There will be a piece of energy dropping down from Northern New England today. You can see it in the image below (yellow, orange and red).
This will help create some rain showers for parts of New Hampshire, Maine and northeastern Massachusetts, but that’s about it. Any showers should be isolated up there, and they’ll likely stay out of our area.
Cloud-wise for RI and nearby MA, there will be some clouds especially east of Providence. Our computer models indicate there will be some moisture in the atmosphere at 850mb and 725mb (approximately 5,000 to 8,000feet up). This will translate into partly cloudy skies this evening. Below is the relative humidity in the atmosphere all the way up to about 40,000feet. Notice the pinkish area this evening…that’s high relative humidity over Providence. I think dry air aloft will help keep our skies in good enough condition to see the moon, especially as it rises. Times run from left to right on the graph…UTC is Greenwich Mean Time (4hours difference from us).
Saturday’s weather was fantastic, and we’ll get another great day on Sunday.
An area of high pressure will be sliding overhead through the day. High pressure promotes sinking air, and it’s tougher to make the clouds and therefore tougher to get precipitation. There will be a little piece of energy in the upper-levels moving southward from Maine/New Hamphire. This may scare up a few extra clouds across eastern parts of our area, but that’s about it. We’ll be staying dry.
Winds will start from the north as the high center builds into New England, but those winds will become more onshore during the afternoon with a developing sea breeze. Temperatures will be a little cooler at the coast, but it will be nice everywhere with low humidity. The weather looks good for seeing the “Super Moon” Sunday evening and for Perseid Meteor watching early Monday morning.
The nice weather will continue through Monday and into Tuesday. We could potentially see a washout on Wednesday. If you picked this week for vacation, you did pretty good. Wednesday may be a book-reading, chore-doing, movie-watching kind of day though.
One of the best meteor showers of the year will peak August 9-14 — the Perseid Meteor Shower. They are best seen after midnight and during this time of the summer, it’s comfortable to be outside and stargaze. In a dark sky, you could see 50 meteors per hour. This year, we’ll have the full “Super Moon” and waning gibbous moon to dim some of the meteors.
Sometimes you can see a few after 9pm as the constellation Perseus rises over the horizon, but the best show always arrives after midnight.
What are the Perseid Meteors?
Meteors are tiny bits of rock, usually the size of a piece of dust or as large as a pebble, that burn up in the atmosphere as the Earth plows through the debris in space. They get their name because of the constellation they appear to come from — Perseus. This debris is actually from a comet, Comet Swift-Tuttle.
The comet passes through the inner solar system once every 134 years. It spends most of its time hanging out past the orbit of Pluto in an area known as the Kuiper Belt — an area of space filled with many pieces of rock, likely left over from the development of the Solar System. The last visit was in 1992. During each passage, the comet sheds gases and debris as it gets closer to the sun. That debris is left floating in space.
Get your cameras ready! This year’s “Super Moon” is coming to a sky near you. Here in Southern New England, the moon will rise at 7:36pm on Sunday and will appear bigger than other full moons we’ve had this year.
What is a Super Moon?
The moon has an elliptical orbit around the Earth, and our only natural satellite takes approximately 27 days to make a full orbit around the Earth. That orbit changes Because of that elliptical orbit, the moon has both a closest (perigee) and farthest (apogee) distance from the Earth. During a “Super Moon”, the moon is at its closest approach of the year and appears to be bigger and brighter. When the moon is the farthest, we call it a “Micro Moon”. The smaller-looking moon was visible in our skies in January. The distances change each month throughout the year.
These terms are fairly new in our lingo. The moon has had this elliptical orbit for eons, but the words “Super” and “Micro” Moons have emerged in just the past few years. Sunday’s Super Moon isn’t really even the closest the moon can get to Earth. In March, 2011, the moon was 221,565 miles from us — that’s 126 miles from the smallest Earth-Moon distance. It was during the days leading up to that perigee that the term “Super Moon” really exploded into our lingo.
I’m back! Happy Saturday. Here’s another edition of the weekend column here on WPRI.com - thank you to Dan McGowan for ably manning it in my absence. As always, send your takes, tips and trial balloons to email@example.com, and follow @tednesi on Twitter.
1. With less than a month left before voters go to the polls, the Democratic primary for governor shifted to a new phase this week as Angel Taveraswent on the attack against Clay Pell, a major strategic shift by a candidate who spent the last month decrying negative campaigning by Gina Raimondo. It’s the strongest evidence yet that Pell’s largely self-funded campaign is indeed getting traction and becoming a real problem for the mayor. Taveras now has to put forward three messages at once: the case against Raimondo, the case against Pell, and the case for himself. That’s not easy to do, especially with the smallest budget of the three – perhaps Taveras needs a signature issue that will set him apart. (On Friday his campaign highlighted education, also a key focus for Pell.) To the extent it reinforces the idea that he’s a viable candidate, Pell supporters actually seemed pleased to see their candidate taking fire; Pell booster Bob Walsh of NEARI went so far as to suggest Taveras is now the spoiler, which surely made Taveras backers’ heads explode. The question of spoilers, though, isn’t going to go away as Gina Raimondo floats above the Taveras-Pell fight with her new positive ad. If Pell overtakes Taveras as Raimondo’s main rival, how high is he ceiling of support? Could he actually woo enough voters to win outright – or only enough to help the treasurer secure victory?
2. One reason Clay Pell has become a force in the Democratic primary: his spending on TV and radio advertising through mid-August will total $1.4 million, slightly more than the $1.3 million that Gina Raimondo will spend and way more than the $641,000 that Angel Taveras has booked, according to tracking figures from one of the campaigns. Taveras has also already booked another $255,000 between Aug. 19 and Sept. 9. All told the three Democrats have booked $3.6 million in commercial time on broadcast TV, cable and radio so far – and that’s before Pell or Raimondo buy anything after Aug. 18, as they surely will. Those dollar figures don’t tell the whole story, though, because the candidates are paying different amounts for the ads. By another metric – gross rating points – Raimondo is tops with 11,654 points through Aug. 18, compared with 8,534 points for Pell and 6,589 points for Taveras.
PROVIDENCE, R.I. (WPRI) – Democratic mayoral candidate Jorge Elorza said Friday he wants Providence schools to put an end to social promotion, the commonly used but rarely acknowledged practice of allowing struggling students to advance to the next grade to keep them on track with their peers.
Elorza’s plan to build a “competency-based educational system” is part of a larger vision for city schools that also includes offering dual enrollment to students who wish to take college courses in high school; increasing the number of Advance Placement courses; expanding outside-the-classroom learning opportunities; and giving teachers “more freedom and flexibility.”
PROVIDENCE, R.I. (WPRI) – Democratic gubernatorial candidate Angel Taveras wants to spend $42 million on new education programs by 2019, including creating a college fund for all newborn babies, expanding the widely-acclaimed Providence Talks initiative and providing “last dollar” scholarships to college students.
Taveras, who is leaving Providence after one term as mayor, said his 10-point “Rhode Island Achieves” proposal seeks to map out how “we can give our children a chance at a better life.” He kicked off his campaign for governor last fall by calling for universal pre-K for Rhode Island children.
PROVIDENCE, R.I. (WPRI) – Democratic gubernatorial candidate Clay Pell is moving quickly to try and blunt a TV attack ad that’s being aired in heavy rotation by his rival, Providence Mayor Angel Taveras, with his own spot arguing the campaign should stay policy-focused.
WOONSOCKET, R.I. (WPRI) – Drugstore giant CVS Caremark Corp., Rhode Island’s largest for-profit company, confirmed Thursday that it has examined moving its corporate headquarters overseas to avoid the nation’s high corporate tax rate.
“We have an obligation to our employees, our shareholders and our customers to understand all of our potential options,” Carolyn Castel, CVS Caremark’s vice president of corporate communications, told WPRI.com in an email.
During our newscast, Tony and I noticed some possible rotation in a storm just offhsore from Little Compton, RI. Here is snapshot from the RADAR….
That same thunderstorm moved to the southeast and we are now getting unconfirmed reports of a water spout just a few miles offshore from Martha’s Vineyard.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
603 PM EDT THU AUG 07 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
0548 PM WATER SPOUT 10 NW AQUINNAH 41.44N 70.95W
08/07/2014 ANZ234 MA AIRPLANE PILOT
PILOT REPORTS WATERSPOUT 10 MILES NW OF MARTHAS
VINEYARD IN RI SOUND
Stay tuned…we will continue to update you on this.
We have also been tracking isolated but strong thunderstorms this afternoon. Not everyone is getting these storms, but some cities and town have been hit by hail. This picture of hail is from Chepachet courtesy of TeriLyn Colaluca.
There were multiple reports of hail; I saw one from Middetown, RI with 1 inch hail!
There is a very cold pool of air sitting high overhead, and that will act as our trigger for the storms through early this evening. The activity should start to wind down by around 7PM. We will be on t he air from 5 to 6:30 on WPRI, and from 6:30 to 7 on FOX Providence with the latest information. -Pete Mangione
Waves from Bertha will slowly subside during the next 24hours, but there will still be a moderate risk of rip currents at area beaches. If you are going to the beach and plan on going in the water, please swim in sight of a lifeguard.
4:45pm UPDATE: This warning has been cancelled by the National Weather Service
Severe Thunderstorm Warning is in effect until 5pm for Central and Southeast Bristol County in MA. A thunderstorm capable of producing large hail and damaging winds was moving southeastward. Lightning and torrential rain are also threats. Communities in the path of the storm include Acushnet, Fall River, New Bedford and Dartmouth. If you are in the path of this storm, stay indoors and away from windows until the storm passes.
We were watching the storm developing in 3-D during the last hour. With doppler radar returns this strong at this height within the atmospheric conditions present today, lightning was expected…that’s what we are seeing now.
Watching our Narragansett Beach Cam, we are estimating the waves crashing on the beach to be betwteen 4 and 6 feet high. This is great for surfers, but still potentially dangerous for swimmers. These breaking waves can create dangerous rip currents.
Buoys offshore of RI show wave heights of 6feet. We’ve been noting the wave heights going up and down over the last several hours. Also, we’ve noticed the frequency of the waves has been increasing….something known as wave period. The period of the waves went from 10seconds to 8.8seconds through the day.
Wave heights should slowly ease through Thursday, but there will likely still be a risk of rip currents. Swim with caution.
Although the dew points (measurement of the amount of moisture in the air) are dropping, they remain high enough to help produce some showers and thunderstorms….in the 60s.
In addition, there is a piece of energy moving over Southern New England this afternoon which will work with a weak frontal boundary at the surface to help spark these storms. You can see the yellow and orange area in the graphic below..
These factors along with the sunshine will all work to help create some scattered thunderstorms this afternoon into the evening. It won’t be raining all the time, and not everyone will see a storm, but the possibility will be there. I think the best chance will be away from the immediate south coast; however, all of Southeast New England could see a thunderstorm through the afternoon until about 6-7pm.
They will likely be short-lived, but they could bring:
If you are going to one of the many area beaches today, please swim near and within sight of a life guard as there is a high risk of rip currents today. If you are caught in a rip current, swim parallel to the beach to escape it.
The high risk of rip currents exists at beaches exposed to the open ocean. These beaches include, but not limited to:
Westerly Town Beach
Blue Shutters (Charlestown)
Charlestown Town Beach
Matunuck Beach (South Kingstown)
Carpenter’s Beach (South Kingstown)
East Matunuck State Beach (South Kingstown)
Scarborough Beach and Scarborough South (Narragansett)
PROVIDENCE, R.I. (WPRI) – Providence Mayor Angel Taveras late Tuesday launched a frontal assault against his Democratic gubernatorial rival Clay Pell, debuting a new TV ad that criticizes the political newcomer as “inexperienced and out of touch.”
Tropical Storm Bertha will be passing approximately 300 miles to the southeast of New England late tonight. While we won’t be seeing any rain or wind from Bertha, we will see some heavy wave action during the next several days. The National Weather Service in Taunton has issued an alert for a High Rip Current Risk for ocean exposed shorelines in Southeast New England. These alerts are issued by the National Weather Service when there is the risk for dangerous rip currents along some area beaches. Rip currents can become life threatening.
Rip currents are strong and very localized currents of water near the surface which move directly away from the shoreline and through breaking waves. They can be caused by a number of factors including large waves from passing tropical systems like Bertha. If you plan on swimming in the water, swim near and within sight of a lifeguard.
When caught in a rip current, swimmers can be quickly carried away from the beach. If you are caught in one, don’t panic! Swimming against a rip current can exhaust even the best swimmers. If you are caught in a rip current, it’s important to swim parallel to the shoreline. If you are headed to the beach, memorize the graphic below. It could save your life.
You can track the wave heights on our Ocean page, and get more information about rip current safety on our rip current page.
This morning, the circulation of Tropical Storm Bertha was clearly exposed, which isn’t a good sign for tropical systems. When thunderstorms cluster around the center of circulation, these storms can intensify.
During the last several hours, however, there has been a burst of convection (shower/t’storm activity) to the north of the circulation.
PROVIDENCE, R.I. (WPRI) – Former Providence Mayor Vincent A. “Buddy” Cianci Jr. told a group of supporters Monday that he’s expecting a long, “negative campaign” from well-funded opponents in the coming months as he seeks a return to City Hall.
Cianci’s comments came during a $1,000-a-head fundraiser at Al Forno Restaurant on South Main Street. The 73-year-old independent drew applause from several dozen donors and supporters as he laid out his vision for Providence during an 11-minute speech, but he also warned that an independent expenditure group is preparing to “go against us big time.”
Good Evening from Chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca…..
As o f1pm , Bertha is barely hanging on to hurricane status, and is expected to weaken on Tuesday. Forecast has not changes with the center passing well south and east of New England Tuesday Night into Wednesday morning. Rain and wind will not impact US mainland, howevedr increasing surf and rip currents likely later Tuesdaty Night into Wednesday
LOCATION…31.3N 73.1W ABOUT 490 MI…790 KM W OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 20 MPH…31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1001 MB…29.56 INCHES
AT 1100 PM..THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH…LONGITUDE 73.1 WEST. BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH…31 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH INCREASING FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK…BERTHA WILL PASS ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE U.S. EAST COAST AND BERMUDA ON TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH…120 KM/H…WITH HIGHER GUSTS…OVER A SMALL AREA NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES…35 KM…FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES…205 KM…PRIMARILY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
Latest Satellite Image Shows Poor Structure To The Storm
Latest Storm Position As Of 11pm Monday
Latest Forecast Track Keeps Tropical Storm Force Winds Well Offshore Of New England
Good Evening From Chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca…
Bertha is a disorganzied hurricane at this time with winds of 75 mph. The forecast confidence is high that the storm will pass out to sea this week and not have a rain or wind impact here. Howevever surf and rip currents will increase along our beaches by mid week.
———————————————- LOCATION…29.4N 73.6W ABOUT 560 MI…900 KM WSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 360 DEGREES AT 18 MPH…30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…998 MB…29.47 INCHES
—————————— AT 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH…LONGITUDE 73.6 WEST. BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 18 MPH…30 KM/H…AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH INCREASING FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK…BERTHA WILL PASS ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE U.S. EAST COAST AND BERMUDA ON TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH…120 KM/H…WITH HIGHER GUSTS…OVER A SMALL AREA NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES…35 KM…FROM THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES…220 KM…MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
Bertha Right Now
Bertha Forecast Track Takes Storm Well South and East Of New England
PROVIDENCE, R.I. (WPRI) – Former Providence Mayor Vincent A. “Buddy” Cianci Jr. drew income from commentary gigs with WPRO-AM and WLNE-TV as well as various speaking engagements in 2013, according to his first public financial disclosure filing since he left office in 2002.
The new filing with the state Ethics Commission also shows Cianci owns two lucrative pieces of commercial real estate in Providence and Warwick – he leases one to Women and Infants Hospital – as well as a residential property on Chalkstone Avenue.
PROVIDENCE, R.I. (WPRI) – Democratic mayoral candidate Jorge Elorza said Monday a new YouTube video that shows him expressing support for a municipal income tax in Providence “was intentionally edited to mislead voters.”
The 44-second video, released Sunday by primary opponent Brett Smiley, shows Elorza telling the Rhode Island Progressive Democrats of America that he is “very much in support of a municipal income tax.” The group later endorsed Elorza’s bid for mayor.
Bertha has strengthened, becoming the 2nd hurricane of the 2014 season as it moves away from the Bahamas.
As of 11am, sustained winds were near 80mph with gusts to near 100mph… making it a Category 1 hurricane. The forecast track has remained consistent, with the storm tracking far off-shore, sparing the east coast of a landfall. However, the storm is expected to churn up the seas as it passes several hundred miles southeast of Nantucket Tuesday night. The main impacts from the hurricane will be in the form of highs surf and dangerous rip currents for beach goers on Wednesday and Thursday. In addition, 5-8ft swells are expected in coastal waters by late Tuesday night and conditions will be dangerous for mariners traveling east of Nantucket.
Air Force aircraft investigating Tropical Storm Bertha have found stronger winds around the center of circulation….a jump from 45mph at 5pm to 65mph at 11pm! Strong thunderstorms to the east of the center have grown and become better organized. Bertha is just to the north of the Bahamas.
After a mostly cloudy, damp, cool and showery weekend, we need a little sunshine. I think we will see a much better day on Monday! Better beach weather. Better boating weather. Better anything weather. There’s still the chance for showers on Monday, but at least we’ll have the sun.
Here’s how Monday will play out….
There’s an area of upper-level energy spinning over Pennsylvania. You can sorta make out a spin over the Keystone State on the satellite/radar loop.
The convection (shower/thunderstorm activity) around Bertha has become a little better organized today. While looking pretty ragged on Saturday, it looks a little healthier today. The system has sustained winds are 45mph.
At 5pm on Sunday, Bertha was near the Turks and Caicos Islands in the southeast Bahamas Islands. The storm will begin to turn northward and then eventually northeastward away from the United States this week.
Interesting to note, the National Hurricane Center’s official forecast calls for Bertha to intensify into a Category 1 Hurricane with winds of 75mph on Wednesday as it passes well to our south and east. We feel pretty confident that Bertha will stay out to sea. We could, however, see some waves from Bertha, especially if the system strengthens to a strong tropical storm or hurricane. Below is a forecast of ocean waves for Wednesday….some of the large waves associated with Bertha could propagate our way mid to late week. Surfers unite!