Tony’s Pinpoint Weather Blog

Dry Today, Rain Tonight

March 19th, 2014 at 12:52 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

We’ve been dry so far this week, but we’ve got some rain headed our way tonight.  With the later sunset times (6:57p tonight), I’ve noticed more and more people going out for a walk in the evening.  Any showers should hold off until after dark, so an evening walk/jog looks okay.

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An area of low pressure moving through the Great Lakes will pass to our north through Thursday.  Its associated fronts will bring some some rain showers to Southern New England Wednesday night and early Thursday morning.  The rain likely won’t begin until after 8pm.

Initially, there could be enough cold air in place that the precipitation begins as some wet snow in our northern suburbs.   The output from the RPM Computer Model shows this nicely….notice the little blip of blue in the high elevations of northwest RI.  Any snow won’t last long and won’t accumulate.  Milder air will move into the region and force any precipitation to be in the form of rain in Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts.

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Can We Go Back to 2012….Please!?

March 18th, 2014 at 12:59 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

We need a time machine.  Hello?! McFly!? Can we set the time circuits on the Delorean to March 18, 2012, please?  We need a prolonged period of warm weather ASAP!  Look at the stretch of warm weather we had beginning 2 years ago today.

Temp_Trend_2012_Social

Doesn’t that look amazing? Unfortuntely, we are stuck with 30s, 40s and just one 50° day in the next 7days.  Why such a large difference? It all comes down to the jet stream.  While it can be complex as to how the jet stream gets its orientation, it is the shape and position of the jet stream that in the end makes the difference.

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Luck of the Irish With Us Today…Warming Trend Ahead

March 17th, 2014 at 12:59 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The luck of the Irish was with us this morning as we dodged some significant snow.   Actually, we expected the snow to stay away — Pete Mangione said through the weekend that outside of a few flurries, the snow would remain offshore.   Live Pinpoint Doppler 12 Radar from Monday morning shows the snow offshore; although Nantucket did see some flurries.

doppler_5-15am

What we didn’t get, the mid Atlantic did! Maryland, Virginia and Washington D.C. were hit pretty hard by snow early Monday.  In fact, Reagan National Airport was shut down for awhile due to heavy snow.  Some flights out of TF Green Airport to D.C., Baltimore and Philadelphia were cancelled due to the snow to our south.

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Green Jackets Needed Next 2 Days

March 16th, 2014 at 8:39 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

There is still a chance we could see a flurry or two on the coast on St. Patrick’s Day, but the theme of the next couple of days will be more about cold than snow.

This current cold blast of air fits in well with the weather pattern for the first half of March: every time we get a nice, mild day it’s always followed by a big drop in temperatures.  Big temperatures swings are actually common for the month of March; but this month seems especially extreme.

Below is a high temperature breakdown for the first half of this month; note that 8 out of 15 days never made it into the 40s! Also notice the forecast for today and tomorrow; 2 more chilly days on the way.

 

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Today: Highs will be in the 30s, but a busy breeze from the northwest will keep wind chills in the 20s.

 

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While there could be a few flurries at the coast for St. Patrick’s Day, most of us will not get snow. It will be cold with highs in the upper 20s.  Stay warm! -Pete Mangione

 

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Luck of Irish for Monday Snow

March 15th, 2014 at 7:52 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Here is the good news: the possible snow that we were discussing for Monday (St. Patrick’s Day) looks like it will be mostly a “miss”.

Here is the bad news: Sunday and Monday will be chilly. In fact, temperatures may start in the teens and single digits, and only make it into the 20s by Monday afternoon.  Green jackets are suggested!

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Impacts on St. Patrick’s Day: There may be a few snow showers at the coast, but snow should not impact this day very much.  You will need the green jackets as highs will only be in the 30s.

What Could Change?: The snow and moisture could end up making it a little further north than the current track.  Therefore, we can’t completely write off accumulating snow for Monday.  Based on current data, accumulating snow looks unlikely but stay tuned to our forecasts through out the weekend for any changes.  Hopefully, the “luck of the Irish” will help to kick the snow south, as shown in the graphic below.  Have a good weekend! -Pete Mangione

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Record Low Temperature Tied This Morning

March 14th, 2014 at 8:41 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

It was a frigid start to our Friday.  How cold was it? Our northern suburbs were in the single digits around sunrise, but in Providence, we tied a 66 year old temperature record.  At 5:36am, the temperature briefly dropped to 12° at TF Green Airport where the state’s climatological records are kept.  The weather information dates back to 1904.

 

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Snow Totals Across New England

March 13th, 2014 at 1:38 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Quite a bit of snow fell across New England since Wednesday.  As expected, the snow was measured in feet in Northern New England.  Here’s a look at the maximum snowfall totals for each state across the region. Extreme_Snow_Social

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Radar Update

March 13th, 2014 at 9:23 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Radar showing light to moderate snow filling in across the area, especially in northern Rhode Island and Bristol County, MA.  Visibility will be reduced, at times and some roads are becoming covered in a coating of snow.  Winds are gusty and some blowing snow is likely to reduce visibility, as well.  In general, a coating to an inch of snow is possible up to noon.

Live Pinpoint Doppler 12: 7-Day Futurecast | Closings and Delays | WPRI.com Flight Tracker

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Once a piece of energy in the upper-levels of the atmosphere swings to our east, the snow showers will wind down…again, around noon. 

-Meteorologist T.J. Del Santo


Slick Morning Commute

March 13th, 2014 at 6:35 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Slick morning commute! Please use extra caution.

Temperatures took an impressive nose dive overnight….one of the largest temperature drops I’ve ever seen.  Just before midnight, we were in the 50s and as of 6am it was 25°…a 27° temperature drop in 7 hours.  Amazing.  

 Temp_Trend_History_Social

Yesterday, we picked up 0.50 – 0.75″ of rain across Southern New England, and it was still raining as laste as 3am before the snow showers took over.  So, with all the moisture on the roads and plummeting temperatures, black ice will be an issue on untreated surfaces.  The highways have been treated well, but they are wet.  Side streets and your front steps could be treacherous.  Please drive/walk with extra caution.

To make things a little worse, we have some light snow falling across the area.  You can see on the Live Pinpoint Doppler 12 Radar snapshot at 6:17am (below) that we have bands of snow oriented northeast to southeast.  These bands will slowly exit the region through the morning….mostly done by noon.  However, a coating to an inch of snow is possible in spots. 

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“Flash Freeze” Overnight

March 12th, 2014 at 6:54 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Eveving from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca…

Rapid and significant weather changes ahead next 6 to 18 hours.  Intensifying storm over cental  Pennsylvania  will move thru this evening and overnight. The storm is moving along a very sharp boundry between  mild and cold air. Take note of the temperatures as of 6pm across the northeast. Initially we are on the mild side of this storm with plain rain this evening. As the storm moves away, strong northwest winds late Tonight into Thursday will drag down much colder air over Upstate New York and northern New England. Very rapid temperature drops later Tonight will create a “flash freeze”. Wet surfaces like roads will have a glaze of ice (car wind shields too,car locks).  Also rain will change to snow showers. Large amounts of snow unlikely, however, a coating to 1 inch of snow will fall on top of the layer of black ice. The net result will be very slippery  travel on untreated surfaces by early Thursday morning……Tony Petrarca

Large Temperature Contrast This Evening

6pm

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 a1Mild With Plain Rain First Part Of Tonight

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                

Rapid Temperature Drop Midnight Thru Dawn Thursday

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Spring Today, Winter Thursday

March 12th, 2014 at 11:48 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Dangerous Driving Conditions are Expected Thursday Morning

Big storm system winding up over the Ohio River Valley today.  It will move east-northeastward toward New York City and then Cape Cod.  As it heads our way, it will only slightly strengthen, but its effects will be quite significant in the Northeast U.S. including here in Southern New England.

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We’ll see rain showers develop this afternoon (mainly after 3pm).  Those showers will become heavier and steadier through the evening commute. 

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Storm Timing and Impacts

March 11th, 2014 at 7:16 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Wednesday 11AM to 2PM:  First rain drops start coming down.

Wednesday 2PM to 8PM: Rain becomes steadier.  While most of the rain will be light to moderate, a few heavy periods of rain are possible.

Impacts: The evening commute will be a little slower with some puddles and possible ponding on the roadways.  At this time, we are not expecting major street flooding but we will have to monitor the situation to see if/where the heavy bands of rain set up.

WEDNESDAY 8PM to Thursday 2AM: This is when the rain will be coming down the heaviest.  Snow/sleet may also start to fall north and west of 295.  Winds will start gusting between 20-30 mph.

Impacts: Some minor street flooding is possible.  North and west of 295, temperatures may drop quickly triggering a flash freeze and the possibility of black ice.  

THURSDAY 2AM to Noon: Temperatures will fall below freezing and rain will turn to snow pretty much everywhere.  Snow accumulations of a dusting to 2 inches are expected.  Winds will be strong with gusts of 35 to 45 mph.

Impacts: A slower commute is likely with slick roads and brief periods of poor visibility.  Black ICE will be the biggest concern and sub-freezing temperatures could quickly freeze any moisture that is on the roads.  Widespread power outages are unlikely, but make sure to use 2 hands while you drive as the gusts may try to grab your car a little.

Below is a look at snow and rain accumulations.  Have a good evening! -Pete Mangione

 

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Wed/Thu Storm Concerns for S’rn New England

March 11th, 2014 at 11:07 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

This is a huge storm that will be impacting the Northeastern United States.   The impact on Southern New England won’t be as great as Northern New England, but I’m expecting some large impacts, especially Thursday morning.  We’ll talk about that in a bit.  First, look at the amount of snow expected in Northern New England.

RPM_1_Social

1-2 feet is expected in a large swath from western New York through Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine.  There could be some isolated locations where 3feet is measured! Snow country will make out well in this storm…and the resorts could be open well into April!

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Tuesday is the Pick Day of the Week

March 11th, 2014 at 6:23 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

We’ve got typical March weather this week.  This month is known for its wild swings in temperatures and weather conditions.  Make the most of today because it will be the best day of the week.  We’re going on a roller coaster ride temperature-wise into the weekend.

A cold front moving offshore Tuesday morning will allow drier air to filter into Southern New England.  West-northwest winds along with sunshine will allow for temperatures to climb well into the 50s. 

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The computer models are forecasting highs in the 50s today, but they sometimes underestimate the temperatures this time of year.  I’ve noticed the models have a difficult time compensating for a process called compressional heating in the spring.  Compressional heating is the process where winds come down off higher terrain, and as the air sinks, it heats up.  Here’s what the RPM computer model has for temperatures Tuesday afternoon.

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Inside Track On Mid-Week Storm

March 10th, 2014 at 7:14 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Data has been very consistent over the past 24 to 48 hours showing a mid-wee storm that will put down more rain than snow.  This time of year, storms that go right over the top of us or to the west of us are typically rain makers.  Storms that track “just” to our southeast are typically snow makers.

Keep in mind, any change in the storm track could affect our snow accumulations, but we are becoming more confident that this will not be a big snow storm.

Below, I break down the storm into two parts.  Part 1 is the rainy part, and this could slow down the Wednesday evening commute…especially during potential downpours.  Part 2 is the snowy part, but this is most iffy part of the forecast.  If the storm pulls away a little faster than anticipated, we could end up with almost no snow at all.  If it lingers, we would have to increase the accumulations.  Stay tuned! -Pete Mangione

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Wed/Thu Storm Looks More Wet Than White

March 10th, 2014 at 1:29 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

We’ve been watching this week’s storm for a week or so now.  As is usual with these storms, they are very track dependent.  This one is no exception. 

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There are a number of scenarios that could play out as you can see by the graphic above.   We feel pretty confident that a low center will move over the Pennsylvania/Maryland border and head eastward.   Track #1 is consistently becoming the track of choice for most computer models — that’s a track north of New York City and across S’rn New England.  This would bring more rain to our area but some snow at the end of the storm.   The heaviest of the snow will likely be in Northern New England.  Tracks #2 and #3 are becoming less and less likely.

The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Watch for western Massachusetts and areas to the north and west of there.  This means that there’s the potential for 6inches or more of snow in these areas.  However, some areas in Northern New England could be seeing a foot of snow. Great for ski country! 

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Sunday Night Update: 2 Chances of Snow

March 9th, 2014 at 9:16 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

We will see several chances of snow this week.  It’s a good thing that we had temperatures in the upper 50s on Saturday which melted some of those stubborn snow/ice patches! (although not all of them)

First Chance of Snow….Monday AM through Noon:

This does not look like a major event.  Spotty snow will move in overnight, and then continue off and on through about 1 or 2 PM.  Towards the noon hour, some of the snow showers may mix with rain showers.  Most of us will end up with no accumulation…a few isolated spots may bet a coating to a half an inch.  You may want to allow an extra few minutes to get to work, but I am not expecting any major impacts to the Monday morning commute.

 

New_Accum_Go_Mon

Next Chance of Snow….Wednesday Evening into Thursday Morning

The chunk of energy that will be responsible for the potential mid-week storm has not even arrived to the west coast of the mainland US.  Therefore, we still can’t forecast specific snow accumulations.  We will know more over the next 24 to 48 hours as the storm starts to track through the country and we get more reliable data.

Several different scenarios are possible:  a complete miss, mostly rain, mostly snow, or a combination of rain/snow sleet.  If we end up getting mostly snow, this would be a significant, plowable snow event.  However, if we end up getting mostly rain, we could end up with a sloppy inch or 2.  Stay tuned as we look at more information.

In terms of the timing, new data coming in this morning has shifted things a little earlier.  This means that the storm could POTENTIALLY bring impacts to the Wednesday evening commute and the Thursday morning commute.

Have a good week! -Pete Mangione

 

 

 

 


Storm Grazes Us Into Early Saturday

March 7th, 2014 at 10:19 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Any time we have a storm near Cape Hatteras, we have to pay close attention to it.  At 9am Friday morning, an area of low pressure was just off the North Carolina coast.   Heavy rain was falling over eastern North Carolina and Virginia, while ice and snow was falling further inland.  Heavy ice accumulation was being reported on trees and power lines there, and thousands were without power Friday morning.

Storm_Radar_Social

The cloud shield extends from the mid-Atlantic to New England.  The northern extent of the clouds is being halted right over us as the result of dry air overhead.

In fact, the day started beautifully in Providence.  We had an amazing sky just before sunrise with some of the high clouds already in place.

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Temperatures Will Be Moderating

March 6th, 2014 at 1:46 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

After a brutal stretch of weather with temperatures staying well below normal for days on end, we are finally getting a warm up. 

Winds aloft will be from the southwest on Friday…a warmer wind direction.   Below is the 850mb map which shows a southwesterly wind flow at approximately 5,000 feet.  These winds will transport milder air into the Northeast and help kick out the Arctic air which has basically lived here most of this winter. 

GFS_MODEL_SocialWe’re not talking about 50s or 60s, but consistent temperatures in the 30s and 40s are better than 20s.  Also note that there is a circulation off the east coast on Friday.  This is a coastal storm that is expected to pass well to our southeast. However, we will likely be seeing some extra clouds in RI, and eastern Massachusetts may get some rain showers.

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Snow Showers Wednesday Afternoon/Evening

March 5th, 2014 at 11:39 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

We don’t see any major storms in the next 7 days, just some minor bouts of snow.  One of those little bouts happens Wednesday afternoon and evening.

Courtesy Accuweather

Courtesy Accuweather

A potent piece of energy in the upper levels of the atmosphere will drop southeastward out of Canada Wednesday afternoon/evening.  You can see it working into New York and Northern New England in the image above.  The strongest piece of this energy slides to our northeast tonight. 

Meanwhile, a cold front pushing through New England will move through Southern New England this evening.

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“When Will It Warm Up?”

March 4th, 2014 at 12:51 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Interesting question from Danielle North this morning:  How many days this winter have we been below normal? I looked back through the data and found that during the period December 1st through March 4th we have been below normal 58 out of 94 days.  That’s 62% of the days since December 1st we’ve had a daily temperature below the average!

Here’s the breakdown by month

  • December: 16/31 days below average
  • January:  18/31 days below average
  • February: 20/28 days below average
  • March: 4/4 days below average

What is more interesting is the prolonged stretches and strength of the cold.  We have had multiple intrusions of cold Arctic air into New England this year including the effects of the Polar Vortex.  Pieces of the Polar Vortex moved southward during the winter resulting in bitterly cold air residing over most of the eastern United States.

Notable cold stretches this winter

December 7-18th: 12 day stretch of below normal temperatures including 6 days of 10° or colder than average.

December 31st to January 10th: 10/11 days below average including 5 days 10° or colder than average and one day of 20° colder than average.

January 21st – 26th: all below average including 6 days of 10° or more below average.

February 4th-19th: 15 out of 16 days below average with 4 days of 10° or more below average.

February 24th – March 4th**: 9 days below average including 6 days of 10° or more below average
**current 7day forecast calls for a stretch of below average temps into early next week.

So, we’ve had 30days when the temperature was 10-20° below average since December 1st.

Yesterday, I posted this graphic showing the Climate Predictions Center’s confidence in below average temperatures up until about St. Patrick’s Day….

CPC

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Spring Weather? Not Yet.

March 3rd, 2014 at 11:23 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

From chief meteorologist Tony R Petrarca..

As of this writing (11:05pm) temperatures are already in the single digits and still falling.  A very cold day ahead for Tuesday. Single digits early morning, only upper 20s by afternoon. Some light snow showers on Wednesday, but its not from a direct storm impact, but rather a shift in wind direction…

Cold east- northeast winds on Wednesday will pick up some Atlantic moisture . The net result  will be light “ocean effect” snow showers. Best chance across southeastern Massachusetts…but parts of Rhode Island will see snow showers too. Amounts are will be very minimal, with a coasting to half inch in spots.  Low clouds will keep temperatures in the 30s.

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Bitterly Cold Monday Night and Tuesday Morning

March 3rd, 2014 at 1:04 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

If you spent just a few seconds outside Monday, you’d think it was early January, not early March.  Old Man Winter still has his grip on the Northeastern United States.  Below are the noon time temperatures on Monday.  You can clearly make out the chunk of cold air hanging over the northeast part of the country.  In fact, temperatures are 20° below average in Providence today; 27° below average in Chicago; and 35° below average in Minneapolis!!!

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Monday night will be another very cold night in Southern New England.  Temperatures will fall quickly after dark…from the 20s through the teens this evening.  Morning lows on Tuesday are expected to be around 8°. 

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Bit of Snow This Morning Caused Minor Problems

March 3rd, 2014 at 11:07 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Although we were spared the big accumulations, we got just enough snow here in Southern New England that there were some slick roadways Monday morning.  In fact, there were reports of cars sliding off the road on Route 4 in North Kingstown and cars fishtailing on sidestreets in Middletown.

The accumulating snow began around 3am and continued until about 8:30am.  As anticipated, the highest accumulations were along the coastline.  Central and northern Rhode Island received very little accumulation. 

Here’ s a look at what fell in a few communities this morning…

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Late Night Blog Update

March 2nd, 2014 at 10:57 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

This will be very brief….data continues to show smaller and smaller snow amounts.  Here is a quick briefing

I have posted an updated snow map below.

For inland areas, I have replaced “dusting” with “zero” because there may be many spots that simply get nothing at all.   However, there will still be isolated areas which could reach an inch.

For the coast, I now have a dusting to 2 inches.  The 2 inch amounts will probably be very isolated and the exception rather than the rule.

Have a good night and Monday! -Pete Mangione

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With Each New Forecast, The Snow Numbers Go Down

March 2nd, 2014 at 7:19 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The trend of shrinking snow amounts continues…most of us will get a dusting to about 1″ of snow overnight into early Monday morning.  I would not be surprised if many areas north and west of Providence end up with nothing.

While the snow amounts will not be impressive, the timing is a little inconvenient.  Most of the snow that does fall will do so from about 12AM to 7AM Monday morning.  This means some slick spots are possible for the morning commute, especially at the south coast where the amounts may be slightly higher.   In terms of getting to work on time, it’s not a bad idea to allow an extra few minutes Monday morning (especially if you live or work on the south shore).  Overall, I am not expecting any significant impacts to the commute.

Here are those trimmed snow totals, I will have updates on the air tonight at 10PM on FOX Providence and 11PM on WPRI 12.  While I am not anticipating making major changes to the forecast, there may be a few tweaks.  Have a good night! -Pete Mangione

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Sunday Morning Update on Sunday Night into Monday Snow

March 2nd, 2014 at 9:12 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

This storm continues to look more like a “miss” than a “hit”.  We can thank the arctic air for that.  Basically, the dry, arctic air will help push the moisture to the south keeping MOST of it offshore.  The bad news? Once that arctic air slides back in, it’s going to make for a very cold first half of the work week!

Here is an updated timeline:

TODAY: Scattered snow showers with temperatures in the mid 30s; some mixing to rain is possible at the coast.  While most of the snow will be light, some brief bursts of snow are possible which could temporarily drop visibility and put a quick coating on the road.

BY 8PM ON THE GROUND: A coating to 1″ of snow.

8PM to 12AM: Light off/on snow with temperatures falling into the 20s.

12AM to 8AM: Off/on snow with temperatures in the teens and 20s.   The snow will be steadier towards the coast, and lighter for inland areas including the Providence metro area.   I am expecting minor slowdowns for the AM commute; but the coast could see a a little more impact (moderate slowdowns but nothing impassible).  The RMP model forecast below does a great drop showing the extent of the moisture cutoff line.

RPM_Model_Blog

 

8AM to NOON: Some lingering snow showers possible, but the bulk of the snow should be gone by this point.

 

HOW MUCH BY MONDAY AFTERNOON?

We still have to watch the south coast carefully…these amounts are still subject to change. -Pete Mangione

 

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Sunday/Monday Snow Amounts Shrinking

March 1st, 2014 at 6:58 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

As of Saturday evening, new data suggests a decreases in expected snowfall amounts.  Arctic air looks like it will push the storm MOSTLY to the south of us.  However, we still get scraped, and the south coast is still at risk for having some moderate to heavy bands of snow move through.

Here is an updated timeline:

Sunday morning until 7PM: Off/on light snow showers will be moving through.  A little mixing to rain is also possible, but it looks like mostly snow.  A few moderate bands of snow are possible; as always, these could temporarily drop visibility and put a quick coating on the road.

ON THE GROUND BY SUNDAY 7PM: A coating to 1″

SUNDAY 7pm TO MONDAY NOON: Periods of light snow. There will be some occasional pockets of heavier snow, primarily at the coast.  For inland areas including the Providence metro area, it does not look like the Monday AM commute will be severely impacted.  The coast could see some potential impacts as the snow may be a bit steadier here.

MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING: Lingering snow is possible, but most of the snow should be over by this point.  Some slick spots are possible for the evening commute.

ANY CONCERNS ABOUT FORECAST CHANGES?

My main concern would be if the moisture makes it further north than most of the data suggests.  If that happened, then the south coast could see a more significant snowfall event.  It doesn’t look like that is going to happen, but still a scenario that I can’t completely write off.

HOW MUCH BY MONDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING?

Please see the graphic below; and stay tuned for any changes. -Pete Mangione

 

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Saturday Morning Update on Sun. Night / Monday Snow

March 1st, 2014 at 8:40 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

As things stand now, this is an especially tricky forecast.  That is because the main chunk of energy that will be responsible for the snow still has to make it across a good part of the country.  During that journey, a lot can change in terms of storm strength, speed, and track.

It does looks there will be a narrow strip of significant accumulation (6″ to 12″) with this storm.  However, it is still very uncertain where that narrow strip will set up.  It could set up just to our south, leaving us with just light to moderate accumulations.  It could set up along our south shore, giving the coast a good thumping but leaving the rest of us with just mild accumulations.  Or, it could set up right over southern New England which would give all of us significant amounts of snow.   You get the idea…..we need to look at more data through out the day before we start fine tuning the forecast.

EARLY CALL ON SNOWFALL AMOUNTS

We are going with 2″ to 5″ on the ground by Monday evening; but don’t be surprised if we adjust this range through out the weekend.  Most of the accumulation looks like it would occur Sunday night (after 8PM) into early Monday afternoon.  Therefore, there will be likely impacts for the morning commute, but not quite as much impact for the evening commute.  Of course, a shift in storm timing by just a few hours could put the evening commute more at risk.

Below is a general timeline below….notice that we will get some rain/snow on Sunday, but not much accumulation until Sunday night. -Pete Mangione

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Record-Challenging Cold and a Look Ahead to Monday

February 28th, 2014 at 9:44 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

It’ll remain bitterly cold through the day on Friday with afternoon highs between 18 and 24°F.  Wind chills will still be between 5 and 15°, so it’ll be pretty uncomfortable to be outside for an extended period of time.  Dress in layers with a hat and gloves when you do go out.

An area of high pressure will be moving through the Northeast today.  Ahead of the high center, winds will still be blowing between 5-15mph.

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