Tony Petrarca

Sunday Weather Concerns….

July 17th, 2014 at 11:06 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony R Petrarca…

Still some uncertainty with Sunday’s Forecast. We continue to see indications of an offshore storm passing south of our area.  Our forecast so far has been for dry weather but with extra clouds. Some new model data has been trending the rain closer to us. We will wait for more data  overnight, but should this trend continue, we will need to lean more towards a wetter Sunday….stay tuned for updates 


Latest Radar Update…Heaviest Rain Moving Out.

July 16th, 2014 at 6:42 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca…

Latest radar continues to show heaviest rain and thunder offshore and moving away. Flash flood watch is canceled in Rhode Island….it will expire in southeast Massachusetts at 8pm…Despite teh heaviest rain moving away..there is still the chance of a few showers this evening….major improvements start Thursday



Flood Watch Canceled For Rhode Island, Continues For S.E. Massachusetts

July 16th, 2014 at 3:45 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

 Good Afternoon From Chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca..

Based on latest radar trends, flood watch has been canceled for Rhode Island…continues for Southeast Mass for few more hours



2PM Radar Update…

July 16th, 2014 at 2:00 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Afternoon from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca..

Still tracking rain offshore that continues to move into our area…but the heaviest of rain is still aimed towards southeastern Massachusetts from roughly Newport to New Bedford where flooding was occuring earlier. Still looks like the bulk of  the rain will move away by this evening as drier, less humid air arrives Tonight.  Still the chance of brief flash flooding, but “isolated “…..not all areas will see street flooding. Stay tuned to Eyewitness News startingf at 5pm….we will show you some of Today’s minor to moderate flooding along with lightning damage which knocked down some large trees……Tony Petrarca

rd w2pm

Evening Update. Radar Shows Storms Close To Arriving

July 15th, 2014 at 9:38 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening  From Chief Meteorologist Tony R Petrarca….

 Latest radar as of 935 pm shows areal coverage of heavy rain and thunder expanding across  Long Island and just offshore. This heavier rain and thunder will move in after 11pm and continue thru the overnight and into Wednesday. Some localized flash flooding of streets is expected at times Tonight thru the Wednesday morning commute…my updated forecast Tonight on channel 12 Eyewitness Newsat 11pm



Highest Risk For Severe Storms “Western” New England

July 15th, 2014 at 2:44 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Afternoon From Chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca..

As of 2:30pm, most of our area as been void of any strong to severe thunderstorms.  The highest risk still looks like central and western Massachusetts and Connecticut.  However a strong thunderstorm(s) cant be ruled out for rest of our area this evening  thru Wednesday, so stay tuned to future forecasts, tweets and blogs. Flash Flood Watch remains in effect in anticipation of heavier downpours tonight into Wednesday .

Tony Petrarca

threat 5 


Thunderstorms Likely…”Some” Could Be Strong To Severe.

July 14th, 2014 at 7:08 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca..

The weather patern next 48 hours will favor heavy showers and thunderstorms  “at times” . Some storm will be strong to severe Tonight into Tuesday. The best chance for storms reaching severe limits on Tuesday will be in western Massachusetts and western Connecticutt.  Map below shows the Tuesday risk area in yellow. Even though it does not include Rhode Island at this time, it is close enough that it bears watching.  Thunderstorms  in the yellow risk area have a slight chance of producing an isolated Tornado…again does not include our viewing area..BUT …it should be  monitored.  A few strong thunderstorms later this evening, with another chance by  “late” Tuesday afternoon and evening.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS:  Now thru Wednesday Afternoon: 2 to 4 inches

WINDS:  Strong Gusts In Any Severe Thunderstorms.

FLOODING:  Potential For “Localized” Poor Drainage Street Flooding
















July 14th, 2014 at 3:51 pm by under General Talk, On the Main Site, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Afternoon from chief meteorologist Tony R Petrarca












Active Weather Pattern This Week With Strong Thunderstorms

July 13th, 2014 at 7:15 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening From Chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca..

A number of weather parameters will come together over the next 2-3 days to produce showers and thunderstorms. Some of these have the potential to be strong to severe. The combination of high humidity, a slow moving cold front and unusually strong winds in the upper levels (30, 000 feeet, jet stream level) of the atmosphere will come into play to produce the stormy weather “at times“. There are still timing and location uncertainties for each day…but confidence is high that each day, Monday thru Wednesday, there will be the risk of storms… Meanwhile, for this evening, strong thunderstorms just south of the Mass Pike, are expected to weaken as they approach after 1opm. Stay tuned to further forecasts.



Storm Potential Early Next Week….

July 11th, 2014 at 11:51 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist  Tony Petrarca

While it is still several days down the road, our computer guidance data continues to indicate the “potential”  for severe thunderstorms from Update New York into New England next Tuesday afternoon and evening. However, many “atmosheric parameters” need to come together for this to happen…bottom line, stay tuned.  This is still 3-4 days out which means it is to early to talk specifics….but our weather team just wanted to give you an early head up on this “potential”  Meanwhile this weekend looks beautiful so enjoy. Pete Mangione will have updates this weekend and I will be back on air Sunday Night with more information.





















Unsettled Weather Early Next Week…

July 10th, 2014 at 4:13 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Afternoon from chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca

A significant shift south of the storm track (jet stream) will bring much cooler weather to the eastern half of the county, especially the Midwest. However, here in in New England, the medium range outlook (6-10days) will feature seasonably warm air, but no major heat.

The major shift in the jet stream for early next week (Monday Tuesday) will bring a higher risk of showers and thunderstorms for our area. The map below represents temperature anomolies. The darkest blue color  depicts where cooler air will be. Meanwhile hot dry air will build in the west.

Rainstorm Moves Out…Hints Of Spring Returns.

March 31st, 2014 at 7:00 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca….

After 3 to 6 inches of soaking rains the last 3 days,  this storm will be moving out Tonight. Rivers and streams continue to be swollen with minor flooding. The only river with moderate flooding this evening is the Pawcatuck river in Westerly. Water levels will drop slowly next 24 hours. Drier air Tonight with much improved weather Tuesday.

A look back at the flooding this weekend….the “physical state” of the ground played some part in the flooding. The “sub-soil” is still semi-frozen (hard packed ground). The soil is not soft and porous like it is in late Spring and Summer. Bottom line, the soil has a difficult time absorbing the rain….net results are standing water and more runoff. Unfortunately some baseball fields are still soggy. However, drier air next several days will help out….next chance of rain arrives Friday Night into Saturday morning…..Tony Petrarca

flooded field


Storm Will Bring Rain For Most Of Weekend….

March 28th, 2014 at 7:02 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony R Petrarca…

Most of weekend looks wet, however it will stay dry most of Saturday morning. A developing storm this evening  over Texas will tap into some moisture from the Gulf of Mexico. That storm will track towards our area Saturday evening and into Sunday and Monday.  Storm will be off the Mid Atlantic coast Saturday Night bringing heavier rain to Southern New England . Our RPM computer model (below) is hinting at 2 to 3″ of rain with isolated  4 inch amounts possible.

Storm Position Saturday Night












Rain Amounts From RPM Model….Rain Totals By Sunday 6PM

rpm rain amountys

Snow And Wind Late Tonight, Wednesday Morning…

March 25th, 2014 at 6:44 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Eevning from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca…here is the latest  developing Nor’easter offshore…

>It still  looks like most of our area (except Cape and Islands) will miss the brunt of this storm.

> Still some snow and strong wind however after midnight thru Wednesday morning

> Stong winds, gusting 40-50 mph for Rhode Island….50-70 mph for Cape and Island

> Morning commute will be slow

> Drier weather moves in by Wednesday Afternoon

Updated Accumulation Forecast

new snow map











Latest Wind Advisories and Warnings














Winter Storm Tue. Night Into Wednesday Morning

March 24th, 2014 at 7:05 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening From chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca….

Here is the latest thinking….of all the Winter storms this season, we are most cautious with this next one….why?

The storm is expected to be very intense with the the worst of the snow and damaging wind confined to Cape Cod and Islands and just offshore. However a slight shift in storm track closer to coast would bring more of a significant impact from New Bedford to Providence….bottom line…stay tuned. Below is our snowfall forecast by Wednesday Noon. Notice the 6 to 10 inch forecast for the Cape is only 50 to 70 miles away from Rhode Island.  Any shifts in the storm track further west will make a big difference.

Tony Petrarca… updates on Fox Providence at 10pm and Channel 12 Eyewitness News at 11pm
















“Flash Freeze” Overnight

March 12th, 2014 at 6:54 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Eveving from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca…

Rapid and significant weather changes ahead next 6 to 18 hours.  Intensifying storm over cental  Pennsylvania  will move thru this evening and overnight. The storm is moving along a very sharp boundry between  mild and cold air. Take note of the temperatures as of 6pm across the northeast. Initially we are on the mild side of this storm with plain rain this evening. As the storm moves away, strong northwest winds late Tonight into Thursday will drag down much colder air over Upstate New York and northern New England. Very rapid temperature drops later Tonight will create a “flash freeze”. Wet surfaces like roads will have a glaze of ice (car wind shields too,car locks).  Also rain will change to snow showers. Large amounts of snow unlikely, however, a coating to 1 inch of snow will fall on top of the layer of black ice. The net result will be very slippery  travel on untreated surfaces by early Thursday morning……Tony Petrarca

Large Temperature Contrast This Evening












 a1Mild With Plain Rain First Part Of Tonight










Rapid Temperature Drop Midnight Thru Dawn Thursday



Spring Weather? Not Yet.

March 3rd, 2014 at 11:23 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

From chief meteorologist Tony R Petrarca..

As of this writing (11:05pm) temperatures are already in the single digits and still falling.  A very cold day ahead for Tuesday. Single digits early morning, only upper 20s by afternoon. Some light snow showers on Wednesday, but its not from a direct storm impact, but rather a shift in wind direction…

Cold east- northeast winds on Wednesday will pick up some Atlantic moisture . The net result  will be light “ocean effect” snow showers. Best chance across southeastern Massachusetts…but parts of Rhode Island will see snow showers too. Amounts are will be very minimal, with a coasting to half inch in spots.  Low clouds will keep temperatures in the 30s.

oceaneffect snow
















Potholes….Weather Is A Big Factor, And The Physics Of Water

February 24th, 2014 at 10:08 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

From Chief Meteorologist Tony R Petrarca:

Potholes occur when snow and ice melt as part of New England’s  seasonal freeze-thaw cycles…Thaws during the afternoons and freeze late at night.

1. The resulting water then seeps beneath the pavement through cracks caused by the wear and tear of traffic.

2. As the temperatures cool to freezing at night, the water becomes ice and expands below the pavement, forcing the pavement to rise and buckle.

3. As the weight of traffic continues to pound on this raised section – and the temperatures once again rise above freezing – a shallow divot (air pocket or space) occurs under the surface and the pavement breaks, forming a pothole. A pothole is typically fixed by cleaning out the loose debris and filling it with hot and cold asphalt patch…














 Ofcourse the holes are difficult to see at night…especially if they are filled with water. What looks like a harmless puddle ends up being a  large hole.

Local Pothole Photos

Report A Pothole

 How To Get Paid Back For Damages

Winter Returns Next Week….

February 21st, 2014 at 7:23 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good evening from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca…

Temperatures anomolies for next  6 to 10 days not very promising for milder weather….despite nice temperatures this weekend, a bitter shot of cold air will pour out of Canada next week. The core of that chill arrives here Thursday and Friday..meanwhile the potential for some light snow Sunday Night, and perhaps a more important snow for mid week Wednesday….stay tuned. Meanwhile this evening’s thunderstorms have moved out…watch for areas of fog….some black ice possible much later Tonight into dawn Saturday, but milder by Saturday afternoon….Tony Petrarca










Minor Street Flooding, Some Black Ice Overnight…

February 19th, 2014 at 6:55 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good evening from chief meteorologist Tony R Petrarca….

Rain from this afternoon and evening will produce minor localized street flooding in some neighborhood streets this evening. Combination of rain, snowmelt and clogged storm drains will create standing water. Also watching the temperatures. A slow drop Tonight, falling below freezing, first early this evening in far northern suburbs, and then lastly along the shore. Untreated wet pavement, puddles and slush will re-freeze later Tonight thru dawn Thursday. However a rapid warm up is likely Thursday, with afternoon highs in mid 40s….

Tony Petrarca












yellow light 2









Storm Moves Out. Watching For “Re-Freeze” Tonight

February 18th, 2014 at 6:47 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony R Petrarca….

Today’s storm continues to move away with drier air working in. The concern now is falling temperatures. Wet surfaces, slush and puddles will freeze Tonight. Untreated wet pavement/roads will turn to black ice.  Allow extra travel time and some caution tonight thru dawn Wednesday. Some icy conditions early Wednesday morning, however temperatures by afternoon will recover to at least 40 degrees

tonight timeline












How much snow fell??….state wide amounts in most locations ranged from 2 inches on the low end,  to 5 inches on the higher side. We did have two reports of 6 inches in Burrillville and Pawtucket. The higher amounts were in our northern suburbs

what fell









Burrillville..Pawtucket: 6″…..Coventry: 5.5″…..Cranston 5″……E. Providence:  5.5″

Attleboro: 5″…..Federal Hill Providence: 4″….Portsmouth: 3″

Minor Snow Accumulations Tuesday…

February 17th, 2014 at 11:55 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

From Chief Meteorologist Tony R Petrarca….

Updated snow amounts for Tuesday…..

amoounts new 12











SNOW AMOUNTS BY 6PM TUESDAY….. Minor accumulations on Tuesday….snow starts just after 10am and will be heavy at times from noon to 4pm. Some sleet and rain mixing in south of Providence….about  1 inch of slush along the south shore…..2-3 inches inland, with amounts up to 4 inches confined to the higher elevations of northwest Rhode Island…..snow quits by early evening. Since the storm is a quick mover….high snow amounts not expected, BUT, certainly enough snow to impact afternoon and early evening travel

Tony Petrarca

Tuesday Snow Update….

February 17th, 2014 at 7:04 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening From Chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca…

Despite more snow Tuesday….a major storm and excessive snowfall is unlikely. Amounts will range from “minor” in southern suburbs and coast, to borderline “moderate” amounts in our northern areas. Early morning commute looks dry as the snow does not move in until after 10am…..early evening commute will be slow as the snow and sleet extends thru 5-6pm.  The storm is a quick mover and should be completely gone by 8pm. Most of the precipitation will be in the form of wet snow. I do expect coastal areas to mix with some sleet and rain for a time and as a result, snow amounts there at a minimum…an inch of slush right along the shore from Westerly to Newport and New Bedford. Snow will come down briefly heavy from 12pm to 4pm away from the coast. Visibility will be reduced and untreated roads will not take long to get some slushy accumulations on them. Allow for extra travel time Tuesday afternoon and early evening…..another blog update later this evening

Tony Petrarca

newww amounnts









Snow Amounts By 7PM Tuesday….


tuesday time line






Late Night Update: Nor’easter Saturday Night.

February 15th, 2014 at 12:33 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good morning (12:25am Saturday) From Chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca:

New data coming in still points to a rapidly intensifying coastal storm  (Nor’easter) Saturday Night. Despite a brief rain snow mix at start, this storm should be all snow for our area. Unlike the last storm where highest snow totals were found the further north and west ….highest snow amounts this time around will be south east Massachusetts. However, even in Rhode Island a moderate snowfall is likely along with powerful wind gusts at the coast (45-60 mph)

1. Snow starts around 2PM

2. Heaviest snow from 5pm to 11pm Saturday (rates of 1 inch per hour, especially Southeast Mass.)

3. Snow ends around 1 am Sunday…bit later in Massachusetts

4. Heaviest snow Southeast Mass.

5. Powerful Northeast winds 20-30 mph…gusting 45-60 mph. Isolated power outages possible

6 Should storm track be further offshore, amounts will end up lower….if storm tracks closer to coast, the  8-12 inch area would move     closer to Providence metro area…..bottom line…stay tuned

new amounts











Snow amounts by late Saturday Night……

new time line



Winter Storm Warning Saturday Evening, Night.

February 14th, 2014 at 7:17 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony R Petrarca…..

Storm system across the Ohio River Valley will emerge off the Mid-Atlantic coast and intensify rapidly just to the south of  our area Saturday Night. The net result are increasing winds and snow.

Here’s what we know based on new data coming into the Pinpoint Weather Center:

. Weather starts dry Saturday morning

.  Snow Rain mix arrives mid to late afternoon, changing to all snow just after dark.

Heaviest snow from 6PM to around 1AM Sunday (worst of storm )

.  Storm will strengthen rapidly once offshore, so winds will increase to 40-50 mph in gusts at coast

. Heaviest bands of snow will set up across southeast Massachusetts. Snow amounts lessen the further west.

. Snowfall rates for a time will reach 1 inch per hour.

 . Storm is “progressive” it will not slow down or stall. Snow will end just after midnight.

“WILD CARD” to watch for.

  Should the storm intensify closer to the coast, then snow amounts in Rhode Island would need to be raised….at the same time, a storm track that is further offshore means much less snow.  The map below is the curent thinking on snow amounts. New data comes into the weather center around 9pm. Check back with me on FOX Providence at 10PM and on channel 12 Eyewitness News at 11pm to see if the snow accumulation forecast needs to be “tweeked”






 Tracking moisture across Ohio Valley that will initiate offshore storm










Snow Amounts By Late Saturday Night

time storm







Storm Impacts For Tonight Thru Dawn…

February 13th, 2014 at 7:48 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca…

Tonight’s nor’easter is centered just offshore and continues to intensify.  Winds winds will gust 40-50 mph along the shore at times. Even seeing some lightning strikes south of  Long Island, an indication of a very dynamic storm system. Additional rain Tonight will produce some localized street flooding

Click here to see a town by town list of how much snow fell Today






Latest Position Of  Nor’ Easter This Evening (closed circle south of Long Island Is Storm Center


After snowfall amounts of 2 to as much as 10 inches in northwest Rhode Island….most of this early evening will feature mist drizzle and fog.  A band of heavier rain showers offshore will move in  after 10pm.  There is an area of snow on the back side of the storm across Upstate New York.  Some of that  will pass thru our area very late Tonight, mostly in our northern sububs (Providence points north). An additionl coating to 1 inch of snow possible well after midnight.

Temperatures will fall just below 32 degrees after midnight, towards dawn.  Standing water and slush will freeze by dawn.  Weather early Friday morning will be windy and dry, however some untreated roads will have problems with ice.


red light







Overnight Storm Update….

February 13th, 2014 at 12:35 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Morning  (12:48am) from chief  meteorologist Tony Petrarca

A quick update….doesnt look like we need to change much in our forecast thinking….everything coming together for heavy snow changing to heavy rain and strong wind.

 Snow moves in around 4 to 5am. The snow will become much heavier during the morning commute with snowfall rates of up to 1 inch per hour  reducing visibilities and covering the roads quickly.  Below is a high resolution model called HRRR. The flecks of yellow color indicate hourly snow amounts. This map shows 1 inch per hour snows during the 9am hour. Its still looks like the bulk of our snow accumulation  will occur during the morning hours before a change to rain by afternoon. Since the coast will see the change to rain much quicker than northwest Rhode Island, the coast and southern suburbs get less snow 1-3″……with up to 5-8 inches confined to far northwest RI….Providence Metro around 3-6″. How fast…(or slow) the change to rain occurs will dictate the final snow amounts. Once the rain moves in by afternoon, ice clogged storm  drains may result in some street flooding. I just checked latest wind date forecast…still looks like gusts to 40 mph inland Thursday, up to 55 mph near the shore. Will need to monitor possibility of isolated outages by Thursday afternoon and evening……….Chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca




Quick Thursday Storm Update…

February 12th, 2014 at 12:32 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

  Good morning from chief meteorologist Tony R Petrarca…

  Some minor adustments to snowfall forecast map below…

  Whats On The Agenda?

 . Wet snow starts after 4am Thursday, becomes very heavy for later part of commute.

 . Snowfall rates of 1-2 inches per hour possible from 7am to 10am Thursday (difficult travel period)

 .  A change to sleet  then rain by noon Thursday, especially south and east of Providence. Rain heavy at times

 . Rain showers early Thursday Night, switching back to snow after midnight Thursday.

.  Winds increasing Thursday afternoon and evening….gusts to 50mph at coast

.  Two periods of accumulating snow. 1st one Thursday morning, the 2nd chance late Thu. Night.

. Back to dry windy weather Friday

new accums 3

Snows Amounts By Thursday

wind gusts 2







Wind Gust Potential In MPH By Late Thursday Afternoon



Thursday Storm Update…..Snow, Wind (Some Rain Too)

February 11th, 2014 at 7:12 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good evening from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca….

Very cold dry weather Tonight will extend into Wednesday Night.  Confidence is high that a strong coastal storm  (Nor’easter) will impact our area on Thursday with heavy precipitation and strong winds.  The complicated part of the forrecast is “Precipitation Type” and how far inland  a rain snow line will move. Hard to believe as cold as it is now, some areas will have their snow Thursday change to sleet and rain for a time, then changing back to snow Thursday Night.  We expect the storm to draw in some milder air off the ocean…this milder air may penetrate all the way into the Providence Metro area.  Heavy snow early Thursday morning  switches to sleet and rain points south and east of Providence, then going back to snow Thursday Night.  The set up favors  higher snow  in northern suburbs…less the further south and east…the early call is for a few inches along the shore and up to 3-6″ inland including the Providence metro area. Any amounts greater than 6 inches will be reserved for far northwest Rhode Island and extending back into Worcester County.









Watch For Re-Freeze Tonight…

February 5th, 2014 at 7:08 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening From chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca…

Keeping an eye on temperatures Tonight as it drops well below freezing….

Slushy areas, puddles and wet surfaces will freeze up Tonight. Untreated surfaces like side roads, walk, driveways, parking lots will turn to solid ice. Meanwhile some light snow showers this evening may coat the ground in spots adding to more slippery potential.

new clocks


 What about more snow this weekend???….the map below (Courtesy of WeatherBell) shows an offshore storm clipping our area with more snow Sunday Night…whether or not this will be a “big player” or a niusance, remains to be seen. Still bears close watching.