Tony’s Pinpoint Weather Blog

Saturday’s Storm Update

January 23rd, 2015 at 12:59 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The newest round of computer model data is still coming into the forecast center.  The storm still looks like it will bring a mixed bag into Southern New England, but it’s a very tricky forecast.  Slight wobbles in the track and slight variations in the intensity could create big changes to this forecast.

The biggest question we have is:  how cold will the low levels be?  Temperatures at the ground and a few thousand feet above our heads could fluctuate just enough so that we see precipitation go back and forth between rain/snow/sleet through much of the day.

After looking at the latest data, I’ve changed the forecast a bit for northern Rhode Island.  I’m thinking rain/freezing rain will be able to make it up to the Mass Pike a little earlier, cutting down on accumulations in Rhode Island.

Daily-Graphic-2_650x366

Below are basic breakdowns of the precipitation type and amounts on timelines for both Woonsocket and Providence.  The heaviest of the precip will fall between 9AM and 2PM.  Also during this time, we could be seeing the rain mix with snow and sleet, even in Providence.

Woonsocket_Snow_Rates_650x366

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Saturday’s Storm Update

January 23rd, 2015 at 7:10 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Saturday’s storm will bring a messy mixture of precipitation:  snow, sleet, freezing rain and rain.  Most areas will see a changeover to rain, but a plowable snow is likely across parts of RI.  Roads will likely be messy everywhere on Saturday.  Please drive with extra caution.

At 6:30AM, our storm was organizing over the Southeast United States, tapping moisture from the Gulf of Mexico and the eastern Pacific as it strengthens.

Storm_Radar_650x366

That storm will strengthen and rapidly intensify as it moves from the Carolinas to the Canadian Maritimes on Saturday.  It will undergo a process called “bombogenesis” where the central pressure of the storm drops 24mb in less than 24hours.  While it will be a pretty potent storm, it will be moving too quickly to produce very large snow amounts.

Fcst_Map2_650x366

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Saturday Coastal Storm Update

January 22nd, 2015 at 6:46 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good evening from chief meteorologist Tony R Petrarca..

Coastal storm likely Saturday with a wide variety of weather including wet snow, sleet, rain and gusty winds along the coast.  It does not look like an “all snow” situation due to the lack of widespread cold air. A burst of wet heavy snow starts early Saturday morning, followed by a change to sleet and rain….rain will flip back to snow by late day into Saturday evening.  Storm is still 36 hours away, so a lot can change…I would recommend checking back often now thru Friday night for updates as more data comes in…amounts and location of precipitation may have to be adjusted…

threat track

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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watch map


Thursday Morning Update on Weekend Storm

January 22nd, 2015 at 9:09 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Our computer models are still showing an impressive storm off the coast of New England on Saturday and Saturday night.  For the first time this winter, ingredients are coming together for a winter storm, complete with accumulating snow and strong north-northeasterly winds to impact New England.  The storm looks to rapidly intensify as it passes southeast of Nantucket, with some of the model guidance showing the pressure dropping an impressive 40mb in just 24hours.  That’s what meteorologists call “bombogenesis” (when a storm’s pressure falls at least 24mb in 24hrs).

As Pete Mangione blogged about yesterday, despite the intensity of the storm, we’re not sold on a “blockbuster” winter storm with “major” snowfall totals.  The reason is that there is not a lot of cold air to work with.  It’s likely that temperatures will be warm enough for at least some of the storm to fall as rain during the day Saturday.  When we do get snow it will be heavy and wet.  Right now the best chance of accumulating snow will come Saturday evening and night.

There are also still questions about the storm track.  A storm that tracks closer to the coast would bring in warmer air and support more rain mixing in… while a farther away track will lead to more snow.  It it tracks too far south, though, we could just get “grazed” by the storm.

temp 2

Based on the latest data I’ve been looking at this morning, it’s likely that parts of our area will see enough snow to plow and shovel.  Right now, the best shot at that will be north and west of Providence, with lesser amounts due to a longer period of rain near the coast.  temp 2 (mmuscatello v1)

It’s still too early to give out exact numbers with so many variables still up in the air, but I’m leaning towards less than 6″ of snow with this storm.

In addition, winds will strengthen through Saturday, especially near the coast.  Winds could gust 45-55mph by Saturday night at the shore.  While not a widespread issue, we may see isolated power outages where the gusty winds combine with the heavy, wet snow weighing down tree limbs and power lines.


Saturday storm likely, but what kind?

January 21st, 2015 at 5:50 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

While it’s still possible this it stays offshore and is a complete miss, new data coming in this afternoon supports the idea of a likely storm on Saturday.  However, the type of storm will have a huge impact on how “big of a deal” this ends up becoming.  It does appear that something will be falling from the sky; but this storm could end up being all snow, or a snow/sleet/rain mix.

We use many different computer models to forecast storms, and the European is one of the more reliable models when we are still several days away from the actual storm.  Here is a snapshot of what the European model is forecasting for Saturday.  The orange color represents liquid precipitation of .75″ to 1.o”.  Assuming that the snow is not too wet, that could easily equate to 6 to 12 inches of snow.

WSI_Storm_SNIP

                                                 Courtesy WSI

 

But I am not completely sold on a big snowstorm just yet because temperatures may be borderline between snow, sleet, and even plain rain.  Below is a forecast map right around the height of the storm;  this is actually a snapshot of several thousand feet above the surface.

Snip_2

                                                                                                   Courtesy WSI

 

To get snow, you usually need all layers of the atmosphere to be below freezing.  In the map above, the blue colors are below freeing (o° Celsius).  Notice that this is a very close call.  The freezing line seems to run right through Providence; this would give areas north and west of Providence all snow, areas south and east of Providence a messy mix, and Providence itself a toss up.  Another complication is that if the precipitation comes down hard enough, it can essentially cool itself off to below freezing levels, even if the layer is initially above freezing.

Keep in mind, the above 2 graphics come only from one computer model, so we can’t lock in on just this solution.  At this point, we know that this COULD become our first big snowstorm (6+ inches) of the season, but it could also end up a messy mix that give us no accumulation or just a few inches.

Timing: Based on current information, the storm would start on Saturday morning, but not become heavy until Saturday afternoon and evening…the worst would move out Saturday night.  But unfortunately, timing is also subject to change.  Please stay tuned as we get more information in the coming days.

 

 

 


Bit of Snow on Thursday

January 20th, 2015 at 3:09 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Although it won’t be a major storm, we could be seeing a bit of snow Wednesday night and Thursday morning.  It could be enough to create some slick spots, too.   Generally a coating of snow will fall, but a maximum of one inch could fall in some spots.

An Alberta Clipper will work across the Midwest on Wednesday.  As it does so, an area of low pressure will develop off the North Carolina coastline.  This low moves northeast Wednesday night and Thursday morning, passing southeast of New England.

Fcst_Map_1_650x366 (more…)


Weekend Storm Potential

January 20th, 2015 at 12:49 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

It’s been a relatively quiet winter so far, with either wind-swept rain storms or minor bouts of snow (just 4.2″ total snow at TF Green since December 1 ).  Is that finally going to change?  That’s the big question…. and our computer models are at least giving us something to watch for the weekend.

First up… it’s “same old same old” with another low pressure center mostly missing our area mid-week… delivering a batch of clouds and snow showers/flurries late Wednesday night into Thursday.  Little to no accumulation is expected with this.

The storm that is of more interest is a system that could develop in the Gulf of Mexico before moving off the mid-Atlantic coastline Saturday morning and passing southeast of Nantucket by Saturday evening/night.  There’s still a lot of uncertainty with the track, intensity and timing of the storm… but the computer models have trended closer and stronger over the last 24 hours.

temp 2 (mmuscatello v1)

 At this point, I wouldn’t get too excited as it could pass well out to sea, but it does need to be monitored in the coming days.  Depending on the track, we could also see a mix with or change to sleet and rain in RI and southeastern MA.

And if you’re a fan of the European model… the 00z run overnight had another, even stronger storm impacting our area on Tuesday of next week.  So far, it doesn’t have much support from the other models.

 


Watch for Black Ice This Morning

January 19th, 2015 at 6:43 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Monday morning’s early commute is proving to be very difficult with icy road conditions due to black ice developing.  It’s happening even though temperatures through the night have stayed mostly above freezing.  The cold stretch of weather last week, means that the ground is frozen and so pavement temperatures are at or below freezing. The result has been numerous patches of ice reported across the southern New England.  Use extra caution traveling this morning, go slow and allow for more space than usual between you and the vehicle in front of you.

temp 3

temp 2

The risk of black ice will diminish after 8am this morning as the sun will help to melt the ice and gusty west winds will dry the damp roads.

temp 2 (mmuscatello v1)


Black Ice Potential Monday Morning

January 18th, 2015 at 11:30 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

As the rain heads out of Southern New England, colder temperatures will return.  Temperatures will fall into the 30s overnight in Providence.

Temp_Trend_650x366

Areas north and west of Providence could get temperatures at or below freezing toward dawn.  With moisture on the roads from the rain, we could see some ice.  Any untreated surfaces could be icy.  Please drive and walk with extra caution.

SNE_FCST_650x366

 Detailed 7 Day  » Current Conditions » Radar » Severe Weather » Closings » Signup for Alerts & Closings » Hurricane Tracker » Storm Ready Resource Guide » Severe Weather » Ocean » -Meteorologist T.J. Del Santo


Special Weather Statement from NWS

January 18th, 2015 at 8:39 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Special Weather Statement from the National Weather Service:

...STRONG FRONT MOVING ACROSS BRISTOL...ESSEX...PLYMOUTH...NORFOLK...
EASTERN WORCESTER...SUFFOLK...MIDDLESEX...BRISTOL...NEWPORT...EASTERN
KENT...NORTHEASTERN WASHINGTON AND PROVIDENCE COUNTIES...

AT 820 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG FRONT ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR ROYALSTON TO 22 MILES 
EAST OF BLOCK ISLAND...AND WAS MOVING NORTH AT 50 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THIS FRONT.

THOSE PEOPLE OUTDOORS IN FOXBOROUGH ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS AND SHOULD PREPARE FOR STRONG WINDS AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL BETWEEN 845 PM TO 930 PM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WAS OCCURRING ALONG THIS FRONT. MINOR URBAN AND
POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADS.

-Meteorologist T.J. Del Santo

8PM Radar Check

January 18th, 2015 at 8:13 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

As of 8pm, a thin line of heavy rain and strong, gusty winds was working through parts of Rhode Island.  Brief street flooding and poor drainage flooding is possible with this rain.  Arrival time in Foxboro is between 8:30 and 9:15PM.

Storm_Radar_650x366

-Meteorologist T.J. Del Santo


Tracking Heavy Rain This Evening

January 18th, 2015 at 6:15 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Sunday evening update:

Storm_Radar_2_650x366

We’re tracking a line of heavy downpours with some embedded thunderstorms moving from CT through Long Island.  This line is headed east-northeastward and is expected to move through our area between 7 and 10PM.

Cloud to surface lightning is well south of New England, but some cloud-to-cloud lightning is possible.

Strong winds and heavy rain is expected in our area between 7 and 10pm.  Localized street and poor drainage flooding is possible.   Please keep the speeds down while driving.

-Meteorologist T.J. Del Santo


Freezing Rain Advisory This Morning

January 18th, 2015 at 8:53 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

UPDATED 9:30AM

There is a potential for freezing rain, primarily to the north and west of I-95 over the next several hours.  Here is a snapshot from our RADAR earlier this morning:

PEte_FREZZZZRADD

I did notice Westerly, Providence, and Smithfield all went above freezing at around 9 this morning.  That is good news.  However, we will have to watch western RI closely (e.g. West Greenwich, Foster, Johnston) over the next several hours as those spots were still below freezing as of the writing of this blog.

Please use caution! Freezing rain is often more dangerous than snow because you can’t see the layers of ice that can buildup on the roads.  By the time we get into this afternoon, all of our viewing area should be well above  freezing with only liquid rain showers.  -Pete Mangione

 


Bitterly Cold Air Arrives Late Friday

January 16th, 2015 at 9:21 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Another blast of cold air from the North Pole is headed our way…ETA is late afternoon.

As of 9AM, another Arctic front was moving through Upstate New York.  Snow showers and snow squalls were scattered all over New York, Vermont and Pennsylvania.

Storm_Radar_650x366

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Latest Summary On This Week’s Series Of Quakes

January 15th, 2015 at 8:18 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca

The following  is the latest detailed summary on the series (swarm) of minor earthquakes in our area this week. The following statement is provided by MEMA

 

mema

 

 

Since Thursday, January 8th, as many as a dozen minor earthquakes have been detected/recorded by the United States Geological Survey (USGS) and the Weston Observatory in the area of Plainfield, Killingly, and Sterling in eastern Connecticut, with the most recent occurring at 4:39 this morning. The strongest of these, a magnitude 3.3 quake, occurred on Monday, January 12th, and was felt across southern New England, including in multiple areas of Massachusetts. It should be noted that a 3.3 magnitude earthquake is close to the average of the strongest earthquake in New England each year, and that earthquakes under 5.0 magnitude typically do not cause structural damage.  

Today, MEMA hosted a conference call with the Weston Observatory.  The state emergency management agencies in Connecticut and Vermont, and the Northeast States Emergency Consortium (NESEC) also participated in the call.  According to the Weston Observatory, these earthquakes are associated with an earthquake ”swarm”, which is a series or burst of earthquakes in succession. The last earthquake swarm to occur in New England took place in Bar Harbor, Maine in 2006-2007. It is not possible to predict the frequency of future earthquakes in a swarm based on past activity, or the duration of the swarm.  Earthquake swarms are not usually followed by a significantly stronger quake, although this possibility cannot be conclusively ruled out and there are instances of swarms being followed by a strong, damaging earthquake.

The Weston Observatory has deployed mobile seismographs to the area to capture more detailed information on local seismic activity and has coordinated with the Connecticut state geologist to conduct data collection. The seismographs will remain in place for at least three weeks.

The Connecticut Department of Emergency Services and Public Protection is continuing to monitor the earthquake activity and will be holding a multi-agency briefing tomorrow morning at its emergency operations center.

MEMA has been in contact with the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) and has been advised that none of the nuclear power plants in Connecticut, Rhode Island and Massachusetts are reporting operational issues or concerns as a result of the earthquake activity.

This screen capture from the US Geological Survey website shows the approximate locations and magnitude of earthquakes recorded over the past seven days in eastern Connecticut:

quake data

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Additional information on actions to take before during, and after an earthquake can be found on the MEMA website at:
http://www.mass.gov/eopss/agencies/mema/ready-massachusetts/earthquakes.html.

The Weston Observatory has information on the history of earthquake activity in New England at https://www2.bc.edu/~kafka/Why_Quakes/why_quakes.html

MEMA Operations:

This afternoon, MEMA participated in a conference call with the Weston Observatory, the states of Connecticut and Vermont, and the Northeast States Emergency Consortium.

 

The State Emergency Operations Center is operating at Level 1 (Steady State Monitoring).  MEMA will continue to monitor the situation and will disseminate additional Situational Awareness Statements as necessary. 

 

Stay Informed: 

For additional information and updated forecasts, see www.weather.gov/boston (National Weather Service Taunton) and www.weather.gov/albany (National Weather Service Albany)

For real-time power outage information, by community, county, and provider, see MEMA’s Power Outage Website:  http://mema.mapsonline.net/public.html.

Utilize Massachusetts Alerts to receive emergency notifications and information from the Massachusetts Emergency Management Agency and the National Weather Service.  Massachusetts Alerts is a free app that is available for Android and iPhones. To learn more about Massachusetts Alerts, and for information on how to download the free app onto your smartphone, visit: www.mass.gov/mema/mobileapp.

Online Resources:

For additional information and resources, visit:
Massachusetts Emergency Management Agency at www.mass.gov/mema
MEMA’s Facebook page: http://www.facebook.com/MassachusettsEMA
MEMA Twitter: @MassEMA
Federal Emergency Management Agency at www.fema.gov
National Weather Service/Taunton at www.weather.gov/boston
National Weather Service/Albany, NY at www.weather.gov/albany
National Weather Service Weather Prediction Center: http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/
National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center:  http://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Northeast River Forecast Center: http://www.weather.gov/nerfc/

Mass211 at www.mass211.org

 

 

 

 

 


Patriots Forecast Sunday. Rain at least part of game

January 14th, 2015 at 3:24 pm by under Patriots, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Sunday 11:30PM Update

We’re on to Seattle!….in Arizona, of course!

Here’s the average weather conditions for February 1st in Glendale, AZ (the home of Super Bowl XLIX).

Superbowl_650x366

 

Previous Updates:

=====================================================

8:30PM Update:

Special Weather Statement from the National Weather Service:

...STRONG FRONT MOVING ACROSS BRISTOL...ESSEX...PLYMOUTH...NORFOLK...
EASTERN WORCESTER...SUFFOLK...MIDDLESEX...BRISTOL...NEWPORT...EASTERN
KENT...NORTHEASTERN WASHINGTON AND PROVIDENCE COUNTIES...

AT 820 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG FRONT ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR ROYALSTON TO 22 MILES 
EAST OF BLOCK ISLAND...AND WAS MOVING NORTH AT 50 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THIS FRONT.

THOSE PEOPLE OUTDOORS IN FOXBOROUGH ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS AND 
SHOULD PREPARE FOR STRONG WINDS AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL BETWEEN 845 PM TO 930 PM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WAS OCCURRING ALONG THIS FRONT. MINOR URBAN AND
POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADS.

PREVIOUS UPDATE
==================

8PM RADAR UPDATE:

As of 8pm, a thin line of heavy rain and strong, gusty winds was working through parts of Rhode Island.  Brief street flooding and poor drainage flooding is possible with this rain.  Arrival time in Foxboro is between 8:30 and 9:15PM.

Storm_Radar_650x366

-Meteorologist T.J. Del Santo

============================

PREVIOUS UPDATE:

Sunday evening update:

Storm_Radar_2_650x366

We’re tracking a line of heavy downpours with some embedded thunderstorms moving from CT through Long Island.  This line is headed east-northeastward and is expected to move through our area between 7 and 10PM.

Cloud to surface lightning is well south of New England, but some cloud-to-cloud lightning is possible.

Strong winds and heavy rain is expected in our area between 7 and 10pm.  Localized street and poor drainage flooding is possible.   Please keep the speeds down while driving.

-Meteorologist T.J. Del Santo

 

UPDATED ON SUNDAY MORNING BY PETE MANGIONE

Here is an updated timeline, some new information came in this morning…..this new data still supports out thoughts from last night.

Tailgating 1PM to 6PM: While it’s not raining the entire time, expect off/on showers so have the rain jacket with you.  Temperatures will average in the mid 40s with breezes 10-15 mph with a few gusts of 20 mph possible .  Temperatures will be rain dependent.  When it’s raining it should be in the low 40s, when it is not raining it could rise to the upper 40s.

Game (6:30 to 10PM): I would not be surprised to see a lull in the rain around kickoff, but some downpours and even a thunderstorm are possible anytime from the 2nd quarter to the end of the game.  Winds will average 5-15 mph, but under a downpour a gust of 30 mph is possible.  Temperatures averaging in the 40s.

imgasmdgasdgsa

Walk to Card, Drive Home (10PM to 12AM): Some showers may linger with breezes 10-20 mph.  Temperatures in the low 40s.  Watch for some areas of minor street flooding on the drive home.

 

Enjoy the game! Pete Mangione

 

PREVIOUS POST: ===================================

Saturday Evening Update:

Latest information indicates that we will see a period of very heavy rain during the mid to latter part of the game.  Here is the RPM computer model’s output of rain for around 9PM on Sunday.

mgWeb_WRF_20150118-000000_ANE_ECONUS_F00260000_PgeneralSfcPres_R12km

Multiple computer models indicate that this line of heavy rain will come through our area between 7 and 9:30PM.  There is also the possibility of some lightning during the evening…including during the game.  Some strong wind gusts are possible, too.

Daily-Graphic-1_650x366

We could be seeing rainfall amounts of 1 to 1.25″, most of which will fall during the evening.

Bring the rain gear!

-Meteorologist T.J. Del Santo

PREVIOUS POST: ===================================

 

Updated on Saturday Morning by Pete Mangione

Data continues to show rain on the way for at least PART of the Pats/Colts game.  Here is a timeline of what to expect:

Tailgating (1PM to 6PM):  Temperatures in the mid 40s with mostly cloudy skies.  Breezes 10-15 mph with a few gusts of 20 mph possible.  Showers are possible at times.  There may be some good windows of dry weather so I don’t expect a complete washout for the tailgating.

PeteBlogOne

 

First Half (6:30 to 8PM): Temperatures in the mid 40s with off/on showers.  Although there could be a few gusts of 25-30 mph, I’m not expecting consistently strong winds.  Therefore, I don’t think wind will play much of a factor in the passing or kicking game.

2nd Half (8PM to 10PM): Showers will become more frequent and even heavy at times.  Breezes 10-15 mph with occasional gusts of 25 or 30 mph possible.

Blog_3

 

The Walk to Car and Drive Home: This is when I expect the steadiest rain to arrive.  Temperatures still in the 40s with a few gusts under any potential downpour.  Use caution on the drive home as some minor street flooding is possible.  Enjoy the game! -Pete Mangione

 

Previous Blog Posts Follow:

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Friday Morning Update:

The computer models we use to forecast the weather continue to show the good likelihood of a wet and windy game in Foxboro.  Rain will overspread the area in the afternoon and fall heavily during the evening as a cold front approaches Southern New England.

Fcst_Map3_650x366

Detailed 7 Day  » Current Conditions » Radar » Severe Weather » Closings » Signup for Alerts & Closings » Hurricane Tracker » Storm Ready Resource Guide » Severe Weather » Ocean »

As it approaches, I’m expecting an area of low pressure to develop along the front, which will enhance the rainfall.   In addition, the front/low will have a lot of moisture to chew on.  This map of precipitable water shows a tropical connection to the moisture….right up from the Bahamas.   Precipitable water is the amount rain that would fall if all the water in the air came down as rain.   Basically, we could be seeing brief flooding rains Sunday evening.  I’m expecting rainfall totals between 1 and 1.5″ on Sunday.

pwIn addition, strong winds are possible late Sunday…some gusts to 40mph are possible from the south.

Here’s what I expect for kickoff on Sunday…

Pats_Game_Fcst_650x366

There are some indications that rain could end before the game does.  Also, if the cold air arrives more quickly on the back side of this system, we may see a bit of snow as the precipitation ends….all of this could play into the strategy for Bill Belichick…then again…he doesn’t listen to us. :)

-Meteorologist T.J. Del Santo

 

Previous Blog Posts Follow:

===============================================

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca..

Changes in Sunday’s Forecast. The earlier thinking a few days ago of dry weather has changed. At this point it looks like mostly rain, which may end as a brief periods snow by Monday morning. Stay tuned for updates to see if anything changes with timing of rainfall. Ofcourse, it would be nice to have the rain hold off until AFTER the game…as of now, the rain “start time” looks like late day, early evening Sunday..

 

patriots wx 1


Potential For Black Ice Later Tonight…

January 12th, 2015 at 7:26 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good  Evening From Chief Meteorologist Tony R Petrarca…

As Todays Rain moves out, paved  surfaces will remain wet for a while. Colder temperatures moving in later this evening and especially overnight will produce some areas of black ice. Untreated surfaces will become slippery as temperatures fall well below freezing.  Drive with caution after midnight thru daybreak Tuesday

 

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FORECAST TEMPS BY 4AM TUESDAY

 

 

 

…….


Minor Earthquake Felt in Parts of RI Monday Morning

January 12th, 2015 at 7:43 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

People in parts of western Rhode Island awoke this morning to house rattling and ground shaking as a minor earthquake occurred near the RI/CT Border.  The USGS reported a magnitude 3.3 quake just 9 miles west of Coventry, RI at about 6:36am.  temp 3

We’ve received reports of tremors felt in Coventry, West Greenwich, Smithfield, Foster and even the Edgewood section of Cranston.

temp 2

It’s the second minor quake in 4 days in that area.   For more info from the USGS Click here:

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/usc000tesx#summary


Rain, Some Wintry Precip on Monday

January 11th, 2015 at 7:27 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

We are expecting another round of precipitation on Monday, but there shouldn’t be a lot in the way of wintery stuff.Temperatures will slowly rise through the night to between 30 and 35° by dawn.   Ahead of an area of low pressure, we’ll see a few rain showers during the morning commute (mainly after 7am).

Fcst_Map2_650x366

Some of those rain showers may fall into a layer of freezing temperatures, which will mainly be in areas north and west of Providence.  Any showers should be fairly spotty, and not everyone will see them.   Any ice accumulation should only be about a coating.

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Monday Wintry Mix

January 11th, 2015 at 9:09 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

While we will not see significant snow accumulations, the Monday commutes (especially the morning) could be messy because of a wintry mix.  Here is the timeline:

5AM to 7AM: Some scattered snow showers move in.  While a coating of snow is possible, it looks like the snow will be light enough to prevent it from causing major issues.

7AM to 11AM: Snow will change to rain, but during this transition, some freezing rain is possible.  Freezing rain can often be more hazardous on the roads than snow so use caution during this time. The most likely locations to get the freezing rain would be areas to the north and west of I-95.

11AM to 4PM: Rain showers with temperatures in the mid 30s.

4PM to 10PM: Rain showers with some brief mixing back to snow/sleet by late evening.

How much snow accumulation?

Not much at all, in fact most of us end up with just a coating and even that will likely be washed away by afternoon rain.  Some isolated 1″ amounts are possible to the north and west of 295.  TJ will have updates this afternoon and evening. Have a good Sunday! -Pete Mangione

Blogggggggggggggggggg

 

 


Pats Playoff Forecast: Cold, but we have seen worse

January 9th, 2015 at 5:01 pm by under Patriots, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

It will be a chilly evening in Foxborough for the Pats/Ravens playoff game.  Given that it is early January, this should not be shocking.   In fact, we have seen much worse during some of the playoff and late season games over the past few years.  Here is how the forecast breaks down:

Tailgating 1PM:  Temperature at around 25° with winds 10-15 mph and gusts around 25 mph.

Kickoff: 4:30PM:  Temperature near 20° with winds 5-15 mph and gusts around 20 mph.

Around End of Game (8PM): Temperature near 17° with winds 5-10 mph and gusts around 15 mph.

Obviously, you will need to dress in winter gear (hats, gloves, layers), but at least we won’t be dealing with brutal winds the entire game.  As noted in the forecast above, it will be breezy around  kickoff, but the winds should diminish through out the game.

I don’t expect the weather to have much of an effect on the game; both Brady and Flacco are good cold weather quarterbacks. Enjoy the game! -Pete Mangione

 

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Early Afternoon Update

January 9th, 2015 at 12:43 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

As of 12:30PM, the snow has moved out of the Providence metro area.  The back edge of this snow will work through Southeastern Massachusetts through 1:30PM.

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10:30AM Update

January 9th, 2015 at 10:46 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Snow continues to fall in Southern New England…still heavy at times.  A band of heavier snow extends from Woonsocket back into New London.  This will slowly work eastward during the next 2 hours.

 

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8:30AM: Snow Working Into RI

January 9th, 2015 at 8:30 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

EXPECT POOR DRIVING CONDITIONS THROUGH 11AM.

The steady, accumulating snow has just started to work into RI.

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This snow will advance eastward and move into the Providence area around 9am.  Fortunately, the heaviest of the snow will miss the busy morning commute, but roads will still become slick and visibility will drop.

 Detailed 7 Day  » Current Conditions » Radar » Severe Weather » Closings » Signup for Alerts & Closings » Hurricane Tracker » Storm Ready Resource Guide » Severe Weather » Ocean »

-Meteorologist T.J. Del Santo

 


Weather Alert: Snow This Morning Will Create Slick Roads

January 9th, 2015 at 5:22 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

We aren’t expecting a lot of snow today, but we are expecting slick roads because of it.

Here’s the breakdown of what we are expecting today…

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Light Snow, Gusty Coastal Winds Friday…

January 8th, 2015 at 6:59 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca…

Very cold this evening but not as frigid as last night  A fast moving weather system will come thru Friday with a short period of snow, along with strong coastal winds. While snow amounts will not  be major, its just enough to accumulate on the already cold ground.  Untreated surfaces will be slippery from roughly 8am to 1pm.

Residents from Westerly to Cape Cod and islands will have strong southwest wind gusts Friday, especially Block Island  and the Cape. Isolated wind damage is possible (limbs, powerlines)…drier colder weather moves in Friday Night into Saturday.

Patriots Game In Foxboro Saturday Evening is dry, clear, but very cold with temps falling thru the upper teens….Go PATS !!!!!!

 

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Frigid This Morning, Light Snow on Friday

January 8th, 2015 at 7:38 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Brutally cold start to this morning.   As expected temperatures are running as low as -5 to around 5 near dawn and wind chills have been as low as -15 and -24.    Here are some of the low temperatures in our area: temp 1The wind chill advisory is in effect until 11am.  While dangerous conditions will end, temperatures will only make it into the ‘teens this afternoon and a blustery wind will make it “feel like” (ie: wind chill) 0-10°. temp 2 (mmuscatello v1)

The cold will ease, briefly, overnight and Friday as we track a weak disturbance that will deliver light snow to our area.  While we’ll only see snow for a few hours late morning, it could arrive in time to impact the end of the morning commute.  Here’s the RPM model’s take on the timing for the arrival of the light snow.  temp 2

We’re not expecting any more than a coating to 2″ of snow by the time it moves out (~11am), but you’ll need to watch for some slick travel conditions.  temp 3


Wind Chill Forecast…..

January 7th, 2015 at 6:55 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca..

The core of the very cold air moving thru now thru Thursday, but it will coincide with strong wind gusts up to 30-40 mph. The net result will be bitter wind chills…especially late Tonight into early Thursday morning.  Maps below represent wind chill forecasts at Midnight, 7am and 2pm Thursday.  A “Wind Chilly Advisory” is in effect thru 11am Thursday.

 

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Location Of Arctic Front As Of 3PM

January 7th, 2015 at 2:59 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Afternoon From Chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca…

Arctic cold front now crossing Berkshires Will Move Thru Rhode Island and southeast Mass. between now and 6pm. Snow showers and brief localized snow squalls will accompany the passage. Some quick squalls may reduce visibility and put  a quick coating of snow on the roads, however not all locations will see a squall. After the front  passes…the core of the real cold and wind will kick in, with bitter wind chills that will extend thru Thursday…stay tuned for updates on Eyewitness News starting at 5pm..

 

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Dangerous Wind Chills by This Evening

January 7th, 2015 at 9:05 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

We’re watching an arctic front march into the northeast today, bringing with it the coldest air of the season and dangerously cold wind chills.  For southern New England, the front moves through during the afternoon.  As it does, 1) winds strengthen, 2) a snow squall may briefly reduce visibility and coat roads with a fresh dusting of snow and 3) the temperatures will tumble.  The Wind Chill Advisory for southern New England is for 5pm this evening through 10am on Thursday.  It’s during that time that wind chill values could dip to dangerous levels.  We’re still looking at the potential for wind chills to fall to -15 to -25.

temp 1

As the morning begins Thursday, you’ll want to use common sense and try to limit outdoor activities.  It may take until mid-day for the wind chill to climb back above zero.

Wind Chills Through the Day Thursday

Wind Chills Through the Day Thursday