General Talk

Tropical Depression #2 Has Formed

July 21st, 2014 at 4:56 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

It’s not too much of a surprise…Tropical Depression #2 has formed in the Deep Tropics.

TD2

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The system has become better organized with thunderstorms organizing around the center of circulation.  TD #2 is expected to continue to move west-northwestward with minimal development.  The National Hurricane Center said that it will be moving over an area of unfavorable water temperatures in the next 2 days.  Also, drier air near the Caribbean Sea will also hinder its development.  Still, it’s a system to watch closely in the coming days.

 

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Bertha in the Making?

July 21st, 2014 at 2:27 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

In the central Atlantic Ocean, there is an area of low pressure which could soon become the next tropical storm.  If sustained winds strengthen to at least 39mph, it would be named Bertha.  The National Hurricane Center in Miami said there is a 70% chance that this area becomes a tropical depression. Conditions are favorable for strengthening in the next couple of days.

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It’s about 1250miles east of the Caribbean.  It’s days away from affecting any land, but it is certainly something to watch as it continues to move westward.

The visible satellite image shows a well defined circulation, and in my opinion, it is probably already a tropical depression and close to a tropical storm.  There are no plans for Hurricane Hunter aircraft to investigate this area (it’s still pretty far away).   Nonetheless, the National Hurricane Center is advising people in the eastern Caribbean to monitor the situation closely.

vis0-lalo

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Watch Newsmakers: Ferri, McKee and Mollis debate for LG

July 20th, 2014 at 5:00 am by under General Talk


A Mostly Dry Weekend

July 19th, 2014 at 8:53 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Despite lots of clouds over Southern New England this weekend, we should stay mostly dry.  High pressure passing to our north and east today will keep us dry through the daylight hours.

 Fcst_Map_650x366

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Flood Watch Canceled For Rhode Island, Continues For S.E. Massachusetts

July 16th, 2014 at 3:45 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

 Good Afternoon From Chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca..

Based on latest radar trends, flood watch has been canceled for Rhode Island…continues for Southeast Mass for few more hours

 

canxcell


2PM Radar Update…

July 16th, 2014 at 2:00 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Afternoon from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca..

Still tracking rain offshore that continues to move into our area…but the heaviest of rain is still aimed towards southeastern Massachusetts from roughly Newport to New Bedford where flooding was occuring earlier. Still looks like the bulk of  the rain will move away by this evening as drier, less humid air arrives Tonight.  Still the chance of brief flash flooding, but “isolated “…..not all areas will see street flooding. Stay tuned to Eyewitness News startingf at 5pm….we will show you some of Today’s minor to moderate flooding along with lightning damage which knocked down some large trees……Tony Petrarca

rd w2pm


11am Weather Update

July 16th, 2014 at 11:06 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

As this slow-moving weather system continues to move east, the heaviest of the rain and thus the warnings continue to shift east.

As of 11am, the heaviest of the rain extends from just east of Block Island to New Bedford…heading northeastward.

Daily-Graphic-3_650x366

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Flash Flood Warning in Effect Until 10:30am.

July 16th, 2014 at 7:59 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Flash Flood warning has been issued for parts of RI and SE MA for much of RI and into parts of Bristol County in MA.  A Flash flood warning means that flash flooding is occuring or imminent.  This line of strong thunderstorms has brought torrential rainfall with rates of 2-3″/hr.  Street and poor drainage flooding is likely along with some smaller stream flooding.  temp 1


Today’s the Day

July 16th, 2014 at 7:10 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Today’s the day that RI and southeastern MA will have the highest risk of showers and thunderstorms due to a slow-moving cold front.  It’s a front that’s been sparking nasty storms across New England since Sunday evening and today it will FINALLY move through southeastern New England and then eventually off-shore.  We’ve been able to dodge most of the storms over the last few days, but today I think our luck runs out.  Since the front is approaching RI and southeastern MA (and eventually moving over us), we have a high chance of seeing rounds of showers and thunderstorms through the day.  In fact, we’ve already been dealing with downpours for the morning commute.

The main concern today continues to be the potential for FLASH FLOODING.  The Flash Flood watch is in effect until 2pm.  Tropical downpours will be off and on through the day with rainfall rates of up to 1-2″ per hour possible.  That sort of deluge can cause typically prone spots to quickly flood, making travel difficult.  The threat of severe storms is a bit lower than the last few days, but we could certainly see some embedded stronger thunderstorms with frequent lightning and isolated damaging wind gusts.

 


Highest Risk For Severe Storms “Western” New England

July 15th, 2014 at 2:44 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Afternoon From Chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca..

As of 2:30pm, most of our area as been void of any strong to severe thunderstorms.  The highest risk still looks like central and western Massachusetts and Connecticut.  However a strong thunderstorm(s) cant be ruled out for rest of our area this evening  thru Wednesday, so stay tuned to future forecasts, tweets and blogs. Flash Flood Watch remains in effect in anticipation of heavier downpours tonight into Wednesday .

Tony Petrarca

threat 5 

To


The Beat Goes On…

July 15th, 2014 at 8:59 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The same steamy air mass and slow moving cold front that brought some showers and thunderstorms to New England on Monday is still affecting our weather today.  And the risk for severe storms continues.  The storm prediction center is continuing to highlight western New England as the area most at risk of seeing storms with damaging winds and heavy rain develop.  The high-resolution RPM model is showing that area to be one to watch by early-mid afternoon.

temp1

RPM Model for 2pm Tuesday

There is even a slight chance of an isolated tornado spinning up in one of these thunderstorms today.  In southeastern New England, the risk of severe weather will be lower, but that doesn’t mean we can’t see some nasty storms later today.  Any storms that develop in western New England will need to be carefully monitored as they move east towards the RI border during the afternoon and evening.

Our area will see more widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms late tonight and Wednesday as the cold front finally moves through southeastern New England.  We’re at risk of torrential downpours and gusty winds during Wednesday morning’s commute with localized street and poor drainage flooding potentially leading to a slow commute.   temp 2

The rain will taper off from west to east through the late afternoon and evening, with drier weather finally returning by Thursday.


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FLASH FLOOD WATCH GOES INTO EFFECT AT 8PM TONIGHT

July 14th, 2014 at 3:51 pm by under General Talk, On the Main Site, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Afternoon from chief meteorologist Tony R Petrarca

FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON…

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND.

* FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON

* MULTIPLE WAVES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS
  SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE FIRST WILL
  OCCUR THIS EVENING WITH ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY TUESDAY INTO
  WEDNESDAY. WHILE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AT
  ANYTIME…THE GREATEST RISK APPEARS TO BE LATE TUESDAY INTO
  WEDNESDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL SHOULD RANGE BETWEEN 2 AND 4
  INCHES…BUT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE.

* FLASH FLOODING IS THE PRIMARY CONCERN…BUT SOME SMALL STREAM
  FLOODING MAY OCCUR AS WELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

 

flolod

 


Severe Storms Possible Today

July 14th, 2014 at 5:27 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Our area has been placed under a “slight” risk for severe storms today by the Storm Prediction Center out of Norman, OK.

Severe T'Storm Outlook

Severe T’Storm Outlook

temp3

Wind Damage Potential

As the Pinpoint Weather Team has been stating over the last few days… our atmosphere will be primed for strong to severe storms to pop-up over the next few days.   As for today… humidity will build and some peeks of hazy sun should allow for the atmosphere to become unstable… as a piece of energy in the upper-levels lifts through southern New England it will act as the focus for storms to begin developing through the afternoon.  Torrential downpours and damaging winds are the biggest concerns with these storms.

temp2

Tornado Risk

The Storm Prediction Center has also placed areas just to our southwest under a slight (2%) risk of a tornado.

Locally, the National Weather Service office in Taunton has issued a “FLASH FLOOD WATCH” for Connecticut and Western MA. These areas are most at risk of seeing rounds of thunderstorms that could contain very heavy rainfall leading to localized flash flooding.  Some storms could dump up to 3″+ of rain over the next few days.

temp 1

The risk of flash flooding will likely spread east into RI/SE MA, especially later Tuesday into early Wednesday.

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Storm Potential Early Next Week….

July 11th, 2014 at 11:51 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist  Tony Petrarca

While it is still several days down the road, our computer guidance data continues to indicate the “potential”  for severe thunderstorms from Update New York into New England next Tuesday afternoon and evening. However, many “atmosheric parameters” need to come together for this to happen…bottom line, stay tuned.  This is still 3-4 days out which means it is to early to talk specifics….but our weather team just wanted to give you an early head up on this “potential”  Meanwhile this weekend looks beautiful so enjoy. Pete Mangione will have updates this weekend and I will be back on air Sunday Night with more information.

severe

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Microburst Confirmed in Boston Suburb Monday Evening

July 8th, 2014 at 12:43 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The National Weather Service storm survey team says it was a powerful microburst that caused the wind damage in the Boston suburb of Bedford around 5:45pm yesterday.  A severe thunderstorm hit the area during the evening rush hour, carving a path of damage across the center of Bedford that was 2.5 miles long, and a half mile wide, uprooting trees and power lines.  The storm survey team estimates winds were 90-100mph in the microburst, which leads to straight line wind damage.

Microburst Diagram

Microburst Diagram

The storm blew down and uprooted approximately 50-70 trees–most of them were healthy pine trees towering some 100ft high! Some of the trees landed on houses and caused significant damage.  Here are some pictures from storm spotters in Massachusetts yesterday.

Woburn, MA

Woburn, MA

Winchester, MA

Winchester, MA

Lunenberg, MA

Lunenberg, MA

Despite many images of what appeared to be a funnel cloud in the Medford and Malden areas around 6pm, there were no eyewitness reports of any tornadoes.

While the heat and humidity build this afternoon, an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm can’t be ruled out… though we don’t expect the activitiy to be as widespread as yesterday around Boston.  Here’s where the NOAA Storm Prediction Center is indicating the highest risk of severe storms will be–with damaging winds being the biggest threat.

 

temp 1

Severe Thunderstorm Potential

Probability of a Tornado

Probability of a Tornado

Probability of Wind Damage

Probability of Wind Damage

 

 


Arthur Just 8th July Cyclone on Record for New England

July 7th, 2014 at 12:55 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

History shows just how rare it is for New England to see impacts from a tropical system in July.  According to the Northeast River Forecast Center (NERFC), Arthur was just the 8th time since 1900.  temp 2

Arthur dumped more than 8″ of rain in parts of New Bedford and an average of 2-4″ across  RI.  In addition, tropical storm force winds were recorded on Cape Cod, Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket. temp 1

The NERFC says other notable July cyclones in our area were:

Bertha on July 13, 1996 and Brenda or July 30, 1960

 


Arthur’s Gone….But We’re Always Watching The Tropics

July 5th, 2014 at 8:14 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The remnants of Hurricane Arthur are now over New Brunswick in Canada.  Maine saw quite a bit of rain today from “Post Tropical Storm Arthur.

Arthur_IR_650x366

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So, one named storm down.  The next up is Bertha on this year’s list of names.

Hurricane_Names_650x366

In the Atlantic Basin, there’s really nothing anywhere that would form into a tropical system anytime soon.

Tropics_Wide_650x366

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Hurricane Arthur — 11pm Friday Update

July 5th, 2014 at 12:02 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

As of 11pm Friday evening, Arthur was still a hurricane; although barely.  It was looking pretty ragged in satellite pictures and winds are barely of hurricane strength.

 Arthur_Vis2_650x366

Arthur was about 75miles ESE of Chatham, MA around 11pm and was continuing its rapid pace across the North Atlantic toward the Canadian Maritimes.  It’s losing tropical characteristics; instead becoming an extratropical or non-tropical storm. 

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Hurricane Arthur 8pm Friday Update

July 4th, 2014 at 7:53 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

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As of 8pm, Hurricane Arthur remains a hurricane with winds of 80mph.  He’s really picking up steam and will pass to the southeast of Nantucket in the next several hours.  Winds are picking up on the Cape and Islands and we’ll likely see a period of gusty winds as well.

 

Arthur_Vis2_650x366

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Arthur 5pm Update

July 4th, 2014 at 5:17 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Arthur losing some intensity…now a 80mph hurricane.  Arthur will pass approximately 50 miles to the southeast of Nantucket early Saturday morning.

Arthur_Radar_650x366

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Flash Flood Emergency for New Beford Area

July 4th, 2014 at 4:44 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

A rare Flash Flood Emergency has been issued by the National Weather Service for the New Bedford area.  More than 5inches of rain has fallen since 1pm and a total of 8-10″ is expected before it’s done. 

If you live in a flood prone area, seek higher ground now.  Never cross a flooded roadway.  Travel is not recommended except for fleeing flood waters.

Storm_Radar2_650x366


Arthur Latest: 3-6″ of Rain Now Expected

July 4th, 2014 at 3:29 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Based on radar intensity and what has fallen already, we are now expecting between 3 and 6 inches of rain for our area.  Many areas have already picked up more than 2″ of rain, including New Bedford where there have been numerous reports of flooded roadways.  At one point there was more than 2600 NSTAR customers without power in that city.  Rain will continue to work its way northward through the evening and into early Saturday morning.

Storm_Radar2_650x366

Here’s what to expect the rest of today.

Daily-Graphic-1_650x366

Arthur continues to work its way northeastward and will make its closest approach to Southern New England early Saturday morning — passing about 50miles southeast of Nantucket.

Arthur_Forecast_650x366

 

Here are some links where you can find more information about our local weather and how you can better prepare for severe weather in our area.

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Midnight Update

July 4th, 2014 at 12:22 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

As of midnight, Arthur was over Cedar Island National Wildlife Refuge in North Carolina.  Winds of 100mph, moving northeast at 18mph.

Arthur_Radar_650x366

-Meteorologist T.J. Del Santo


National Weather Service Statement on Arthur

July 4th, 2014 at 12:04 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

HURRICANE ARTHUR LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1159 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS LIKELY ON CAPE COD AND NANTUCKET AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS…

.NEW INFORMATION…
UPDATED FORECAST INFORMATION DETAILS FOR THE OUTER RHODE ISLAND
COASTAL WATERS…AND THE MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS SOUTH AND
EAST OF NANTUCKET.

.AREAS AFFECTED…
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND
MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

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Arthur 11pm Update

July 3rd, 2014 at 11:56 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

As of 11pm Thursday, Arthur was near 34.6N 76.6W right over Cape Lookout, NC and 75 miles WSW of Cape Hatteras, NC.    It was moving northeast at 18mph…a significant increase in forward speed.   Winds remain at Category 2 strength…100mph.

Arthur_Radar_650x366

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Arthur Now a Category 2 Hurricane

July 3rd, 2014 at 9:22 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Hurricane hunter aircraft measured winds of 100mph around Arthur….it has now been upgraded to a Category 2 Storm.

On it’s current path, it should make landfall near Morehead City, NC.

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Hurricane Arthur 8pm Update

July 3rd, 2014 at 8:27 pm by under General Talk

At 8pm, Hurricane Arthur was near 33.8N 77.4W moving NNE at 15mph.  It’s begun that right hand turn and is picking up a little speed as it interacts with a weather system moving through the Northeast United States.  It has winds of 90mph, a Category 1 Hurricane.

Here’s the satellite/radar picture at 8:15pm Thursday evening.  It’s a very well developed storm with thunderstorms completely around the center of circulation. 

 Arthur_IR_650x366

 

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Arthur is still expected to pass to our southeast, but close enough to bring us periods of heavy rain on Friday and a heavy surf Friday through the weekend.

Arthur_Forecast_650x366

 -Meteorologist T.J. Del Santo


Arthur, 4th of July, and the Weekend

July 3rd, 2014 at 2:49 pm by under General Talk

This will be a very brief update.  The first afternoon data just came in from the National Hurricane Center.  Here are the stats:

2PM: Winds 90 mph (Category 1 Hurricane)
NNE 12 mph

The storm is just offshore from South Carolina.  The new path still takes it offshore of southern New England, but close enough to create dangerous rip currents and high surf into the weekend.  As for tropical storm force winds, that should stay well east of Rhode Island, but could happen on Nantucket and on portions of the out Cape.

A front that sweeps just ahead of Arthur (and grabs some of its moisture) will bring some heavy rain for the 4th of July, especially for the afternoon.  Localized street flooding will be the primary concern.

In the meantime, some occasional strong T-storms are possible this afternoon and evening.  However, much of the time will be rain-free.  More updates coming this evening. -Pete Mangione

 


Arthur Could be a Category 2 Hurricane as it Hits the Outer Banks

July 3rd, 2014 at 12:11 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

New information in from the National Hurricane Center shows that Hurricane Arthur continues to intensify.  As of 11am, sustained winds had reached 90mph with gusts up to 115mph.  Outer rain bands were working their way on shore in North Carolina and the storm is now forecast to reach Category 2 status as it hits the Outer Banks of North Carolina tonight.  temp 3Meanwhile… the storm is still expected to track 50-100miles off-shore, with heavy rain and rip currents the main impacts in southeastern New England.  Timing remains on track with the heaviest of the rain Friday afternoon and evening.

In the short term, hot, humid air and hazy sun are helping to fuel thunderstorms popping up along and ahead of a slow moving cold front.  The storm prediction center is highlighting parts of western and central New England as areas that could see more severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.  temp 1

Heavy rain, frequent lightning and damagin winds are the main concerns with these storms today.  If you are planning on outdoor activities today and tonight, keep an eye to the sky for changing weather conditions as our area could see a few isolated strong storms, too.  Most of the day should stay dry, though.

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Arthur Continues to Strengthen

July 3rd, 2014 at 11:26 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

New data in from NOAA and Hurricane Hunter Aircraft indicate that Hurricane Arthur has strengthened further this morning with sustained winds near 80mph and gusts to nearly 100mph.   temp 2

Additional strengthening is expected through the day as the storm moves northeast towards the Outer Banks of North Carolina.  Our computer models continue to indicate that Arthur stays well southeast of RI and Southeastern MA.  temp 3

As tropical moisture from Arthur interacts with a cold front sitting over southern New England we are looking at a rainy 4th of July–especially in the afternoon and evening.  Here’s the latest on what to expect for our area.  temp 1

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