becoming less and less likely.
The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Watch for western Massachusetts and areas to the north and west of there. This means that there’s the potential for 6inches or more of snow in these areas. However, some areas in Northern New England could be seeing a foot of snow. Great for ski country!