Tony Petrarca

Geminid Meteor Shower This Weekend…

December 12th, 2014 at 7:09 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca..

A “Different” kind of shower this weekend…Clouds expected to gradual decrease Saturday evening and night

geminids

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The following is from earthsky.org

The peak night of the 2014 Geminid meteor shower will probably occur on the night of December 13 (morning of December 14).  The night before (December 12-13) may offer a decent sprinkling of meteors as well.  Geminid meteors tend to be few and far between at early evening, but intensify in number as evening deepens into late night.  A last quarter moon will rise around midnight, but Geminid meteors are bright! This shower favors Earth’s Northern Hemisphere, but it’s visible from the Southern Hemisphere, too.

The shower owes its name to the constellation Gemini from where the meteors seem to emerge from in the sky.

Unlike most other meteor showers, the Geminids are associated not with a comet but with an asteroid – the 3200 Phaethon. The asteroid takes about 1.4 years to orbit around the Sun.

The Geminids are considered to be one of the more spectacular meteor shower during a year, with the possibility of sighting around 120 meteors per hour at its peak.

The Geminids can be observed from locations all around the world.

While it is not necessary to look in a particular direction to enjoy a meteor shower – just lay down on the ground and look directly above and you are bound to see some meteors – astronomers suggest looking towards the south to view the Geminids.

The best time to view the Geminids between 9 p.m. (21:00) local time and before dusk.


Storm Moves Out. All Watches And Advisories Cancelled

December 9th, 2014 at 7:41 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

 

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca…

The worst of Today’s rain and wind storm has moved out…Below is a list of rainfall amounts and peak winds for certain towns and cities

 

LOCATION          STORM TOTAL     TIME/DATE   COMMENTS
RAINFALL           OF
/INCHES/   MEASUREMENT

CONNECTICUT

HARTFORD COUNTY
3 SE HARTFORD                     1.81   520 PM 12/09  ASOS
1 WNW WINDSOR LOCKS    1.64   513 PM 12/09  ASOS
WETHERSFIELD                     1.40   236 PM 12/09  HAM RADIO

WINDHAM COUNTY
3 NE WILLIMANTIC          1.17   524 PM 12/09  ASOS

MASSACHUSETTS

BARNSTABLE COUNTY…
HARWICH                       2.64   600 PM 12/09  TRAINED SPOTTER
2 NW CHATHAM           2.38   517 PM 12/09  ASOS
2 NE HYANNIS               2.05   524 PM 12/09  ASOS
EAST FALMOUTH         1.67   302 PM 12/09  CO-OP OBSERVER

BRISTOL COUNTY
FAIRHAVEN                      2.87   408 PM 12/09  HAM RADIO
TAUNTON                          2.55   455 PM 12/09  NWS OFFICE
4 ESE TAUNTON              2.40   545 PM 12/09  ASOS
4 W NORTON                    2.10   529 PM 12/09  CO-OP OBSERVER
3 NW NEW BEDFORD    1.67   517 PM 12/09  ASOS

DUKES COUNTY…
3 S VINEYARD HAVEN    2.27   528 PM 12/09  ASOS

ESSEX COUNTY…
TOPSFIELD                       3.29   557 PM 12/09  AMATEUR RADIO
5 WNW BEVERLY            3.00   515 PM 12/09  ASOS
BEVERLY                           2.23   559 PM 12/09  AMATEUR RADIO
BRADFORD                       2.20   558 PM 12/09  AMATEUR RADIO
3 NE LAWRENCE             2.20   525 PM 12/09  ASOS
IPSWICH                            2.10   303 PM 12/09  TRAINED SPOTTER
BOXFORD                          2.09   559 PM 12/09  AMATEUR RADIO
LAWRENCE                       2.06   558 PM 12/09  AMATEUR RADIO
ROCKPORT                        1.13   302 PM 12/09  MEDIA

FRANKLIN COUNTY
2 SE ORANGE                    1.14   530 PM 12/09  ASOS

HAMPDEN COUNTY…
2 ENE WESTFIELD          1.40   511 PM 12/09  ASOS

MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
BURLINGTON                 2.71   556 PM 12/09  AMATEUR RADIO
2 WSW BEDFORD          2.42   514 PM 12/09  ASOS
FRAMINGHAM               2.42   557 PM 12/09  AMATEUR RADIO
READING                          2.28   555 PM 12/09  AMATEUR RADIO
CAMBRIDGE                    2.24   404 PM 12/09  HAM RADIO
CONCORD                         2.20   556 PM 12/09  AMATEUR RADIO
MEDFORD                         2.14   405 PM 12/09  HAM RADIO
WESTON                            2.03   555 PM 12/09  AMATEUR RADIO
WAKEFIELD                     1.55   203 PM 12/09  TRAINED SPOTTER
TEWKSBURY                    1.15   219 PM 12/09  NONE

NANTUCKET COUNTY…
NANTUCKET                     3.01   504 PM 12/09  AMATEUR RADIO
2 ESE NANTUCKET         2.14   505 PM 12/09  ASOS

NORFOLK COUNTY…
3 SSW MILTON                3.05   527 PM 12/09  ASOS
WELLESLEY MA              2.76   258 PM 12/09  HAM RADIO
WALPOLE                          2.38   403 PM 12/09  HAM RADIO
1 ENE NORWOOD           2.38   532 PM 12/09  ASOS
MILTON                             1.56   329 PM 12/09  TRAINED SPOTTER

PLYMOUTH COUNTY…
PLYMOUTH                     2.44   407 PM 12/09  HAM RADIO
4 SW PLYMOUTH          2.10   545 PM 12/09  ASOS

SUFFOLK COUNTY
1 N EAST BOSTON        2.39   509 PM 12/09  ASOS
BOSTON                          2.08   406 PM 12/09  HAM RADIO

WORCESTER COUNTY
3 WNW WORCESTER       1.40   530 PM 12/09  ASOS
4 SE FITCHBURG              1.27   518 PM 12/09  ASOS

RHODE ISLAND

KENT COUNTY
COVENTRY                      3.00   411 PM 12/09  HAM RADIO
2 NNW WARWICK         2.61   533 PM 12/09  ASOS

NEWPORT COUNTY
4 NE NEWPORT               1.79   546 PM 12/09  ASOS

PROVIDENCE COUNTY
WEST GLOCESTER          1.53   250 PM 12/09  TRAINED SPOTTER

WASHINGTON COUNTY…
WESTERLY                        2.22   410 PM 12/09  HAM RADIO
2 SSE WESTERLY             2.00   547 PM 12/09  ASOS
HOPKINTON                     2.00   245 PM 12/09  NONE

***********************PEAK WIND GUST***********************

LOCATION             MAX WIND     TIME/DATE   COMMENTS
GUST            OF
MPH    MEASUREMENT

MASSACHUSETTS

BARNSTABLE COUNTY…
FALMOUTH                       61   343 PM 12/09  OTIS AIR FIELD
BARNSTABLE                   52   312 PM 12/09  HAM RADIO
EAST FALMOUTH           51   119 PM 12/09  NONE
ORLEANS                           50   156 PM 12/09  HAM RADIO
CHATHAM                         50   129 PM 12/09  HAM RADIO
WELLFLEET                      48   245 PM 12/09  HAM RADIO

BRISTOL COUNTY…
FAIRHAVEN                      62   258 PM 12/09  HAM RADIO

DUKES COUNTY…
OAK BLUFFS                     49   135 PM 12/09  HAM RADIO

ESSEX COUNTY…
ROCKPORT                         53   302 PM 12/09  MEDIA

PLYMOUTH COUNTY…
SCITUATE                       61   329 PM 12/09  HAM RADIO
MARION                          47   109 PM 12/09  HAM RADIO

SUFFOLK COUNTY…
WINTHROP                     46   316 PM 12/09  HAM RADIO

RHODE ISLAND

WASHINGTON COUNTY…
CHARLESTOWN             50   346 PM 12/09  HAM RADIO

***********************SUSTAINED WIND***********************

LOCATION                 WIND     TIME/DATE   COMMENTS
SPEED           OF
MPH    MEASUREMENT

MASSACHUSETTS

BARNSTABLE COUNTY…
EAST FALMOUTH           36   119 PM 12/09  NONE

ESSEX COUNTY…
ROCKPORT                        32   302 PM 12/09  MEDIA

$$


Icy Roads Continue For Several More Hours

December 8th, 2014 at 11:25 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from Chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca..

Winter Weather Advisory Due To Freezing Rain Has Been Extended To Include Washington County RI And Southern  Bristol

County Mass (shaded blue areas).  This Advisory will expire 5am Tuesday.

Meanwhile heavy rain (no ice) and wind moves in Tuesday.

advy 2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Icing causing significant amount of car accidents across Southeast Massachusetts and Rhode Island Monday Night

The following is an incomplete list. Please note some details may change and need to be confirmed at a later time. MVA stands for ‘Motor Vehicle Accident’..

List of icing/accident reports below from Monday Night as of 11pm

950 PM: Freetown, MA: Route 24 North and Southbound between North Main Street and Route 104 – icy conditions

955 PM: North Smithfield, RI: Route 146 Southbound at West Acres shutdown due to icing

1000 PM: Tiverton, RI: 2 Car MVA on Main Road, very icy road conditions across town

1000 PM: Tolland, CT: I-84 is closed for multiple crashes due to icy roads between exits 67 and 68.

1000 PM: Fall River, MA: Route 24 southbound at exit 25 closed due to ice and car accidents related to ice

1000 PM: Johnston RI: 295 south in the area of exit 5 Rhode Island State Police going out for a report of multiple vehicles involved in a accident

1006 PM: Raynham, MA: 7 car MVA on Route 24 at 495 spread out over 1/4 mile.

1006 PM: Woonsocket/Cumberland RI: Accident – Right lane blocked on 146 Northbound at 146A

1006 PM: Mansfield, MA: I-495 at I-95 reported multiple accidents

1010 PM: Westport, MA: Route I-195 west area of white’s restaurant – mva – vehicle on the side of the median, second accident on the other end of the median. Route 88 reported as slick and icy. multiple other streets reported slick and iced up.

1013 PM: Hingham, MA: car into a tree Route 3 Northbound – Exit 14, Route 3 very icy.

1016 PM: Somerset/Fall River, MA: I-195 Eastbound at Exit 4 over the bridge and I-195 access at the bottom of Columbia Street closed due to icing

1021 PM: Providence, RI: Accident, Right lane of exit ramp blocked on I-95 southbound at Exit 22B US 6 West

1023 PM: Westport, MA: I-195 Westbound at Route 88 – rollover with possible entrapment of occupant

1025 PM: East Providence, RI: Car Accident – Right lane of exit ramp blocked on East Shore Expressway southbound at I-195

1026 PM: Fall River, MA: Braga and Veterans Memorial Bridges closed due to icing

1029 PM: Westport, MA: Old Bedford Road – icing, accidents reported. several overpasses very slick and icy.

1033 PM: I-495 Northbound Exit 6, several cars spun out, some cars moving on their own others being towed.

1037 PM: Swansea, MA: Car spun out hit gaurd rail on I-195 Eastbound

1038 PM: Fall River, MA: Route 24 Northbound at exit 8A, male struck by a vehicle after getting out of his car that spun off the road.

1044 PM: Fall River, MA: Route 6 rotary prior to 24 north mva in Fall River

1044 PM: Westport, MA: I-195 West prior to Route 24 North, MVA

1047 PM: Johnston, RI: MVA car versus tree with entrapment 2643 Hartford

1051 PM: Bridgewater, MA: Route 24 southbound – milemarker 25.8, car spun out in the road.

1054 PM: Bridgewater, MA: Route 24 MVA 20 cars due to icing

 

Accident Data provided by

Rob Macedo (KD1CY)

ARES SKYWARN Coordinator for NWS Taunton Massachusetts


Pockets Of Freezing Drizzle Tonight. Heavy Rain, Wind Tuesday.

December 8th, 2014 at 6:42 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from Chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca..

While we are still expecting a mild rain and wind storm Tuesday…cold air Tonight will be slow to leave in areas away from the coast. Right now, we have a damp east-northeast wind bringing in moisture off the ocean in the form of flurries, mist and drizzle. As the cold drizzle falls into air that is still very cold near ground, some light glazing of ice is possible. The map below shows where Winter Weather Advisories are in place (blue shading) for Tonight. By early Tuesday morning these cold inland locations will warm well above freezing..

 

Winter Wx Advy

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Meanwhile the main coastal storm  will approach early Tuesday morning with heavy rain (no icing) and strong coastal winds.  A High Wind Advisory is in effect for south shore with gust potential up to 50 mph.  A High Wind Watch (pink shading) is in effect for  Cape, Islands, including Block Island. Winds here may gusts to 60 mph.

 

windy advy

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The storm time table for Tuesday looks something like  this…..

 

time line

 

..


Wednesday Storm Update..

November 25th, 2014 at 6:59 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening From Chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca…

Coastal Storm Wednesday is very “location dependent” . Some areas its mostly rain and wind….other locations colder with mostly snow.

Click here for detailed video forecast

 STORM TIME LINE

timeline

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS

winter storm warning

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SNOW AMOUNTS BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT (MOST NORTHWEST, LESS SOUTHEAST, NOTHING AT COAST)

new accumulations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 HIGH WINDS AT COAST

winds advy


Dry Mild Tuesday, Rain To Snow Wednesday

November 24th, 2014 at 8:15 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

 

Good Evening From Chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca..

Dry mild weather returns Tuesday before our next storm arrives Wednesday. The exact track of a coastal low will determine amounts of both rain and snow and more importantly the rain snow line.  At this point the precipitation will start as all rain early Wednesday morning. A mix, and then change to wet snow will occur during afternoon and evening hours…first in the higher elevations northwest of Providence, then later points south and east of Providence by early Wednesday evening.  The best chances of accumulating snow will coincide with location of colder temperatures both near the ground and within a few 1000 feet of atmosphere above. Even with the storm still 36 hours out, there is still a high degree of uncertainty with the snow accumulation forecast.  Check back with us later Tonight and Tuesday to forecast revisions to both snow and rain amounts.  Meanwhile, travel now thru Tuesday night looks OK. New computer model data comes in later this evening…we will have an update on our 10pm news on Fox Providence and 11pm news on WPRI channel 12.

 

amounts1


All Watches And Warnings Have Expired….

November 17th, 2014 at 7:41 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca…

Fast moving system has raced offshore this evening. A line of strong thunderstorms (thin red line on radar) which hit Block Island, the Cape and Islands hard early this evening with winds to 60 mph, continues to pull away…in its wake a rapid drop in temperature very late Tonight will bring in some of the coldest air so far of the Autumn season next few days…

radra

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Radar Image As Of 735pm…Line Of Storms (red) Have Raced Offshore

 


3PM Storm Update…

November 17th, 2014 at 3:00 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Afternoon  from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca

Weather continues to move along on  schedule..heaviest of rain and wind late will be  late Today into early evening.  Currently tracking (as of 3:03pm) very heavy rain from New Jersey to Waterbury Conn. headed our away. Brief flash flooding of streets along with wind gusts of 45-55 mph over Rhode Island..up to 60mph for Cape after 4pm.

storm2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Photo courtesy Of National Weather Service Taunton.


Massive Storm Near Alaska Will Alter Jet Steam In The U.S. Next Week

November 7th, 2014 at 10:59 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

 

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca..

Massive storm now located  off the Aluetian Islands (near Alaska) will alter the entire jet stream (storm track) across the entire northern Hemisphere.. What does it mean for us???….the jet stream will “buckle” and drop significantly  south across the middle of the United States next week and eventually into New England by late week (around November 19th)…this will bring much colder air to New England…stay tuned.

Remnants of Typhoon Nuri Create to 60 Foot Waves Off Alaska
Typhoon Nuri, now an extra-tropical storm, is moving into the Aleutian Islands archipelago, and bringing with it some monstrously large waves. NOAA’s WaveWatch III ocean model, used to predict ocean conditions, shows that some waves could exceed 60 feet in height. The output for November 9 at 1200Z is plotted here in five foot contours. As the storm moves eastward, the islands act as a natural buffer to the mainland, and much of the significant wave height will dissipate, but not before causing dangerous shipping conditions throughout the region. Storm will change the weather pattern across the continental United States and New England Next weekMap below is the incredible wave height forecast off the Aleutian Islands

 

1639v1_20141107-WaveWatch

 

 


Coastal Storm Update…Rain, Strong Wind Gusts

November 1st, 2014 at 12:16 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Morning From Chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca..

Yes its early in the morning, still in weather office as of 12:35am.  Latest data still points to a strong ocean storm passing  just east of Cape Cod later Saturday into Sunday….the storm is represented by the red “L” on map below just off Cape Cod Sunday morning.  Latest forecast track will bring cold rain Saturday along with strong winds thru Sunday Morning..

nam12

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Confidence is growing that the strongest winds (up to 60 mph) will be on Cape Cod.  This means power outage likely there.  The rest of our area will see gusts in the 30-50 mph range. Winds of that magnitude will produce a low to moderate risk of power outages ( see yellow shaded area on our forecast gust map below…)

wind gusts

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As far as storm impacts…the biggest concern would be wind.  An inch or two of rain may produce minor street flooding, since some low lying streets may have leaf clogged storm drains..It looks like northern Maine and New Hampshire will get several inches of snow. However it is possible for some wet snow to mix in with rain by Sunday morning here in southern New England. This is something that will need to be monitored

impacts

 


Cold Windy Weekend. Storm “Potential” Saturday?

October 28th, 2014 at 8:47 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening From Chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca….

One more mild day Wednesday before much colder air moves in for Weekend.  A storm will form offshore Saturday, but exact location and track is still uncertain….a track well offshore means cold windy and dry…….A track closer to shore means cold and windy with rain Saturday, mixing with wet snow across inland areas Saturday Night…stay tuned thru out the week.. Sunday looks dry, but very windy and chilly.

saturday cold

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

saturday storm


Offshore Storm Lingers Thru Friday Morning…

October 23rd, 2014 at 7:28 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca..

Coastal storm continues to influence our weather Tonight with rain and wind. However the wind gusts should not be as strong as last Night. Damaging winds are not expected. Gusts Tonight will range from 25-35 mph at times.  A light to moderate rain Tonight with an occasional heavier downpour. Showers linger early Friday, then drier air by afternoon and evening.  Some clearing Friday Night will set the stage for brighter weather this weekend..

Storm Damage Reports From Last Night..Click Here

Rainfall Amounts Since Yesterday..Click Here

ne map

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Location of coastal storm as of 7pm

 RPM High Resolution Computer Model Shows Strongest Winds In Yellow (35-40 mph) along east coastal Massachusetts and just offshore this evening

rpm winds

 

 

 

 


Coastal Storm Brings Rain And Strong Wind Gusts…

October 22nd, 2014 at 7:15 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca..

Continue to monitor intensifying coastal storm south of Block Island. Bands of rain, heavy at times will move thru this evening and overnight…some embedded thunderstorms too.  Winds are picking up right now with gusts to 35 mph inland, but up to 45 mph along the coastline. Winds that gust to 45 mph have the potential to bring isolated damage to trees and powerlines. Rainfall totals Tonight thru Thursday will range from 1-2 inches across Rhode Island,  with 2-3 inches for southeastern Massachusetts where a “Flood Watch” is in effect.  A “High Wind Warning” has just been issued for Plymouth County Mass.

 

noreaster

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

flood watch


Storm Will Stall Offshore This Week.

October 20th, 2014 at 6:59 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca..

It still looks like various “elements”  in the atmosphere will come together  to produce a storm off the New England coast. Storm will stall for roughly a 2-3 day period, bringing a long stretch of rain and some gusty winds.  Right now I’m tracking a weak storm moving  across the upper Great Lakes.  As it moves  into Upstate New York,  a new storm will form off the coast and become the primary weather system next several days. (See Map Below). 

 

noreastr

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

RAIN FALL AMOUNTS:  1-3 INCHES  EXPECTED OVER THE TUESDAY-THURSDAY TIME FRAME

WINDS:  GUSTY BY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY UP TO 30-35 MPH ALONG THE SHORE

IMPROVEMENTS:  GRADUAL IMPROVEMENTS  BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON, MUCH NICER THIS WEEKEND.

 

5 Day Rainfall Totals Now Thru Friday Shows 1-3 Inches Southern New England, Much Higher New Hampshire/Maine.

rain totals 5 days


Gonzola Now A Major Storm. Hurricane Watch For Bermuda.

October 14th, 2014 at 11:41 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening From Chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca..

Hurricane Gonzola continues to intensify rapidy with winds as of 11pm Tuesday at 125 mph. While the storm is not expected to make landfall on the US mainland, surf, swells and rip currents will increase along the coast by Thursday and Friday this week…

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM
———————————————–
LOCATION…22.2N 66.6W
ABOUT 705 MI…1135 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…125 MPH…205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 MPH…20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…954 MB…28.17 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 1100 PM AST…0300 UTC…THE EYE OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH…LONGITUDE 66.6 WEST. GONZALO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH…20 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO…FOLLOWED BY A NORTH-
NORTHEASTWARD ACCELERATION BY LATE THURSDAY.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH…205
KM/H…WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  GONZALO IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO…FOLLOWED BY
SOME WEAKENING AFTER THAT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES…35 KM…FROM
THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES…185 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM A RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 954 MB…28.17 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
SURF…SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS…THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE NORTHERN COAST
OF PUERTO RICO THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  THESE SWELLS WILL REACH THE
BAHAMAS ON WEDNESDAY AND MOST OF THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES BY THURSDAY.  SWELLS GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

gonzy now 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Forecast Track …

Gozy Track


New Hurricane Forms In The Atlantic

October 13th, 2014 at 6:14 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from Chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca

GONZALO BECOMES A HURRICANE WHILE MOVING THROUGH THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING LIKELY…

SUMMARY 5 PM
LOCATION…17.9N 62.9W
ABOUT 20 MI…30 KM SE OF ST. MARTIN
ABOUT 140 MI…230 KM ESE OF ST. THOMAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…984 MB…29.06 INCHES

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* ST. MAARTIN
* ST. MARTIN
* ANGUILLA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* BARBUDA
* ANTIGUA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* MONTSERRAT
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS

Gonzalo now

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

gonzalo track


Sub-Tropical Storm Fay Forms In Atlantic

October 10th, 2014 at 6:59 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening From Chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca:

RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS
STRENGTHENED INTO SUBTROPICAL STORM FAY…

SUMMARY OF 6 PM EST
LOCATION…24.7N 64.2W
ABOUT 525 MI…845 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE

 Satellite Photo Of  Fay

fay

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

fay2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fay’s Forecast Track Keeps Storm Away From US Mainland

yay track


Storm Damage This Morning In Western Mass. From A Microburst.

October 8th, 2014 at 6:45 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca…

Numerous showers and thunderstorms this morning between 4am and 8am. Fortunately not severe in Rhode Island, but some were powerful in western Massachusetts. The small town of Easthampton, Mass. had a violent storm pass thru around 4:43am…the damage looked like a tornado, but it was a confirmed “Microburst”.  Unlike the twisting winds of a tornado, a microburst produces straight, linear winds, which can be as strong as a tornado. Wind speed were estimated to be 100 mph in Easthampton, creating widespread tree and powerline damage, A few homes had damage too. Storms in Rhode Island and Southeast Mass. stayed just below severe criteria.

 

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Damage photo from early this morning…winds estimated at 100 miles..just 45 miles from Rhode Island border.

Western Mass Storm Damage

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA  
434 PM EDT WED OCT 8 2014  
 
…MICROBURST /STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE/ CONFIRMED NEAR  
EASTHAMPTON IN HAMPSHIRE COUNTY MA…  
 
LOCATION…EASTHAMPTON IN HAMPSHIRE COUNTY MA  
DATE…OCTOBER 8 2014  
ESTIMATED TIME…453 AM EDT  
ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED…100 MPH  
MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH…0.25 MILE  
PATH LENGTH…1 MILE  
BEGINNING LAT/LON…42.25N / 72.65W  
ENDING LAT/LON…42.25N / 72.65W  
* FATALITIES…0  
* INJURIES…0  
 
* THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO  
CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT(S) AND PUBLICATION IN  
NWS STORM DATA.  
   
..SUMMARY
 

 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON MA HAS CONFIRMED A  
MICROBURST /STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE/ IN EASTHAMPTON IN  
HAMPSHIRE COUNTY MA ON OCTOBER 8 2014.  
 
A THUNDERSTORM THAT PUSHED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL HAMPSHIRE COUNTY  
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING DROPPED A STRONG MICROBURST IN EASTHAMPTON  
NEAR THE HOLYOKE LINE. THE MICROBURST BEGAN AT ABOUT 453 AM ON THE  
WEST SIDE OF MOUNT TOM…AND MOVED FROM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST TO NORTH-  
NORTHEAST ALONG THE EDGE OF THE RANGE. DUE TO ITS LOCATION ALONG  
THE RANGE…WIND SPEEDS WERE INCREASED WHICH CAUSED A LARGE SWATH  
OF TREES TO EITHER BE UPROOTED OR SNAPPED. A LARGE AMOUNT OF TREES  
COVERED ROUTE 141/MOUNTAIN ROAD…TRAPPING A FEW CARS ON THE   
ROADWAY.   
 
MOUNTAIN ROAD REMAINS CLOSED DUE TO THE NUMBER OF TREES DOWN ON THE  
ROADWAY. THE MAYOR OF EASTHAMPTON DECLARED A STATE OF EMERGENCY FOR  
THE CITY.  
 
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED THIS EVENING IF MORE INFORMATION  
BECOMES AVAILABLE.  
 
THIS INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND ON OUR WEBSITE AT  
WEATHER.GOV/BOX.  
 
FOR REFERENCE…A MICROBURST IS A CONVECTIVE DOWNDRAFT WITH AN  
AFFECTED OUTFLOW AREA OF LESS THAN 2 1/2 MILES WIDE AND PEAK  
WINDS LASTING LESS THAN 5 MINUTES. MICROBURSTS MAY INDUCE  
DANGEROUS HORIZONTAL/VERTICAL WIND SHEARS…WHICH CAN ADVERSELY  
AFFECT AIRCRAFT PERFORMANCE AND CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE. STRAIGHT-  
LINE WINDS ARE GENERALLY ANY WIND THAT IS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH  
ROTATION…USED MAINLY TO DIFFERENTIATE THEM FROM TORNADIC WINDS.  
  


Update #3: Strong Thunderstorms Early Wednesday Morning…

October 7th, 2014 at 7:16 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca.

Still looks like all the ingrediants coming together for a heavy showers and strong thunderstorms early Wednesday morning.  The maps below are generated by high resolution, very detailed computer models called HRRR and RPM.  Both still show narrow lines of  orange and deep red colors, indicating thin lines of strong thunderstorms.  The concern is for “some” storms to bring damaging wind gusts.  The other concern (though chances are very small) is for a brief weak tornado or water spout.  The time table still looks like 5am to 9am before the sun comes out by noon. Even if there are no damaging winds, brief downpours will reduce travel times significantly. Also a coastal flood advisory is in effect at the time of high tide Weds. Morning (8am).  The combination of astronomical higher tides and gusty onshore winds will produce minor water rise on south shore and inside Narragansett Bay

HRRR Model

hrrr 1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

RPM Computer Projection Of Future Radar For Early Weds Morning (5am-8am)

rpm 1

 

 

rpm 2

 


Update #2: Storm Potential Early Wednesday Morning.

October 7th, 2014 at 3:43 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Afternoon from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca

I am looking at lastest data and coordination discusssions from National Weather Service Taunton Mass

Here are some quick bullet points…A more detailed update coming up this evening. Please refer to Michelle’s previous blog post

Primary concerns:

  • Strong wind gusts (40-60 mph), which could occur even with no thunder.
    • o Down branches and perhaps some down powerlines are possible as trees are still fully leaved.
  • Heavy rainfall (over an inch is possible), with the possibility of typical urban/nuisance flooding.
  • A brief tornado or offshore waterspout is possible.
  • Heavy rainfall/storms will affect the AM commute.

Timing:

  • Mainly between 2 am til 10 am.
  • Particular focus from about 4 AM in the west – 8 AM in the east.

Area of greatest concern:

  • Heavy rain and wind threat is for all of Southern New England.
  • Best chance for tornado: across CT/RI and eastern MA. However still a possibility elsewhere.
  • South Coastal waters have best chance for waterspout.

Minor Coastal Flood Threat:

Strong south winds and building seas will lead to a surge up to a foot around the time of high tide Wednesday morning, which is an astronomically high spring tide.  Therefore, pockets of minor coastal flooding are expected.  A coastal flood advisory has been issued with location along Narragansett Bay being the greatest concern. The time of the high tide in Providence is 8:21 AM.

Despite st0rmy weather early Wednesday morning…It will turn sunny warm and dry by Wednesday Afternoon


Landscape Starting To Change…Why Leaves Change Color

September 29th, 2014 at 6:55 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca

What make the leaves change color? They really don’t change color but rather reveal colors that are already there, hidden within deep pigments of green….As the green pigments disappears, other “hidden” colors show up. Plants absorb water from the ground through their roots. They also take in carbon dioxide from the air, while using sunlight to turn water and carbon dioxide into glucose. Glucose is a kind of sugar. Plants use glucose as “food” for energy to help them grow. The process of plants turning water and carbon dioxide into sugar is called photosynthesis. A chemical called chlorophyll helps make photosynthesis happen. Chlorophyll is what gives plants their green color.

colorful leaves

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Click HERE for current foliage color across New England this week

So….how do we get rid of the green colors?? That’s where the change of seasons comes in. As summer ends the days get shorter with less sunlight. During the winter, frozen soil means less water getting to the roots. As a result photosynthesis shuts down….green colors fade, revealing pigments of yellow and orange. In some trees, like maples, glucose is trapped in the leaves after photosynthesis stops. Sunlight and the cool nights of autumn cause the leaves to turn this glucose into a red color.

Our weather team will keep you updated…check back with us on wpri.com for more info.

Tony Petrarca


Hurricane Edouard Weakens, But Still Strong In Central Atlantic

September 16th, 2014 at 7:01 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca…

AFTER REACHING 115 MPH EDOUARD BEGINS TO WEAKEN…

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST
LOCATION…32.3N   57.5W
ABOUT 425 MI…685 KM EAST OF BERMUDA

ABOUT 1670 MI…2685 KM W OF FAYAL ISLAND IN THE WESTERN AZORES

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…105 MPH

PRESENT MOVEMENT…NORTH AT 15 MPH

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…958 MB

 

 

eddy now

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

eddy track


Tropical Storm Edouard Forms In Far Open Atlantic

September 11th, 2014 at 10:48 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening From Chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca…

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORMS IN THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC…
FORECAST TO REMAIN OUT TO SEA  AND NO THREAT TO U.S. MAINLAND

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM

LOCATION…17.3N 39.4W
ABOUT 1020 MI…1645 KM W OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH…20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB…29.68 INCHES

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX HAS
INTENSIFIED AND IS NOW TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD…THE FIFTH
NAMED TROPICAL STORM OF THE CURRRENT ATLANTIC HURRICANE
SEASON. AT 1100 PM THE CENTER OF EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH…LONGITUDE 39.4 WEST.

EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH….AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

THE FORECAST TRACK KEEPS EDOUARD OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE NORTH
CENTRAL ATLANTIC.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH…65 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES…75 KM
PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

 

eddy


Tropical Storm Dolly Headed For Mexico.

September 2nd, 2014 at 6:53 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good evening from chief meteorologist Tony R Petrarca…

The 4th storm of the hurricane is a weak tropical storm…no threat to US mainland.

dolly

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

DOLLY EXPECTED TO MOVE ONSHORE TONIGHT

 LOCATION…22.0N 97.0W ABOUT 60 MI…95 KM ESE OF TAMPICO MEXICO ABOUT 135 MI…215 KM SSE OF LA PESCA MEXICO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT…West  AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1004 MB

  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR… * CABO ROJO TO BARRA EL MEZQUITAL MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA…

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK….AT 400 PM CDT…2100 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH…LONGITUDE 97.0 WEST. DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH…19 KM/H…AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

ON THE FORECAST TRACK…THE CENTER WILL CROSS THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA THIS EVENING OR OVERNIGHT…AND CONTINUE MOVING INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH…75 KM/H…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL. WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AFTER DOLLY MOVES INLAND…AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES…220 KM FROM THE CENTER.


Nice Weather On Land….Ocean Waters Remain Rough

August 28th, 2014 at 7:08 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening From Chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca…

…HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WILL BRING DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS TO SOUTH FACING OCEAN BEACHES OF RHODE ISLAND AND MASSACHUSETTS THROUGH FRIDAY

HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. ALSO VIEWERS OF LARGE SURF SHOULD BE IN SAFE AREAS WELL AWAY FROM POSSIBLE SPLASH OVER.

LARGE WAVES CAN SWEEP A PERSON INTO THE WATER FROM WHAT MAY SEEM TO BE A SAFE VIEWING AREA. 

A RIP CURRENT…SOMETIMES MISTAKENLY CALLED AN UNDERTOW…IS A STRONG BUT NARROW CURRENT OF WATER FLOWING FROM THE BEACH TO THE SURF ZONE. IT CAN RAPIDLY CARRY A SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER AND EXHAUST AN INDIVIDUAL TRYING TO SWIM AGAINST IT. IF YOU ARE A POOR SWIMMER AND ARE CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT…SWIM PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL OUT OF ITS PULL.

ANOTHER MEANS OF ESCAPE FOR THOSE WHO ARE GOOD SWIMMERS IS TO RIDE THE CURRENT OUT BEYOND THE SURF ZONE WHERE THE RIP CURRENT DISSIPATES…THEN SWIM TOWARD SHORE OUTSIDE THE EFFECT OF THE NARROW RIP CURRENT. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE CURRENT…IT CAN EXHAUST AND DROWN EVEN THE STRONGEST SWIMMER

rips2

 


High Surf And Dangerous Rip Currents At Beaches

August 27th, 2014 at 6:36 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening From Chief  Meteorologist Tony Petrarca..

Hurricane Cristobal will pass well south and east of our area next 24 hours, however indirect impacts will be felt on the coastal waters with dangerous rip currents and powerful surf at area beaches

 

temp 2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

…HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY… *

LOCATION…SOUTH COAST OF RHODE ISLAND AND MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING NANTUCKET…MARTHAS VINEYARD AND BLOCK ISLAND.

* SURF HEIGHT…6 TO 12 FEET. * TIMING…FROM 8 PM TONIGHT TO 8 PM THURSDAY NIGHT.

THIS MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED INTO FRIDAY. *

IMPACTS…HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. ALSO VIEWERS OF LARGE SURF SHOULD BE IN SAFE AREAS WELL AWAY FROM POSSIBLE SPLASH OVER. LARGE WAVES CAN SWEEP A PERSON INTO THE WATER FROM WHAT MAY SEEM TO BE A SAFE VIEWING AREA. FALLING INTO THE TURBULENT AND SOMETIMES ROCKY WATERS CAN RESULT IN INJURY THAT REDUCES THE CHANCE OF SURVIVAL.

A RIP CURRENT…SOMETIMES MISTAKENLY CALLED AN UNDERTOW…IS A STRONG BUT NARROW CURRENT OF WATER FLOWING FROM THE BEACH TO THE SURF ZONE. IT CAN RAPIDLY CARRY A SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER AND EXHAUST AN INDIVIDUAL TRYING TO SWIM AGAINST IT. IF YOU ARE A POOR SWIMMER AND ARE CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT…SWIM PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL OUT OF ITS PULL.

ANOTHER MEANS OF ESCAPE FOR THOSE WHO ARE GOOD SWIMMERS IS TO RIDE THE CURRENT OUT BEYOND THE SURF ZONE WHERE THE RIP CURRENT DISSIPATES…THEN SWIM TOWARD SHORE OUTSIDE THE EFFECT OF THE NARROW RIP CURRENT. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE CURRENT…IT CAN EXHAUST AND DROWN EVEN THE STRONGEST SWIMMER. HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL AND SWIM ONLY AT GUARDED BEACHES. WATCH YOUR CHILDREN. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS NEAR PIERS AND JETTIES WHERE RIP CURRENTS CAN BE ENHANCED


Cristobal Now A Hurricane: Winds: 75 mph

August 25th, 2014 at 10:34 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening From Chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca

 

CRISTOBAL STRENGTHENING WHILE SLOWLY MEANDERING…

SUMMARY AS OF 8PM

 LOCATION…25.0N 72.0W

ABOUT 665 MI…1075 KM SW OF BERMUDA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…70 MPH…110 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT…E OR 100 DEGREES AT 2 MPH…4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…990 MB…29.23

 WATCHES AND WARNINGS:

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR… * BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK  AT 800 PM EDT.

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH…LONGITUDE 72.0 WEST. CRISTOBAL HAS BEEN MEANDERING IN A GENERALLY EASTWARD DIRECTION OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS…BUT A SLOW NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME OVERNIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST TO OCCUR ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK…THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL MOVE AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS THROUGH TUESDAY…AND PASS TO THE WEST AND NORTH OF BERMUDA ON WEDNESDAY. REPORTS FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH…110 KM/H…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO…AND CRISTOBAL IS LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES… 335 KM…PRIMARILY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

Forecast Track For Cristobal

cris 8pm

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Periods Of Heavy Rain, Thunder Wednesday

August 12th, 2014 at 7:23 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca….

High resolution satellite photo from this evening shows storm over Great Lakes with a secondary storm forming off the Mid Atlantic coast. Both will play a part in our weather for Wednesday….

Wednesday Outlook:

. Heavy Rain: Confidence High

. Minor Coastal Flooding: Confidence High, but does not look to be major

. Thunderstorms: Confidence High

. “Severe” Thunderstorms/Damaging WindConfidence Low to Moderate (stay tuned for updates regarding this)

 

vzz


Stormy Weather Late Tuesday Night Into Wednesday

August 11th, 2014 at 4:30 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good afternoon from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca…our weather  dept continues to monitior the potential for severe weather late Tuesday Night into Wednesday…the following items we continue to track along the National Weather Service In Taunton Mass…

       Heavy Rain/Flooding Potential:

  • Flash Flood Watch for late Tuesday night through Wednesday afternoon. The watch includes the following areas:
  •      Cheshire County in southwest New Hampshire
  •      Western and central Massachusetts
  •      Northern Connecticut
  •      Northwest Rhode Island
  • Bands of heavy rainfall with some embedded thunderstorms may cause localized urban/poor drainage flash flooding as well as a risk of flash flooding along a few small streams.
  • In coastal areas, any urban flooding may be exacerbated during high tide, which may inhibit drainage.  High tides in association with the “super moon” will be astronomically high during Wednesday.
  • Widespread river flooding is not expected.  Main stem river flows are quite low going into this event.
  • Potential  widespread 1 to 3 inches of rainfall across southern New England Tuesday night into Wednesday with pockets of 3 to 5 inches possible.

        Severe Weather:

  • Localized strong gusty winds are possible especially during the daylight hours Wednesday.
  • A brief tornado is also possible. This is a low probability event, but the expected weather pattern on Wednesday is a type that could produce a short track tornado.  Timing on any such occurrence during the day remains uncertain, with low confidence at this time of any one area more at risk than another. 

         Coastal Flooding:

  • The combination of high spring tides and fairly significant onshore winds may result in pockets of minor coastal flooding around the times of high tide on Wednesday.
  • Highest risk for any coastal flooding along the south coast will be around the time of the Wednesday mid morning high tide. 

             Highest risk for any coastal flooding along the east coast will be around the time of the Wednesday afternoon high tide…….

           ……”National Weather Service  Taunton, Mass.


Bertha Expected To Weaken Tuesday. Still A Hurricane As Of 11pm

August 4th, 2014 at 10:54 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from Chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca…..

As o f1pm , Bertha is barely hanging on to hurricane status, and is expected to weaken on Tuesday. Forecast has not changes with the center passing well south and east of New England Tuesday Night into Wednesday morning. Rain and wind will  not impact US mainland, howevedr increasing surf and rip currents likely later Tuesdaty Night into Wednesday

LOCATION…31.3N 73.1W
ABOUT 490 MI…790 KM W OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 20 MPH…31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1001 MB…29.56 INCHES

AT 1100 PM..THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH…LONGITUDE 73.1 WEST. BERTHA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH…31 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH INCREASING FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK…BERTHA WILL
PASS ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE U.S. EAST COAST AND BERMUDA ON
TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH…120 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS…OVER A SMALL AREA NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.  GRADUAL
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES…35 KM…FROM
THE CENTER.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125
MILES…205 KM…PRIMARILY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

Latest Satellite Image Shows Poor Structure To The Storm

bertha satellite

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Latest Storm Position As Of 11pm Monday

berth11pm now

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Latest Forecast Track Keeps Tropical Storm Force Winds Well Offshore Of New England

berta trck 11pm