Rain and Snow with Wednesday Storm

November 24th, 2014 at 9:18 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The ingredients are coming together for a disruptive coastal storm impacting the East Coast on the busiest travel day of the year. It’s a storm system that could lead to delays from Florida to New England as low pressure tracks up the east coast.   For New England, the exact track of the storm will determine “how much” and “who” sees snow (vs rain).  As of this morning, we have the highest confidence in a plow-able snow across interior CT into Central and Western MA.  That’s were a “Winter Storm Watch” has been issued.  A “Watch” means there is the potential for 6″ or more of snow.  temp 3

There are still some details to be worked out… however, a “miss” is looking unlikely at this point, so people with plans to travel on Wednesday are urged to stay up to date with the forecast.

TIMING:  Rain will start to move into DC by 7am,  and reach the southern New England coast by 10am, with steadier and heavier rain and snow by early afternoon.  Travel conditions in and around New England should be “ok”-though not perfect in the morning and early afternoon and deteriorate after 3pm.   The height of the storm in New England is from 7pm the evening until 5am Thanksgiving morning.  There may be some lingering lighter snow showers on Thanksgiving morning, but the worst will be over.

temp 1

06z GFS Valid at 1pm Thursday 

PRECIPITATION TYPE:  Very tricky with this storm.  Again, the highest confidence of mainly snow will be in western MA and CT, through interior parts of PA/NY, VT and NH.  Across southeastern New England a combination of rain/snow and sleet looks likely with some accumulations possible. temp 2

Near the RI coast east to Cape Cod and the Island, it looks like the precipitation will fall mainly as rain, with little to no accumulations possible.  Subtle shifts in the track will bring more or less snow into our area.  As of this morning, there were still a lot of uncertainties with the track, so it’s too early to say how much snow will fall.  Areas north and west of I-295 have the best shot at enough snow to plow and shovel.

WIND:  Wind will also be an issue with this storm with strengthening northeast and north winds through the day Wednesday into Wednesday night.  Gusts over 35mph are possible and a high wind advisory or warning may be issued.

Please continue to check back in for updates.


Gusty Winds Continue, Rain Tapers off by Mid-Day

November 24th, 2014 at 8:39 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Another Monday morning dealing with wind swept rain and a slow commute.  This time,  it’s a warm front to blame.  Rain has been falling moderate to heavy at times through the morning with 0.5″ to 1″ of rain possible by the time it tapers off around mid-day.  In addition, Rhode Island and southeastern MA has had southerly winds sustained around 15-25mph with gusts up to 45mph.  Wind_Advisory_650x366

It will stay blustery through the afternoon, with just a few lingering lighter showers and mist for the trip home from school and work.  Temperatures are very mild through the day… in the 50°s this morning and 60°s this afternoon.  The record for today is 73° from 1979.  temp 1

Winds will stay blustery through Tuesday, with mild temperatures (near 60° at lunchtime) and then starting to cool through the late afternoon and night.  Much colder air moves in just in time for a coastal storm to impact the East Coast on Wednesday and Wednesday night.  Check out the latest blogs for more on the forecast for Wednesday and Wednesday night.


Watch Executive Suite: Navigant Credit Union; Benny’s

November 24th, 2014 at 5:00 am by under Nesi's Notes


Gist wants to keep job as RI education commissioner

November 24th, 2014 at 2:28 am by under Nesi's Notes

By Dan McGowan

PROVIDENCE, R.I. (WPRI) – Deborah Gist, who has served as Rhode Island’s commissioner of elementary and secondary education since 2009, is seeking to keep her job under incoming Gov. Gina Raimondo.

Gist has not met with Raimondo since the Democrat defeated Republican Allan Fung and Moderate Party candidate Robert Healey on Nov. 4, but she told WPRI.com she does want to remain in the position she was appointed to under Republican Gov. Don Carcieri and reappointed to by independent-turned-Democrat Lincoln Chafee.

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Wednesday’s Storm Could Bring Travel Headaches

November 24th, 2014 at 12:27 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

In Saturday night’s blog post, I wrote about the ‘possibility’ of a storm on Wednesday.  After looking at another day’s worth of data, I’m confident that we will see a storm on Wednesday.  Now, harder questions arise.  The biggest is what track will the storm take?

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Rain/Wind for Monday Morning Commute

November 23rd, 2014 at 7:42 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The morning commute could be a slow one on Monday.  Rain, wind and coastal flooding could create some headaches.

A warm front will be lifting through New England.  Ahead of it, we’ll see rain/wind in the morning, some of which could be heavy/strong.  Behind it, we’ll get some very mild air.  Temperatures will soar into the 60s Monday afternoon! If we get enough sunshine, we could sneak up to 70!

Fcst_Map2_650x366

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Watching Wednesday/Thursday Carefully

November 23rd, 2014 at 9:25 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

As TJ mentioned in his previous blog post, there is a potential rain/snow maker on the way Wednesday night into Thursday morning.  4 main scenarios are possible, so here is what I’m thinking based on the new data coming in the morning:

Scenario 1: COMPLETE MISS – This is becoming less likely as the computer models are starting trend on at least some kind of precipitation making it through.

Scenario 2: SNOWY TRACK – If the low pressure center tracks in just the right spot off to our south, this would put us on the colder, snowy side.   Accumulating snow and major travel impacts could occur with this scenario.  The chance of this happening is still low, but it’s something we need to watch.

Scenario 3: RAINY TRACK - If the low pressure center takes more of a western track, that would put us on the milder, rainy side.  While this could slow down driving, at least it would not have MAJOR travel impacts. This means we could likely avoid things like flight cancellations and road closures.  At this point, I would give us a 50/50 shot at seeing this scenario.

Scenario 4: RAIN/SNOW/WINTRY MIX COMBO – I think this is the mostly likely scenario to occur. Similar to scenario 3, it might slow things down on the roads and create some flight delays, but we would be able to avoid any major impacts.  As for the rest of the country on Wednesday, some of our airports in New York City, Washington DC, and Florida could see a few issues because of rain.  The Wednesday before Thanksgiving  is usually one of the busiest (if not THE busiest) days for air travel.  Stay tuned and we will keep you updated! -Pete Mangione

 

 

 

 


Watch Newsmakers: Governor-elect Gina Raimondo

November 23rd, 2014 at 5:00 am by under Nesi's Notes


Coastal Storm on the Wednesday Before T’Giving?

November 23rd, 2014 at 12:05 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

You may have heard some rumors about the possibility of a Nor’easter on one of the busiest travel days of the year…the Wednesday before Thanksgiving.  The rumor is true.  There is the possibility of a storm which could disrupt travel from the Mid Atlantic to New England.

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Based on the latest computer models from Saturday evening, here is what we could be looking at.

Fcst_Map3_650x366

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The Saturday Morning Post: Quick hits on politics & more in RI

November 22nd, 2014 at 5:00 am by under Nesi's Notes, On the Main Site, The Saturday Morning Post

Click here to read this week’s Saturday Morning Post on the new WPRI.com website »


Obama immigration plan ends Secure Communities program in RI

November 21st, 2014 at 2:14 pm by under Nesi's Notes

By Dan McGowan

PROVIDENCE, R.I. (WPRI) – A controversial policy aimed at identifying and deporting undocumented immigrant criminals that has long been opposed by the city of Providence will come to an end Friday when President Barack Obama signs his executive order overhauling the nation’s immigration policy.

Part of the president’s sweeping action is to replace the Secure Communities program, an initiative that asks local law enforcement agencies to run the fingerprints of accused criminals against federal immigration databases. During a primetime speech Thursday, Obama said his new Priority Enforcement Program will focus on deporting “felons, not families.”

Read the rest of this story »


Elorza hears residents’ concerns about crime, schools

November 21st, 2014 at 9:14 am by under Nesi's Notes

By Dan McGowan

PROVIDENCE, R.I. (WPRI) – He spent the better part of the last year talking. Now Providence Mayor-elect Jorge Elorza is listening.

Just over two weeks after his convincing victory over independent Vincent A. “Buddy” Cianci Jr. in the race for mayor, Elorza held the first of four scheduled “listening forums” across the city Thursday, giving residents the chance to voice their frustration over city issues and make recommendations to the incoming mayor.

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Everything you need to know about Providence’s two new high schools

November 20th, 2014 at 10:22 am by under Nesi's Notes

By Dan McGowan

PROVIDENCE, R.I. (WPRI) – Eighth-grade students in Providence will have more options when they begin the high school selection process early next year as the city prepares to open two new schools beginning in the 2015-16 school year.

The startup costs for the new schools will be funded by a $3-million grant from the Carnegie Corporation of New York, a 103-year-old foundation whose current president is former Brown University President Vartan Gregorian.

So what are these new schools going to look like? Here’s an overview.

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Lake Effect Snow Machine About to Turn Back On

November 19th, 2014 at 4:46 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Sixty five inches.  Nearly five and a half feet.  That’s how much snow has fallen in the Buffalo, NY suburbs during the past few days.  And more…a lot more… is about to come.

Here are some snowfall reports from the National Weather Service in Buffalo.

snow_totals

 

Snow is piled up as high as doors and covering the tops of cars and roofs of houses.

Courtesy: Jessica Marie in West Seneca, NY

Courtesy: Jessica Marie in West Seneca, NY

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Chart: Food stamp use finally stops rising in RI after surge

November 19th, 2014 at 1:49 pm by under Nesi's Notes

By Ted Nesi

PROVIDENCE, R.I. (WPRI) – Rhode Island’s food-stamp enrollment has finally stopped growing after it soared during and after the Great Recession.

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Nellie Gorbea seeks public’s input before taking office

November 19th, 2014 at 1:00 pm by under Nesi's Notes

By Ted Nesi

PROVIDENCE, R.I. (WPRI) – Secretary of State-elect Nellie Gorbea wants to hear from you before she takes office.

Gorbea on Wednesday unveiled a website for her transition effort, GorbeaTransition.com, as she prepares to take over from term-limited incumbent Ralph Mollis on Jan. 6. The site offers citizens ways to share ideas for the office, apply for jobs there, and sign up for updates.

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Coldest Morning in Nearly 8 Months

November 19th, 2014 at 10:40 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

It felt pretty uncomfortable outside this morning…and for good reason.  It’s been awhile since it has been this cold! This morning’s low temperature of 21° in Providence was the coldest temperature we have had in the capitol city since March 27th when the low was 20°.

lows_650x366

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Major Lake Effect Snow Storm in NY

November 18th, 2014 at 5:36 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

The amount of snow that has fallen in western and northern New York is mind-boggling.  The recent blast of cold air, which has settled over the Northeast, is helping to create monster snow totals in parts of the Empire State.  As I type, 51″ of snow has fallen in Cheektowaga, NY!

During the morning, the National Weather Service in Buffalo wrote in their technical discussion that they are forecasting nearly 6feet of snow for Buffalo’s southern suburbs.

nwsbufThis is for good reason.  The band of lake effect snow was not moving at all, and it wasn’t expected to move out of the area until about 7pm EST.   Snowfall rates of 3 to 4″ per hour were reported and there was even some thunder heard in the area.

Storm_Radar_650x366

Here’s the MODIS satellite photo of the snow bands.

modis2

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All 50 States at or Below Freezing This Morning.

November 18th, 2014 at 2:04 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

This blast of Arctic air is being felt by millions of Americans today.  Here in Rhode Island, busy winds and cold temperatures are creating wind chills well into the 20s.  Western New York is dealing with a tremendous lake effect snow storm; parts of Florida have Freeze Warnings; and even parts of Hawaii would give you goose bumps.

Across the country, every single state had a weather station with readings of 32°F or lower this morning.   Rhode Island, by the way, was the last hold out.  That’s typical…we were the last of the Thirteen Colonies to sign the Constitution, too!  Rhode Island’s freezing temperature came at 8:54am when the temperature hit 32.0°F in Chepachet, RI.

Here are some temperature readings from some typical ‘warm’ states:

  • Florida:  28°F at Bob Sikes Airport
  • Texas:  Amarillo 17°F at the airport
  • California:  Mammoth/June Lakes  7°F
  • Hawaii:   Mauna Kea: 30° at NASA’s Infrared Telescope Facility

Freezing_650x366

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RI pension law still in legal jeopardy, 3 years later

November 18th, 2014 at 12:01 am by under Nesi's Notes

By Ted Nesi

PROVIDENCE, R.I. (WPRI) – Three years ago today, Gov. Lincoln Chafee signed what remains the most sweeping overhaul of a state pension system ever seen in the U.S., saving taxpayers billions but angering many government workers and retirees in the process.

Three years later Chafee is set to leave office after a single term, to be succeeded by the architect of the pension overhaul, General Treasurer and Gov.-elect Gina Raimondo. But with a suit challenging the law still in pretrial limbo, there is growing momentum in favor of reaching a deal to resolve the issue once and for all.

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All Watches And Warnings Have Expired….

November 17th, 2014 at 7:41 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Evening from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca…

Fast moving system has raced offshore this evening. A line of strong thunderstorms (thin red line on radar) which hit Block Island, the Cape and Islands hard early this evening with winds to 60 mph, continues to pull away…in its wake a rapid drop in temperature very late Tonight will bring in some of the coldest air so far of the Autumn season next few days…

radra

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Radar Image As Of 735pm…Line Of Storms (red) Have Raced Offshore

 


3PM Storm Update…

November 17th, 2014 at 3:00 pm by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Good Afternoon  from chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca

Weather continues to move along on  schedule..heaviest of rain and wind late will be  late Today into early evening.  Currently tracking (as of 3:03pm) very heavy rain from New Jersey to Waterbury Conn. headed our away. Brief flash flooding of streets along with wind gusts of 45-55 mph over Rhode Island..up to 60mph for Cape after 4pm.

storm2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Photo courtesy Of National Weather Service Taunton.


Flash Flood Watch 3pm to 11pm

November 17th, 2014 at 11:45 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

Add a FLASH FLOOD WATCH to the high wind advisories and warnings that are in effect for southern New England from late this afternoon through this evening.  As we continue to track an area of low pressure and strong cold front approaching southern New England,  Rhode Island and southeastern Massachusetts, except for the islands has the potential to see some flash flooding as “round 2″ of steadier and heavier downpours moves into our area later today.  In addition, as winds pick up, leaves will come down, potentially clogging storm drains and enhancing the street flooding.  With rainfall rates of up to 1″ per hour, urban and poor drainage areas will be prone to localized, brief flooding.  temp 1

While there’s a lull in the rainfall mid-day, it’s a good time to clean out the leaves from nearby storm drains.  temp 2Here’s a look at some of the potential rain totals by midnight.  temp 2


Windswept Rain Storm Today

November 17th, 2014 at 8:50 am by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

It’s a cold rain falling in southern New England this morning with temperatures in the 30s for most with light to moderate rain.  The good news for commuters is that temperatures are warm enough that there’s no threat of ice or snow here in southern New England.  Our main concerns with this system is localized flooding and strong, damaging winds.

The WIND ADVISORY has been expanded to include ALL OF RHODE ISLAND and northern Bristol County in MA, while the HIGH WIND WARNING is for southern Bristol County (Including Fall River and New Bedford) as well as the Cape and Island.  Winds will pick up this afternoon and evening ahead of a strong cold front.  As heavier rain and potential isolated thunderstorms draw down stronger winds from aloft, some gusts could reach speeds of 50-60mph.  Isolated wind damage and power outages are possible.  The most likely time to see the stronger gusts is around the evening commute.

temp 3

Weather Alert

 As for the rain…. one batch of steadier rain has been moving through this morning, followed by a brief “lull” mid-day.  Another round of heavy rain and strong winds are likely around the time of the evening commute.  It’s late afternoon through the evening, ahead of a strong cold front when our area could also see a few thunderstorms.  Any t’storms would enhance both the rainfall rate and the wind speeds.  The rainfall accumulation map below is one models idea on where the heaviest rain could fall, but keep in mind, that line of 2″-3″ totals could end up shifting into a different part of southern New England or off-shore.  I’d plan on a healthy 1-1.5″ for most of our area with isolated amounts up to 3″ possible.

temp 2

Potential Rainfall Amounts Through this Evening

 


Strong Winds Expected Monday Afternoon/Evening

November 16th, 2014 at 5:34 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

A quick-moving, but powerful storm system will move through the Northeast tonight through Monday evening.

An area of strong winds will pass over Southern New England Monday afternoon and evening.  Winds could gust to 50mph from the southwest.  A Wind Advisory has been issued by the National Weather Service in Taunton for the Providence Metro Area and points to the south and east.

Wind_Advisory_650x366

On the Cape and Islands, stronger wind gusts are possible.  Isolated power outages are possible everywhere.

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Wind/Rain Maker on the Way; Then VERY Cold

November 16th, 2014 at 8:56 am by under Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

If you don’t like cold temperatures here is the good news: Temperatures go back into the 50s for Monday! Here is the bad news: The 50s will come with rain and a lot of wind by Monday overnight.

Tonight (Sunday night) some rain showers will start to move through after 10 or 11PM.  Initially, I was a little concerned about a wintry mix, but it looks like that will stay well off to our north.

MONDAY MORNING COMMUTE: Some fog and rain showers may slow things down a little, but we are not looking at widespread downpours.  Allow an extra few minutes and you should be OK.  The winds will be fairly light at this point.

MONDAY EVENING COMMUTE: Off and on showers will continue as temperatures rise into the 50s.  Some upper 50s are possible near the south coast! Breezes will start to pick up, but the strong gusts should hold off until after the commute.

 MONDAY NIGHT: Some heavy pockets of rain will move through; an isolated thunderstorm cannot be ruled out.  Winds will potentially gust between 35 to 50 mph; some isolated power outages are possible. Here is a look at a computer model forecast for 9PM (these strong winds may actually hold off until after midnight):

Blog_One

TUESDAY: Winds will continue to be busy gusting between 30-40 mph.  As the next arctic air mass slides on through, temperatures will actually be colder by the evening commute than for the morning commute.

TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING: Very cold with actual temperatures in the 20s but wind chills in the teens and even a few single digits.

Blog_2

Have a good Sunday and enjoy the roller coaster temperature ride! -Pete Mangione

 


Watch Newsmakers: Providence Mayor-elect Jorge Elorza

November 16th, 2014 at 5:00 am by under Nesi's Notes


Look for Meteors Next Few Nights/Mornings

November 15th, 2014 at 10:20 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

I saw a stray Leonid Meteor Friday evening.  It was very colorful, very bright and pretty large.  Unfortunately, meteors are fleeting, and I had no time to get a camera ready.  It was beautiful, though and you can see these meteors, too, for the next few days.

In the early morning skies of November 16-18, the Leonid meteors will make their annual appearance.  These meteors are famous for reaching ‘storm’ level when thousands of meteors could be seen per hour; however, these kind of shows don’t happen every year.  In fact, it’s about every 33 years or so when the number of meteors shows a significant rise.

Courtesy: Navicore/Wikipedia Commons.  A Leonid meteor in 2009.
Courtesy: Navicore/Wikipedia Commons. A Leonid meteor in 2009.

The Leonids are created from left over pieces of Comet Tempel-Tuttle.   This comet comes in and out of the inner solar system every 33 years.   As the comet approaches the sun, the ice melts and bits and pieces of the comet are left in space.   These particles are small–usually the size of a piece of dust or a grain of sand.  On a rare occasion, however, they can be larger.  As the Earth orbits the Sun, it passes through this debris.  The little bits of the comet burn up as they fall through the atmosphere, and we see the streaks of light.    The larger pieces of debris can create spectacular fireballs which can linger in the sky like fireworks. Read the rest of this entry »


Freeze Warning for Parts of Our Area

November 15th, 2014 at 10:00 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

In our area, the last area to see a frost or a freeze is Block Island.  The growing season is still technically ongoing on the island, and with another pretty cold night ahead, the National Weather Service has issued a Freeze Warning for Block Island for Sunday 2-6am.   In addition, Nantucket also has a Freeze Warning for that same time period.

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According to the National Weather Service, a Freeze Warning is issued when freezing temperatures are forecast to threaten outdoor plants.  Those with agricultural interests in the warning area are advised to harvest or protect tender vegetation.

Detailed 7 Day  » Current Conditions » Radar » Severe Weather » Closings » Signup for Alerts & Closings » Hurricane Tracker » Storm Ready Resource Guide » Severe Weather » Ocean »

-Meteorologist T.J. Del Santo


Saturday: Coldest Day in 7.5 months

November 15th, 2014 at 7:10 pm by under General Talk, Tony's Pinpoint Weather Blog

It was pretty cold today, there’s no doubt about it.  At sunrise, temperatures were well below freezing across most of the area.

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It was a frosty start to the day, too.  I snapped these two photos of Jack Frost’s handywork up in Pascoag where the low was 23°.

frost_leaves Frost_Window

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