Tony’s Pinpoint Weather Blog

The Beat Goes On…

July 15th, 2014 at 8:59 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The same steamy air mass and slow moving cold front that brought some showers and thunderstorms to New England on Monday is still affecting our weather today.  And the risk for severe storms continues.  The storm prediction center is continuing to highlight western New England as the area most at risk of seeing storms with damaging winds and heavy rain develop.  The high-resolution RPM model is showing that area to be one to watch by early-mid afternoon.

temp1

RPM Model for 2pm Tuesday

There is even a slight chance of an isolated tornado spinning up in one of these thunderstorms today.  In southeastern New England, the risk of severe weather will be lower, but that doesn’t mean we can’t see some nasty storms later today.  Any storms that develop in western New England will need to be carefully monitored as they move east towards the RI border during the afternoon and evening.

Our area will see more widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms late tonight and Wednesday as the cold front finally moves through southeastern New England.  We’re at risk of torrential downpours and gusty winds during Wednesday morning’s commute with localized street and poor drainage flooding potentially leading to a slow commute.   temp 2

The rain will taper off from west to east through the late afternoon and evening, with drier weather finally returning by Thursday.


Detailed 7 Day Discussion »
Current Conditions »
Radar »
Severe Weather »
School & Business Closings »
Signup for Alerts & Closings »

 


Thunderstorms Likely…”Some” Could Be Strong To Severe.

July 14th, 2014 at 7:08 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca..

The weather patern next 48 hours will favor heavy showers and thunderstorms  “at times” . Some storm will be strong to severe Tonight into Tuesday. The best chance for storms reaching severe limits on Tuesday will be in western Massachusetts and western Connecticutt.  Map below shows the Tuesday risk area in yellow. Even though it does not include Rhode Island at this time, it is close enough that it bears watching.  Thunderstorms  in the yellow risk area have a slight chance of producing an isolated Tornado…again does not include our viewing area..BUT …it should be  monitored.  A few strong thunderstorms later this evening, with another chance by  “late” Tuesday afternoon and evening.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS:  Now thru Wednesday Afternoon: 2 to 4 inches

WINDS:  Strong Gusts In Any Severe Thunderstorms.

FLOODING:  Potential For “Localized” Poor Drainage Street Flooding

severe2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TUESDAY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK


FLASH FLOOD WATCH GOES INTO EFFECT AT 8PM TONIGHT

July 14th, 2014 at 3:51 pm by under General Talk, On the Main Site, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Afternoon from chief meteorologist Tony R Petrarca

FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON…

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND.

* FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON

* MULTIPLE WAVES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS
  SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE FIRST WILL
  OCCUR THIS EVENING WITH ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY TUESDAY INTO
  WEDNESDAY. WHILE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AT
  ANYTIME…THE GREATEST RISK APPEARS TO BE LATE TUESDAY INTO
  WEDNESDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL SHOULD RANGE BETWEEN 2 AND 4
  INCHES…BUT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE.

* FLASH FLOODING IS THE PRIMARY CONCERN…BUT SOME SMALL STREAM
  FLOODING MAY OCCUR AS WELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

 

flolod

 


Severe Storms Possible Today

July 14th, 2014 at 5:27 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Our area has been placed under a “slight” risk for severe storms today by the Storm Prediction Center out of Norman, OK.

Severe T'Storm Outlook

Severe T’Storm Outlook

temp3

Wind Damage Potential

As the Pinpoint Weather Team has been stating over the last few days… our atmosphere will be primed for strong to severe storms to pop-up over the next few days.   As for today… humidity will build and some peeks of hazy sun should allow for the atmosphere to become unstable… as a piece of energy in the upper-levels lifts through southern New England it will act as the focus for storms to begin developing through the afternoon.  Torrential downpours and damaging winds are the biggest concerns with these storms.

temp2

Tornado Risk

The Storm Prediction Center has also placed areas just to our southwest under a slight (2%) risk of a tornado.

Locally, the National Weather Service office in Taunton has issued a “FLASH FLOOD WATCH” for Connecticut and Western MA. These areas are most at risk of seeing rounds of thunderstorms that could contain very heavy rainfall leading to localized flash flooding.  Some storms could dump up to 3″+ of rain over the next few days.

temp 1

The risk of flash flooding will likely spread east into RI/SE MA, especially later Tuesday into early Wednesday.

Detailed 7 Day Discussion »
Current Conditions »
Radar »
Severe Weather »
School & Business Closings »
Signup for Alerts & Closings »


Active Weather Pattern This Week With Strong Thunderstorms

July 13th, 2014 at 7:15 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening From Chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca..

A number of weather parameters will come together over the next 2-3 days to produce showers and thunderstorms. Some of these have the potential to be strong to severe. The combination of high humidity, a slow moving cold front and unusually strong winds in the upper levels (30, 000 feeet, jet stream level) of the atmosphere will come into play to produce the stormy weather “at times“. There are still timing and location uncertainties for each day…but confidence is high that each day, Monday thru Wednesday, there will be the risk of storms… Meanwhile, for this evening, strong thunderstorms just south of the Mass Pike, are expected to weaken as they approach after 1opm. Stay tuned to further forecasts.

 

stormsd


Periods of Heavy Rain, Strong T-Storms Monday into Wednesday

July 13th, 2014 at 8:13 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

New data coming in continues to support the threat of showers and strong thunderstorms Monday into Wednesday.  One change I am noticing is the tendency for the front to slow down; this translates to the showers lasting longer into Wednesday afternoon, rather than wrapping up in the morning.

MONDAY: Periods of showers and strong thunderstorms will move through.  This still does NOT look like a washout, but Tony will look at more data Sunday night to see if this changes.

*RISK OF LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING: MODERATE

*RISK OF DAMAGING WIND: LOW TO MODERATE (Highest for northern and western Rhode Island)

 

TUESDAY: Another humid day with the chance of showers and strong thunderstorms.  The showers and thunderstorms look like they will be more frequent than on Monday, especially by the afternoon.  The heaviest of the rain may fall Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning.

*RISK OF LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING: MODERATE TO HIGH

*RISK OF DAMAGING WIND: LOW TO MODERATE

 

WEDNESDAY: This axis of heaviest rainfall looks like it pulls through on Wednesday morning; therefore the Wednesday morning commute could be a rough one.  As mentioned above, the front responsible for the showers and T-storms looks like it will take its time moving through southern New England.  Therefore, some showers and thunderstorms are still possible through out the afternoon.

*RISK OF LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING: MODERATE TO HIGH

*RISK OF DAMAGING WIND: LOW TO MODERATE

blograin

 

The timing on all of this could change, so stay tuned for adjustments.  Tony will have another look at the data soon. Have a good Sunday! -Pete Mangione

 

 

 

 


Could be Wet and Wild for First Part of Work Week

July 12th, 2014 at 6:35 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

New information continues to come in regarding the showers and thunderstorms for the first part of the work week; this new information is very consistent with previou0s data… it keeps the timing from Monday until about Wednesday morning.

Monday: There will be periods of showers and thunderstorms; some of which could be quite strong bringing heavy downpours and damaging winds.  The difficult part of this forecast is determining whether Monday will be a washout or not.  For now, I will say no washout with a decent amount of dry time mixed in with the rain.  However, one of our computer models is more aggressive and stalls a boundary right over southern New England.  I would like to look at more data before making a final call about whether Monday is a “watch a movie” type of day.

TUESDAY: This looks like the best chance for a washout with periods of showers, thunderstorms, and heavy rain.  Just like Monday, a few of these storms will have the potential of damaging winds and flash flooding.

WEDNESDAY: Showers and thunderstorms are likely at least through the early morning, and then things should gradually improve during the afternoon.  It is THIS part of the forecast that is subject to the most change; if the front speeds up by a few hours, Wednesday afternoon could be a nice day.  If the front slows down by a few hours, Wednesday could end up a washout.

We will keep fine tuning the timing and details over the next few days. -Pete Mangione

 

 


Storm Potential Early Next Week….

July 11th, 2014 at 11:51 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist  Tony Petrarca

While it is still several days down the road, our computer guidance data continues to indicate the “potential”  for severe thunderstorms from Update New York into New England next Tuesday afternoon and evening. However, many “atmosheric parameters” need to come together for this to happen…bottom line, stay tuned.  This is still 3-4 days out which means it is to early to talk specifics….but our weather team just wanted to give you an early head up on this “potential”  Meanwhile this weekend looks beautiful so enjoy. Pete Mangione will have updates this weekend and I will be back on air Sunday Night with more information.

severe

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Unsettled Weather Early Next Week…

July 10th, 2014 at 4:13 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Afternoon from chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca

A significant shift south of the storm track (jet stream) will bring much cooler weather to the eastern half of the county, especially the Midwest. However, here in in New England, the medium range outlook (6-10days) will feature seasonably warm air, but no major heat.

The major shift in the jet stream for early next week (Monday Tuesday) will bring a higher risk of showers and thunderstorms for our area. The map below represents temperature anomolies. The darkest blue color  depicts where cooler air will be. Meanwhile hot dry air will build in the west.

 

 

 

610temp.new


Microburst Confirmed in Boston Suburb Monday Evening

July 8th, 2014 at 12:43 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The National Weather Service storm survey team says it was a powerful microburst that caused the wind damage in the Boston suburb of Bedford around 5:45pm yesterday.  A severe thunderstorm hit the area during the evening rush hour, carving a path of damage across the center of Bedford that was 2.5 miles long, and a half mile wide, uprooting trees and power lines.  The storm survey team estimates winds were 90-100mph in the microburst, which leads to straight line wind damage.

Microburst Diagram

Microburst Diagram

The storm blew down and uprooted approximately 50-70 trees–most of them were healthy pine trees towering some 100ft high! Some of the trees landed on houses and caused significant damage.  Here are some pictures from storm spotters in Massachusetts yesterday.

Woburn, MA

Woburn, MA

Winchester, MA

Winchester, MA

Lunenberg, MA

Lunenberg, MA

Despite many images of what appeared to be a funnel cloud in the Medford and Malden areas around 6pm, there were no eyewitness reports of any tornadoes.

While the heat and humidity build this afternoon, an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm can’t be ruled out… though we don’t expect the activitiy to be as widespread as yesterday around Boston.  Here’s where the NOAA Storm Prediction Center is indicating the highest risk of severe storms will be–with damaging winds being the biggest threat.

 

temp 1

Severe Thunderstorm Potential

Probability of a Tornado

Probability of a Tornado

Probability of Wind Damage

Probability of Wind Damage

 

 


Arthur Just 8th July Cyclone on Record for New England

July 7th, 2014 at 12:55 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

History shows just how rare it is for New England to see impacts from a tropical system in July.  According to the Northeast River Forecast Center (NERFC), Arthur was just the 8th time since 1900.  temp 2

Arthur dumped more than 8″ of rain in parts of New Bedford and an average of 2-4″ across  RI.  In addition, tropical storm force winds were recorded on Cape Cod, Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket. temp 1

The NERFC says other notable July cyclones in our area were:

Bertha on July 13, 1996 and Brenda or July 30, 1960

 


Arthur’s Gone….But We’re Always Watching The Tropics

July 5th, 2014 at 8:14 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The remnants of Hurricane Arthur are now over New Brunswick in Canada.  Maine saw quite a bit of rain today from “Post Tropical Storm Arthur.

Arthur_IR_650x366

Hurricane Tracker »
Storm Ready Resource Guide »
Severe Weather »
Ocean »

So, one named storm down.  The next up is Bertha on this year’s list of names.

Hurricane_Names_650x366

In the Atlantic Basin, there’s really nothing anywhere that would form into a tropical system anytime soon.

Tropics_Wide_650x366

 Detailed 7 Day Discussion »
Current Conditions »
Radar »
Severe Weather »
School & Business Closings »
Signup for Alerts & Closings »

-Meteorologist T.J. Del Santo


Friday rain caused a lot of problems, but it wasn’t all bad

July 5th, 2014 at 8:24 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

We never want to see a situation like we did in New Bedford with almost 8 inches of rain.  That is WAY too much rain at one time.   A lot of our viewing area was a little more fortunate, with rainfall generally between 2 and 4.5 inches.  (That’s still a lot in one day!)

So what is the silver lining in the Friday rain? It did bring some much needed rainfall to a lot of lawns and gardens, which really needed it.  The graphic below uses rainfall since June 1 at TF Green Airport.  Notice how we turned a deficit into a surplus! -Pete Mangione

Pete_Blog_Water


Hurricane Arthur — 11pm Friday Update

July 5th, 2014 at 12:02 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

As of 11pm Friday evening, Arthur was still a hurricane; although barely.  It was looking pretty ragged in satellite pictures and winds are barely of hurricane strength.

 Arthur_Vis2_650x366

Arthur was about 75miles ESE of Chatham, MA around 11pm and was continuing its rapid pace across the North Atlantic toward the Canadian Maritimes.  It’s losing tropical characteristics; instead becoming an extratropical or non-tropical storm. 

Hurricane Tracker »
Storm Ready Resource Guide »
Severe Weather »
Ocean »
(more…)


Hurricane Arthur 8pm Friday Update

July 4th, 2014 at 7:53 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Detailed 7 Day Discussion »
Current Conditions »
Radar »
Severe Weather »

As of 8pm, Hurricane Arthur remains a hurricane with winds of 80mph.  He’s really picking up steam and will pass to the southeast of Nantucket in the next several hours.  Winds are picking up on the Cape and Islands and we’ll likely see a period of gusty winds as well.

 

Arthur_Vis2_650x366

School & Business Closings »
Signup for Alerts & Closings »
Hurricane Tracker »
Storm Ready Resource Guide »
Severe Weather »
Ocean »

-Meteorologist T.J. Del Santo


Arthur 5pm Update

July 4th, 2014 at 5:17 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Arthur losing some intensity…now a 80mph hurricane.  Arthur will pass approximately 50 miles to the southeast of Nantucket early Saturday morning.

Arthur_Radar_650x366

Detailed 7 Day Discussion »
Current Conditions »
Radar »
Severe Weather »
School & Business Closings »
Signup for Alerts & Closings »

Hurricane Tracker »
Storm Ready Resource Guide »
Severe Weather »
Ocean »

Arthur_Forecast_650x366

-Meteorologist T.J. Del Santo


Flash Flood Emergency for New Beford Area

July 4th, 2014 at 4:44 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

A rare Flash Flood Emergency has been issued by the National Weather Service for the New Bedford area.  More than 5inches of rain has fallen since 1pm and a total of 8-10″ is expected before it’s done. 

If you live in a flood prone area, seek higher ground now.  Never cross a flooded roadway.  Travel is not recommended except for fleeing flood waters.

Storm_Radar2_650x366


Arthur Latest: 3-6″ of Rain Now Expected

July 4th, 2014 at 3:29 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Based on radar intensity and what has fallen already, we are now expecting between 3 and 6 inches of rain for our area.  Many areas have already picked up more than 2″ of rain, including New Bedford where there have been numerous reports of flooded roadways.  At one point there was more than 2600 NSTAR customers without power in that city.  Rain will continue to work its way northward through the evening and into early Saturday morning.

Storm_Radar2_650x366

Here’s what to expect the rest of today.

Daily-Graphic-1_650x366

Arthur continues to work its way northeastward and will make its closest approach to Southern New England early Saturday morning — passing about 50miles southeast of Nantucket.

Arthur_Forecast_650x366

 

Here are some links where you can find more information about our local weather and how you can better prepare for severe weather in our area.

Detailed 7 Day Discussion »
Current Conditions »
Radar »
Severe Weather »
School & Business Closings »
Signup for Alerts & Closings »

Hurricane Tracker »
Storm Ready Resource Guide »
Severe Weather »
Ocean »

-Meteorologist T.J. Del Santo


Flash Floods, Arthur, and the rest of the 4th

July 4th, 2014 at 1:29 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The impacts of Arthur really started to get going this afternoon….a Flash Flood Warning is in effect for Providence, Warwick, Cranston, and for portions of Kent, Washington, and Providence County.  Here was the scene on RADAR earlier.

radafdafdasfdas

Arthur is still a category 1 storm with winds of 90 mph.  You can see it has started to merge with the front moving over our area.

tropBlgo222222

Arthur will remain offshore and make his closest pass late tonight….he will give us some heavy rain before that happens.  Look for showers and downpours to continue until 9 or 10PM.   If he speeds up, we may be able to get them out of here a little sooner.  It may get windy tonight with gusts around 3o mph, so some isolated wind damage is possible.  But our main threat will be street flooding, please don’t drive through flooded roads.  More updates soon. -Pete Mangione

 

 


Arthur Weakens a Little, Flash Flood Watch Remains

July 4th, 2014 at 9:20 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Arthur has weakened a little (to a Category 1), his winds are down to 90 mph and he is moving northeast at 21 mph.  The storm is still expected to stay offshore during its closest pass tonight.

Blog_GoGoGog

 

While we will get high surf and rip currents here in Rhode Island and Bristol County Mass, the biggest impacts will come in the form of rain.  In fact, we have already seen some downpours and thunderstorms this morning.  Here is a snapshot from 9AM.

fdasfdasfdasfa

A Flash Flood Watch starts at noon and goes through tonight.  1-3 inches possible with higher isolated amounts. Some localized street flooding is possible.  Please turn around if you see any flooded roads…..most people are in their cars when they get in trouble during flash floods. More updates later this morning. -Pete Mangione

 

 


Primary Arthur Impacts on Land will be Rain

July 4th, 2014 at 7:34 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

New update from National Hurricane Center. Arthur still a Cat 2 hurricane with winds 100 mph.  It has picked up speed as expected and is now moving to the northeast at 23 mph.  While it will get gusty tonight, Arthur’s impacts will be primarily rain.  1 to 3 inches of rain is possible with some higher isolated amounts.  That is why a Flash Flood Watch goes into effect at noon and goes through tonight. More updates soon.  -Pete Mangione

Rain_Flash_Flood_Blog


Morning Update: Arthur Still Cat 2

July 4th, 2014 at 4:29 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

As of early this morning, Arthur is a Category 2 Hurricane with winds of 100 mph.   It is moving to the northeast at 22 mph.  After sweeping over the outer banks of North Carolina, Arthur will move back into the ocean.  As this happens, Arthur may increase in strength a little, but the overall trend will be to weaken by the time he makes his closest pass to southern New England.  That being said, he likely still be a Category 1 hurricane as he makes his closest pass tonight.

Impacts:

-Rain with some heavy downpours, especially from the afternoon into the evening.  The morning may end up with a decent amount of rain-free time.  Localized street flooding is possible in isolated areas by afternoon and evening.

-High surf and dangerous rip currents, especially out into Cape Cod.  The rip currents may last into Saturday and Sunday as well.

-Gusty winds tonight (25-35 mph).  Some isolated wind damage is possible, but keep in mind that these wind speeds are not that uncommon here in southern New England.

 


Midnight Update

July 4th, 2014 at 12:22 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

As of midnight, Arthur was over Cedar Island National Wildlife Refuge in North Carolina.  Winds of 100mph, moving northeast at 18mph.

Arthur_Radar_650x366

-Meteorologist T.J. Del Santo


National Weather Service Statement on Arthur

July 4th, 2014 at 12:04 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

HURRICANE ARTHUR LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1159 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS LIKELY ON CAPE COD AND NANTUCKET AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS…

.NEW INFORMATION…
UPDATED FORECAST INFORMATION DETAILS FOR THE OUTER RHODE ISLAND
COASTAL WATERS…AND THE MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS SOUTH AND
EAST OF NANTUCKET.

.AREAS AFFECTED…
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND
MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

(more…)


Arthur 11pm Update

July 3rd, 2014 at 11:56 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

As of 11pm Thursday, Arthur was near 34.6N 76.6W right over Cape Lookout, NC and 75 miles WSW of Cape Hatteras, NC.    It was moving northeast at 18mph…a significant increase in forward speed.   Winds remain at Category 2 strength…100mph.

Arthur_Radar_650x366

Detailed 7 Day Discussion »
Current Conditions »
Radar »
Severe Weather »
School & Business Closings »
Signup for Alerts & Closings »

(more…)


Arthur Now a Category 2 Hurricane

July 3rd, 2014 at 9:22 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Hurricane hunter aircraft measured winds of 100mph around Arthur….it has now been upgraded to a Category 2 Storm.

On it’s current path, it should make landfall near Morehead City, NC.

Hurricane Tracker »
Storm Ready Resource Guide »
Severe Weather »
Ocean »

Arthur_Radar_650x366
Detailed 7 Day Discussion »
Current Conditions »
Radar »
Severe Weather »
School & Business Closings »
Signup for Alerts & Closings »

 -Meteorologist T.J. Del Santo


Tropical Storm Warning for Cape, Rain on way for 4th

July 3rd, 2014 at 7:13 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The evening update from the National Hurricane Center still shows Hurricane Arthur with winds of 90 mph, movement to the northeast at 13 mph.  The center is still expected to miss us offshore, but the forecast now has the path close enough for a Tropical Storm Warning to be issued for Cape Cod and the surrounding waters.

Blog_Thurs_Art_1

This means that it will be especially dangerous for boaters out toward the Cape and Islands.  It won’t be quite as bad across the Rhode Island shore, but some high surf and dangerous rip currents are likely late Friday into Saturday (possibly in Sunday as well).

As Arthur makes his closest pass late Friday night, winds will pick up.  Damaging winds should be confined to the outer Cape, with Rhode Island and most of Bristol County Mass getting winds that are not quite as strong.

Blog_Two_Arrthhh

 

Thunderstorms and showers are possible through Friday morning, but the heaviest of the rain looks to be Friday afternoon into early Friday evening.  This might leave a little hope for the 4th of July Parade in Bristol (at least the first part of it).  There will likely be some showers and downpours, but we will may get some breaks as well.

We will continue to update you through out the weekend. -Pete Mangione

 


Arthur Could be a Category 2 Hurricane as it Hits the Outer Banks

July 3rd, 2014 at 12:11 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

New information in from the National Hurricane Center shows that Hurricane Arthur continues to intensify.  As of 11am, sustained winds had reached 90mph with gusts up to 115mph.  Outer rain bands were working their way on shore in North Carolina and the storm is now forecast to reach Category 2 status as it hits the Outer Banks of North Carolina tonight.  temp 3Meanwhile… the storm is still expected to track 50-100miles off-shore, with heavy rain and rip currents the main impacts in southeastern New England.  Timing remains on track with the heaviest of the rain Friday afternoon and evening.

In the short term, hot, humid air and hazy sun are helping to fuel thunderstorms popping up along and ahead of a slow moving cold front.  The storm prediction center is highlighting parts of western and central New England as areas that could see more severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.  temp 1

Heavy rain, frequent lightning and damagin winds are the main concerns with these storms today.  If you are planning on outdoor activities today and tonight, keep an eye to the sky for changing weather conditions as our area could see a few isolated strong storms, too.  Most of the day should stay dry, though.

Detailed 7 Day Discussion »
Current Conditions »
Radar »
Severe Weather »
School & Business Closings »
Signup for Alerts & Closings »


Hurricane Tracker »
Storm Ready Resource Guide »
Severe Weather »
Ocean »


Arthur Continues to Strengthen

July 3rd, 2014 at 11:26 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

New data in from NOAA and Hurricane Hunter Aircraft indicate that Hurricane Arthur has strengthened further this morning with sustained winds near 80mph and gusts to nearly 100mph.   temp 2

Additional strengthening is expected through the day as the storm moves northeast towards the Outer Banks of North Carolina.  Our computer models continue to indicate that Arthur stays well southeast of RI and Southeastern MA.  temp 3

As tropical moisture from Arthur interacts with a cold front sitting over southern New England we are looking at a rainy 4th of July–especially in the afternoon and evening.  Here’s the latest on what to expect for our area.  temp 1

Detailed 7 Day Discussion »
Current Conditions »
Radar »
Severe Weather »
School & Business Closings »
Signup for Alerts & Closings »


Hurricane Tracker »
Storm Ready Resource Guide »
Severe Weather »
Ocean »


Arthur Now a Hurricane

July 3rd, 2014 at 5:13 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Arthur has strengthened into a hurricane early this morning–the 1st of the 2014 Hurricane season.  There have been no major changes to the track or intensity forecast for this storm.  Arthur is still expected to track around 50-100miles south and east of Nantucket.

Here’s the latest bulletin from the National hurricane Center:

BULLETIN HURRICANE ARTHUR ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014 500 AM EDT THU JUL 03 2014 …ARTHUR NOW A HURRICANE… …EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS TONIGHT…

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT…0900 UTC…

INFORMATION ———————————————-

LOCATION…31.3N 79.1W ABOUT 340 MI…545 KM SW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 190 MI…305 KM SSW OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 10 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…985 MB…29.09 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS ——————–

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD FROM DUCK NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER.

INTERESTS ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST NORTH OF THE WARNING AREA…PRIMARILY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND…SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ARTHUR. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

Hurricane Tracker »
Storm Ready Resource Guide »
Severe Weather »
Ocean »

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK —————————— AT 500 AM EDT…0900 UTC…

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ARTHUR WAS LOCATED BY HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND NOAA DOPPLER RADARS NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH…LONGITUDE 79.1 WEST. ARTHUR IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH…15 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED TODAY…FOLLOWED BY A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK…THE CORE OF ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE COAST IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. DATA FROM NOAA AND AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH…120 KM/H…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES…35 KM…FROM THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES…150 KM. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 985 MB…29.09 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ———————- WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD IN THE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE WARNING AREAS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY TONIGHT.

STORM SURGE…THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE… NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS…2 TO 4 FT PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS…2 TO 4 FT SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA…1 TO 3 FT EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA…1 TO 2 FT THE HIGHEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE…AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND THE NEW EXPERIMENTAL POTENTIAL STORM SURGE FLOODING MAP FOR MORE DETAILS.

RAINFALL…

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES…ARE EXPECTED OVER COASTAL AREAS OF NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH FRIDAY. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE UPPER COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA. TORNADOES…ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF COASTAL NORTH CAROLINA TODAY.

SURF…

SWELLS GENERATED BY ARTHUR ARE AFFECTING AREAS FROM THE EAST-CENTRAL COAST OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO SOUTH CAROLINA. THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. FOR MORE INFORMATION…

PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ————- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY…800 AM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…1100 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN


Detailed 7 Day Discussion »
Current Conditions »
Radar »
Severe Weather »
School & Business Closings »
Signup for Alerts & Closings »